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Florida State Football 2014 Schedule Analysis

Florida State Seminoles

Life is good in Tallahassee right now.

Jimbo Fisher is the commander in chief of the reigning national champions, has a Heisman Trophy winner returning under center and will face another extremely manageable schedule in the inferior yet improving ACC.

Florida State enters the College Football Playoff Era with one of the best rosters in the nation and the experience of winning it all a year ago. And while the ACC as a whole is improving around the Seminoles, the path back to the national title game appears to be paved with easy wins.

In fact, if there is one team most likely to reach the inaugural playoff bracket, it would be the Noles. No team in the nation boasts a better combination of talent, experience, coaching and scheduling than Florida State.

2014 Florida State Schedule Analysis

Challenging yourself

Give a lot of credit to Florida State for scheduling one of the toughest out-of-league slates in the nation in 2014. Oklahoma State won the Big 12 in 2011 and was one play away from winning the crown again last year and Florida State will open with the Cowboys in Arlington, Texas. Notre Dame will come to Tallahassee in the middle of October and a much-improved Florida team visits Doak Campbell Stadium for the annual Sunshine State rivalry. Can the Seminoles handle all three — and The Citadel — with ease? Sure, but it’s one of the most impressive non-conference schedules in the nation.

ACC road upset alert watch

Florida State and Fisher had been knocked prior to 2013 for losing focus on the road from time to time (See: NC State in 2012). The Noles overcame that hurdle last year with convincing wins over Clemson, Florida and Pitt on the road. However, Florida State will once again have to guard against a letdown on the road in the ACC in 2014. Fisher leads his team back to Raleigh to face NC State and also will have to face Louisville, Miami and Syracuse on the road. All four are projected bowl teams this fall.

Jam-packed with wins

While Oklahoma State and Clemson, for example, have been traditionally strong programs of late, many teams on the Noles' schedule are going to be “down” this fall. The Tigers are breaking in an entirely new offense and the Pokes lost more than two dozen senior contributors. Boston College, who gave FSU its toughest test last year in Chestnut Hill, isn’t going to be nearly as good without Andre Williams. And both Miami and Louisville are replacing their quarterbacks. Additionally, FSU will get two weeks to prepare for both the Tigers and Cardinals. So while the schedule looks really solid on paper, frankly, it’s packed with a lot of potential blowouts (again).

Toughest game?

The question many are asking about Florida State’s schedule in 2014 is which team has the best chance to upset the Noles? Notre Dame and Florida appear to be the most talented teams on the schedule this fall and both should be much improved from a year ago, as both welcome back star quarterbacks from 2012. That said, both games take place in Tallahassee and both teams will be hard-pressed to keep up with Jameis Winston and company. 

Related: 2014 Florida State Seminoles Team Preview

Final Verdict

The schedule sets up very nicely for Florida State to return to the national championship game — or, at the very least, land in the College Football Playoff. This schedule is much tougher this year than last, especially on paper, but deeper analysis of normally marquee games — Oklahoma State, Clemson, Louisville, Miami, Florida — shows that the Noles should be a heavy favorite in every game they play this fall. Notre Dame will likely give FSU its toughest test of the year (maybe Florida), but with that game taking place at home, it’s hard to see Florida State losing in the regular season. Some bizarre bout of complacency — which has happened in the past — looks like the only thing that could derail the Noles' defense of their national championship.