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Examining the Over/Under 2016 Win Totals for the Mid-American Conference

Joel Bouagnon

Joel Bouagnon

The MAC has turned into quite the brand and a lot of it comes from the wild conference games that can be seen on almost any day of the week during the college football season. Last year the conference registered only three bowl wins in seven opportunities. There should be plenty of offense once again in 2016.

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Related: MAC Football 2016 Predictions

For the purposes of this exercise, projected win totals are broken down into three categories — definite wins, definite losses and toss-ups. Most of the conference games will in the toss-up category, especially ones on the road. This preview will offer thoughts on each team and if there’s any value either over or under.

Note: Over/under odds courtesy of South Point Casino

MAC East

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Akron Zips

(Over 5 wins +105...Under 5 wins -125)

Record Last Year: 8-5, 5-3

Returning Starters: 6 (2 on offense, 4 on defense)

Offense:The Zips don't return much, but they dipped into the transfer market to help fix that. Warren Ball comes over from Ohio State. Quarterback Thomas Woodson will have former Utah State Aggie wide receiver/return specialist JoJo Natson to throw to. The real issue is up front where Akron has to replace all five starters.

Defense: Jamal Marcus and Se'Von Pittman are solid bookend defensive linemen to build around. DeAndre Scott had six interceptions last year. This group had the third-ranked rushing defense last year, allowing just 92.9 yards per game.

Schedule: Akron hosts VMI before playing at Wisconsin and Marshall. The Zips close out non-conference play at home against Appalachian State. They finish out with two of their final three at home, although Toledo and Bowling Green are the opponents.

Selection:I think five is about right although I tend to lean to the under. The offense will need time to gel while the defense will take a step back from it's successful stint last season.

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Bowling Green Falcons

(Over 7 wins -125...Under 7 wins +105)

Record Last Year: 10-4, 7-1

Returning Starters: 10 (4 on offense, 6 on defense)

Offense: This team was fun to watch last year. They were the sixth-ranked scoring offense because of a ton of returnees and talent. This year that's not the case as former head coach Dino Babers is now at Syracuse while expected starting quarterback James Knapke attempted just 20 passes all of last season. The only stud receiver that's back is Ronnie Moore while Fred Coppet will get the carries.

Defense: After allowing nearly 500 yards per game in 2014, this side of the ball improved slightly. Linebackers Austin Valdez and Trenton Greene each are back and they figure to be around the ball after making 271 tackles combined in 2015.

Schedule: The Falcons play at Memphis and Ohio State to go with home matchups against North Dakota and Middle Tennessee. They also have four road games over five weeks from Oct. 8 to Nov. 9.