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Examining the Over/Under 2015 Win Totals for the SEC East


When it comes to the SEC, much of the focus on the nation's best college football conference is directed towards the West. That doesn't mean the East should be completely overlooked, however, as those teams went 5-0 in bowls last season compared to the West's not-so-impressive 2-5 showing. This season, Georgia has its sights set on dethroning defending division champion Missouri while Tennessee and Florida could be two of the more intriguing teams to watch in all of college football.

Related: SEC 2015 Football Predictions

For the purposes of this exercise, projected win totals are broken down into three categories — definite wins, definite losses and toss-ups. Most of the conference games will in the toss-up category, especially ones on the road. This preview will offer thoughts on each team and if there’s any value either over or under.

Note: Over/under odds courtesy of 5Dimes Sportsbook

SEC East

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Florida Gators

(Over 7.5 wins +110...Under 7.5 wins -150)

Record Last Year: 7-5, 4-4

Returning Starters: 11 (4 on offense, 7 on defense)

Offense: With Treon Harris and Will Grier competing for the QB position, the rest of the unit figures to struggle. The offensive line will almost need to completely be replaced. An underrated addition to the offense is transfer tight end Jake McGee, who comes over from Virginia and will be a reliable target to whomever is under center.

Defense: Vernon Hargreaves III is one of the best corners in college football. He's part of a strong secondary. That unit could be tested with the issues up front of having to replace almost everyone.

Schedule: The season starts and ends with a pair of non-conference home games. In September Florida faces New Mexico State and ECU while the November slate features Florida Atlantic and in-state archrival Florida State. It's a very friendly schedule, although the Gators play at LSU in October.

Selection: I agree with the money move to the under. It's a friendly schedule, but the Gators probably won't win a single game outside of Gainesville. Jim McElwain has work to do with these guys.

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Georgia Bulldogs

(Over 9 wins -135...Under 9 wins -105)

Record Last Year: 10-3, 6-2

Returning Starters: 12 (6 on offense, 6 on defense)

Offense: Another uncertain quarterback situation. Georgia picked up a late transfer in UVA's Greyson Lambert who could just as easily win the job. Nick Chubb looks to build off of almost 1,600 rushing yards last year. He's a great playmaker to start with. Malcolm Mitchell is a solid WR to go along with a good offensive line.

Defense: Freshman Trent Thompson comes over as the No. 1 recruit according to 247Sports. Leonard Floyd and Jordan Jenkins make for a solid group at linebacker. Plenty of eyes will be on the secondary to see if this group can keep things going after holding opponents to just 170.4 yards per game through the air last season. 

Schedule: Georgia hosts Louisiana Monroe, Southern, Georgia Southern and has its usual rivalry game against Georgia Tech, which is on the road. There's no real rough stretches for the Bulldogs, who don't have to deal with any back-to-back road games.

Selection: The lean is to the over although I came out with nine wins for Georgia. It's hard to get an accurate projection without a quarterback in place. Chubb figures to be in the mix for the Heisman all season.

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Kentucky Wildcats

(Over 6 wins -105...Under 6 wins -135)

Record Last Year: 5-7, 2-6

Returning Starters: 12 (6 on offense, 6 on defense)

Offense: Patrick Towles gets the call at quarterback after throwing for 14 touchdowns in 2014. Redshirt freshman Drew Barker is making a push and will probably see some time as well. The offensive line is almost intact which is good. Stanley Williams and Jojo Kemp are solid options at running back.

Defense: The Wildcats have some holes to fill with the departure of Bud Dupree. Trying to fill those shoes is Jason Hatcher, who was highly touted out of high school. Special teams are real good and could be a difference-maker in a close game.

Schedule: The Wildcats play six of their first eight at home. They host UL-Lafayette, Eastern Kentucky, Charlotte and Louisville out of conference. UK has just four road games all year long which will be big.

Selection: Even with the friendly schedule, six wins seems about right. Kentucky still has tough home matchups with Auburn, Tennessee, Missouri and Louisville. I think the Wildcats win maybe one or two from that group and that's why I see only six wins.

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Missouri Tigers

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(Over 7.5 wins -180...Under 7.5 wins +140)

Record Last Year: 11-3, 7-1

Returning Starters: 12 (6 on offense, 6 on defense)

Offense: Dorial Green-Beckham is long gone and so is the depth at WR. At least the Tigers have Russell Hansbrough at RB and he put up over 1,000 rushing yards in 2014. Maty Mauk gets the call at QB and he's got the majority of his O-line back which will be a big help.

Defense: Losses up front will make things a bit difficult for the Tigers. At least they have an experienced secondary and Kentrell Brothers (122 tackles in 2014 ) at LB.

Schedule: Missouri gets SE Missouri State and UConn at home to go with a road tilt against Arkansas State and a neutral field game vs. BYU for its non-conference slate. The Tigers play three of their four November games in the state of Missouri.

Selection: The over is the right play here although not at this price. Watch that week two game at Arkansas State, as it could be an upset in the making. The Red Wolves are real good offensively.

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South Carolina Gamecocks

(Over 7 wins -120...Under 7 wins -120)

Record Last Year: 7-6, 3-5

Returning Starters: 10 (4 on offense, 6 on defense)

Offense: Another SEC East team looking for help at QB. The Gamecocks' leading returning passer is wideout Pharoh Cooper, who threw eight total passes. Whomever is under center gets Cooper at WR and senior Brandon Wilds at RB. The right side of the OL is strong.

Defense: Jon Hoke comes over to try and fix this side of the ball. This team had just 14 sacks last year and will need to get a little more pressure on the QB.

Schedule: The Gamecocks take on North Carolina in Charlotte as well as UCF, Citadel and Clemson at home. They play five of their last seven at home and have some friendly stretches.

Selection: Small lean to the under. There's a chance if things don't break well that South Carolina loses both of their matchups with the ACC. I don't know if that's grounds for dismissal from the SEC, but it could be a rough year in Columbia.

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Tennessee Volunteers

(Over 7.5 wins -210...Under 7.5 wins +160)

Record Last Year: 7-6, 3-5

Returning Starters: 17 (9 on offense, 8 on defense)

Offense: This side of the ball has some momentum after finishing 2014 with 185 points in the final five games. Dual-threat quarterback Joshua Dobbs was one of the catalysts for this offense. He's got Marquez North and Pig Howard to throw to. Von Pearson is suspended after some offseason trouble. Jalen Hurd will be complemented in the backfield by Alvin Kamara.

Defense: The Vols have the right pieces back for the 2015 season. Jalen Reeves-Maybin at LB goes well with Curt Maggitt, who is playing for NFL Draft status. This team beat up on Iowa in its bowl victory and will get plenty of pressure on SEC QBs.

Schedule: The Vols don't leave the state often to start the year out, as they take on Oklahoma and Western Carolina as well as a contest with Bowling Green in Nashville. The other non-conference game takes place in November when Tennessee hosts North Texas.

Selection: The over is the play here. I love the Vols as a major sleeper in this division. Butch Jones finished out 2014 well and has the pieces to make '15 special.

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Vanderbilt Commodores

(Over 3 wins -170...Under 3 wins +130)

Record Last Year: 3-9, 0-8

Returning Starters: 17 (8 on offense, 9 on defense)

Offense: It was an ugly year for this side of the ball, as Vanderbilt averaged just 17.2 points per game. The Commodores rotated four different signal-callers last year and none were that effective. Ralph Webb rushed for almost 1,000 yards last season and will be counted on for even more production this fall.

Defense: Head coach Derek Mason takes over this side of the ball. Stephen Weatherly leads the way with 12.5 tackles for a loss and 4.5 sacks. Almost the entire secondary is back, but this defense allowed 7.6 yards per attempt.

Schedule: The Commodores host Western Kentucky and Austin Peay while also playing at Middle Tennessee and Houston. As if it wasn't going to be a rough enough season, Vandy has a stretch of five road games out of six.

Selection: The under is a value here. I know Vanderbilt returns a lot of players from last year, but can the Commodores get back to respectability? Western Kentucky, Middle Tennessee and Houston are all challenges and remember this team nearly lost to Charleston Southern and UMass last year.

— Written by Matt Josephs, who is a part of the Athlon Sports Contributor Network. Josephs prefers non-Power 5 college football and may be the only one wagering on the Sun Belt. Follow him on Twitter @MidMajorMatt.