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Examining the Over/Under 2020 Win Totals for the ACC

Examining the Over/Under 2020 Win Totals for the ACC

Examining the Over/Under 2020 Win Totals for the ACC

This article has been resurrected now that we have an ACC season coming. It will consist of one non-conference game and 10 ACC contests. The caveat is now Notre Dame has joined the party for one season and is a member of the ACC. Not only that, there are no Atlantic and Coastal divisions with the top two teams making the conference championship games. Right now just BetOnline has win totals for the coming season, but maybe other places will put stuff up this week. Let's take a look at one sportsbook thinks will happen this season. 

Note: Win total numbers courtesy of BetOnline

Boston College (Over 4 -140...Under 4 +110)

Ranking in Preseason ACC Poll: 13th

Non-Conference Game: 9/26 vs. Texas State (easy W for the Eagles)
Schedule Notes: Host UNC and Notre Dame, but travel to both Virginia schools and Clemson. 
QB Battle: Dennis Grosel (returnee) vs. Phil Jurkovec (Notre Dame transfer)
Roster Notes: 13 starters back, but brand-new coaching staff led by former Ohio State co-defensive coordinator Jeff Hafley. Eagles should have a strong run game and lost only three sacks from last year's defense.

Prediction: Slight lean to the under, but only because of the price. 

Clemson (Over 10.5 -125...Under 10.5 -105)

Ranking in Preseason ACC Poll: 1st

Non-Conference Game: 9/19 vs. The Citadel (easy W for the Tigers)
Schedule Notes: 4 of 5 at home beginning October 3rd. Close out with three roadies in final few weeks traveling to Notre Dame, Virginia Tech and Florida State
QB: Trevor Lawrence

Roster Notes: 12 starters back, but need to replace four offensive linemen and Tigers have already lost expected No. 1 wide receiver Justyn Ross to a season-ending injury. Just one starter returns in secondary.

Prediction: Lean to the under, as I just don't think Clemson will go undefeated. Could lose at Florida State, Virginia Tech or Notre Dame.

Duke (Over 5 -125...Under 5 -105)

Ranking in Preseason ACC Poll: 12th

Non-Conference Game: 10/31 vs. Charlotte (win)

Schedule Notes: Heck of an opener as they travel to Notre Dame. The Blue Devils welcome FSU, Virginia Tech and UNC to Wallace Wade Stadium

QB Battle: Clemson transfer Chase Brice vs. Gunnar Holmberg vs. Chris Katrenick

Roster Notes: 13 returning starters, including seven of the top nine tacklers. But mostly unproven skill position guys on offense.

Prediction: No play here, as I come up with 4-5 wins.

Florida State (Over 7 -105...Under 7 -125)

Ranking in Preseason ACC Poll: 7th
Non-Conference Game: 10/3 vs. Jacksonville State (easy W for FSU)

Schedule Notes: They host Clemson and Virginia in late November after alternating home and road games. 
QB: James Blackman (working with this fourth offensive coordinator in four years)
Roster Notes: 17 starters back, but new coaching staff. We'll see if the defense and offensive line can improve from last year.

Prediction: Under is the play here. Team will be better, but the Seminoles' schedule is very tough.

Georgia Tech (Over 2.5 -115...Under 2.5 -115)

Ranking in Preseason ACC Poll: 15th

Non-Conference Game: 9/19 vs. Central Florida (Yikes)
Schedule Quirks: Clemson and Notre Dame both come down to Georgia. They do not have any back-to-back road games. 
QB Battle: James Graham most likely, but some freshmen could threaten.
Roster Notes: 17 starters return and a pair of SEC graduate transfers are expected to start on right side of the offensive line.

Prediction: Lean to the under. I just don't see too many wins. 

Louisville (Over 7 -105...Under 7 -125)

Ranking in Preseason ACC Poll: 4th

Non-Conference Game: 9/12 vs. Western Kentucky (should be a W)

Schedule Notes: Schedule is bunched early with two straight at home to open up before three on the road which is followed up by two more at home. 
QB: Micale Cunningham
Roster Notes: 15 starters back in year two under head coach Scott Satterfield. Nine of top 11 tacklers return, but this defense got gashed by better opponents last season.

Prediction: Pretty solid number. Slightest of leans to the under. 

Miami (Over 7.5 -130...Under EVEN)

Ranking in Preseason ACC Poll: 6th

Non-Conference Game: 9/10 vs. UAB (could be interesting)

Schedule Quirks: Road trip to Clemson on October 10th. Three of their final 5 are on the road. 

QB: Houston transfer D'Eriq King

Roster Notes: New offensive coordinator Rhett Lashlee overseeing switch to spread attack. Five starters return along the offensive line but four of the top six tacklers from a top-20 defense are gone.

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Prediction: Great number as I see 7-8 wins. 

North Carolina (Over 7.5 -150...Under 7.5 +120)

Ranking in Preseason ACC Poll: 3rd

Non-Conference Game: 9/19 vs. Charlotte (win)
Schedule Notes: 4 of their first 6 are at home. They do not get Clemson and host Notre Dame late in the year.  
QB: Sam Howell
Roster Notes: 17 starters back. This team played a lot of close games last year (went 7-6), so improvement in the win column could be forthcoming.

Prediction: No play as I come up with 7-8 wins. 

NC State (Over 4 -150...Under 4 +120)

Ranking in Preseason ACC Poll: 11th
Non-Conference Game: 11/21 vs. Liberty (should be a W)

Schedule Notes: This ACC Atlantic team gets a heavy dose of Coastal squads. They have one at home, but then play four of their next five on the road including trips to Blacksburg and Chapel Hill. 

QB: Devin Leary
Roster Notes: 12 starters back, but two new primary coordinators (Tim Beck and Tony Gibson) among five new assistants. Is head coach Dave Doeren's seat getting warm?

Prediction: Slight lean to the over. 

Pittsburgh (Over 6 -130...Under 6 EVEN)

Ranking in Preseason ACC Poll: 8th

Non-Conference Game: 9/12 vs. Austin Peay (win)

Schedule Notes: 4 straight to open the year at home followed by 4 of five on the road. Notre Dame comes to Heinz Field on 10/24. 

QB: Kenny Pickett

Roster Notes: 15 starters back, but lose leading receiver Maurice Ffrench. Panthers could have the best safety duo in the ACC.

Prediction: Solid number at 6. 

Syracuse (Over 5 +135...Under 5 -165)
Ranking in Preseason ACC Poll: 14th

Non-Conference Game: 10/17 vs. Liberty (should be a W)
Schedule Notes: Two tough road trips to open things up before three at home. They travel to Louisville, Notre Dame and Clemson. 
QB: Tommy DeVito
Roster Notes: Team returns only nine starters and 41 percent of their catches and 45 percent of their receiving yards from last season. Have to replace seven starters on defense, including top two tacklers and three starters up front.

Prediction: I mean the under is the play, but not at that price. 

Virginia (Over 5.5 -135...Under 5.5 +105)

Ranking in Preseason ACC Poll: 9th

Non-Conference Game: 11/21 vs. Abilene Christian (win)

Schedule Notes: Open the year with the rival Virginia Tech in Blacksburg. They have 4 straight at home beginning on Halloween. 

QB: Brennan Armstrong

Roster Notes: All five starters return along the offensive line, but dual-threat quarterback Bryce Perkins and his top two wide receivers and tight end are gone. Defense returns every starter but linebacker Jordan Mack and cornerback Bryce Hall. Solid FBS/FCS transfers were added this offseason from several big programs. 

Prediction: Over. I've got them at six wins

Virginia Tech (Over 7.5 -125...Under 7.5 -105)

Ranking in Preseason ACC Poll: 5th

Non-Conference Game: 11/7 vs. Liberty

Schedule Notes: They host Miami and Clemson in two of their final three games. October features four road contests to one at home. 

QB: Hendon Hooker

Roster Notes: Intriguing skill position guys and plenty back on defense. New defensive staff led by coordinator Justin Hamilton could be challenged early. The opt out of Caleb Farley at cornerback is huge, but there are decent replacements. 

Prediction: Slight lean to the under. The back end of the schedule is challenging. 

Wake Forest (Over 5.5 +170...Under 5.5 -200)

Ranking in Preseason ACC Poll: 10th

Non-Conference Game: 10/9 vs. Campbell (easy win)
Schedule Notes: Five of their first six are at home including tilts against both Virginia schools, Notre Dame and Clemson. 
QB: Sam Hartman

Roster Notes: 12 returning starters, but just three on offense. Biggest issue on defense will be replacing starting cornerbacks. Losing Sage Surratt will hurt the offense. 

Prediction: I wish I could make the case for the over but I can't. 

— Written by Matt Josephs, who is a part of the Athlon Sports Contributor Network. Follow him on Twitter @MidMajorMatt.