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Florida State Football: Game-by-Game Predictions for 2022

Mike Norvell, Florida State Seminoles Football

Florida State is looking to stake a big step forward in Year 3 of the Mike Norvell era.

Entering its third year under head coach Mike Norvell, Florida State is looking for its first winning season since 2017. Last season, the Seminoles overcame their first 0-4 start since before Bobby Bowden’s tenure to win five of their last eight, but that was not enough to become bowl eligible.

Off a 5-7 campaign, FSU loses very little for 2022 – with the exception of the defensive end position. The slate is not an easy one as the Seminoles face nine teams who were bowl eligible last season. FSU also faces four teams that won at least nine games in 2021.

Related: Florida State Football 2022 Season Preview and Prediction

Despite an 8-13 record over his first two seasons, fans in Tallahassee have not been overly hostile toward Norvell. Entering 2022, however, there is real pressure to show progress. The good news for FSU is that the schedule features seven home games and just four true road games.

Can Florida State take a big step forward in 2022? Athlon's editors and one of its college football contributors pick every game on the Seminoles' 2022 football schedule.

Florida State Football Game-by-Game Predictions for 2022

Steven LassanMark RossMike Ferguson

Duquense

Florida State

Florida State

Florida State

vs. LSU (New Orleans)

LSU

LSU

LSU

at Louisville

Louisville

Florida State

Louisville

Boston College

Florida State

Florida State

Florida State

Wake Forest

Florida State

Florida State

Florida State

at NC State

NC State

NC State

NC State

Clemson

Florida State

Clemson

Clemson

Georgia Tech

Florida State

Florida State

Florida State

at Miami

Miami

Miami

Miami

at Syracuse

Florida State

Florida State

Florida State

Louisiana

Florida State

Florida State

Florida State

Florida

Florida

Florida

Florida State

Final Record

7-5

7-5

7-5

Steven Lassan (@AthlonSteven)
Florida State’s final record didn’t necessarily reflect it, but this team showed progress in the second half of 2021. Building on that improvement to get to a bowl should be the baseline goal for the Seminoles this fall. However, coach Mike Norvell’s team did not draw an easy schedule with non-conference matchups versus LSU and Florida, along with road dates at Miami, NC State and Louisville. The quest for six (or more) wins starts with quarterback Jordan Travis. In Travis’ eight starts, Florida State averaged just over 32.8 points a game. However, in the four games he didn’t start, the offense averaged only 17. Keeping Travis healthy is a must, and with help from the transfer portal to bolster the receiving corps and offensive line, this unit should take another step forward. The Seminoles allowed around 10 fewer points a game last year than it did in ’20 and returns seven starters to build off that improvement. Replacing the edge production of Jermaine Johnson II and Keir Thomas (18 combined sacks) is the biggest question mark for coordinator Adam Fuller. A tough schedule doesn’t leave much margin for error, but I like Florida State to return to a bowl this fall.

Mark Ross (@AthlonMarkR)
I believe that Mike Norvell is the right guy to lead Florida State but this could be another year where you need to look beyond the win-loss record to gauge the progress. The Seminoles were a different team down the stretch last season and while that should carry over, the schedule offers up plenty of challenges. The neutral-site game in Week 2 against LSU is winnable, especially with the Tigers in the midst of a coaching transition, but it won't make or break FSU's season either, unless the Noles get their doors blown off in New Orleans. The three-game stretch of Wake Forest-NC State-Clemson to open October will be critical and two of those come at home. And then November begins and ends with dates against in-state rivals, pair of games Florida State split last season with both being decided by three points. Barring some miraculous turnaround, no one should mistake this Seminoles team for a national title contender, but a bowl game should be well within reach. It's possible FSU could surprise another team or two this year, but it's also reasonable to temper expectations given how the past few seasons have transpired.

Mike Ferguson (@MikeWFerguson)
Looking at the schedule, Florida State has only three games that most would say should be definite wins – Duquesne, Georgia Tech, and a rebuilding Louisiana. That leaves FSU with three chances in nine games to become bowl eligible. It is unlikely, however, that most would be satisfied with 6-6. The Seminoles need to provide tangible evidence that they’re trending in the right direction. NC State and Clemson will be difficult contests, but aside from those, every game on the schedule seems winnable. Six of FSU’s seven losses last season were close. Turning those close losses into wins would go a long way for Norvell and the program.