Gambling is sports. It makes meaningless games infinitely more important to fans.
However, Monday night's national championship game doesn’t need any added juice to lure in viewers from other fan bases. All of college football will watch Oregon and Ohio State do battle.
I don’t need to place a bet on the game to enjoy it. But for national title games, like the Super Bowl, prop bets can be an added dimension compared to the traditional point spreads or over/under.
Here are some of the most intriguing Ducks-Buckeyes prop bets and final picks for the more traditional gamblers.
Ohio State (+7) vs. Oregon
The Ducks have the experience edge and Marcus Mariota. Ohio State has the coaching and talent edge and will be playing the disrespect card once again. These two teams are evenly matched and the game could go either way. However, Urban Meyer is 5-0 straight up as an underdog since getting to Columbus. I’ll take Oregon to win, but OSU to cover. Prediction: Ohio State +7
Ohio State vs. Oregon: Over/Under 75
Only one BCS title game out of 16 went over 75 points and that was the 79-point Texas-USC showdown in 2005. Two other times — in 2004 (74) and 1999 (75) — has the title game gone over the 70-point mark. But it hasn’t happened since ’05, and the average total for the championship game since is 49.5. These are two of the highest-scoring teams in the nation with a combined per game average of 92.2, but title games are traditionally played tighter than usual. I’d take the under as both could score in the 30s and the bet would still win. Predictions: Under
Oregon total points: O/U 41
I’d take the under because of Ohio State’s defensive line and developing linebackers. Oregon may still win the game but may have to battle all game long against this nasty front seven. Prediction: Under
Ohio State total points: O/U 34
I’d take the over here. Ohio State can score, as it just posted 59 against Wisconsin and 42 against Alabama. The Ducks' defense has given up tons of yards this season and the Buckeyes should be able to move the ball. Prediction: Over
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Marcus Mariota rushing yards: O/U 51.5
Seven times in 14 games has Mariota gone over 50 yards rushing this season with four of those coming in the last six games. When pressured (which will happen) and when in big games, go with the best player on the field doing whatever it takes to move the sticks. Predictions: Over
First downs: Ohio State (+4) vs. Oregon
Take the Buckeyes and the “points” here. Even if Oregon wins, the odds are the Ducks will be ripping off large chunks of yards. Ohio State, meanwhile, will look to control the clock more from the start. Take OSU and the four first downs. Prediction: OSU +4
Team to get first penalty: Ohio St (even) or Oregon (-130)
If there is one area Ohio State has a significant advantage in it is the yellow flags. The Ducks are 119th in the nation in penalties per game (8.1) — well ahead of Ohio State (5.6). Hence, the $130 bet to win $100. I’d still take the Ducks here. Prediction: Oregon
Cardale Jones longest completion: O/U 45.5
The Ducks are 50th nationally in allowing pass plays of more than 40 yards and Jones’ best skill seems to be the deep ball. He’s had a 47-yard completion against Bama and a 44-yarder against UW in just two career starts. I’d say OSU will hit at least one big one. Prediction: Over
Cardale Jones TDs + INTs: O/U 2.5
Definitely take the over here. There is a good chance he'll record at least one of each. And in what many believe will be a higher scoring game, a good chance he’ll get two of each. I’d take the over and feel great about it from a guy with tons of ability, lots of weapons and little experience. Prediction: Over
Longest TD scored (both): O/U 63.5
Oregon and Ohio State both rank in the top 10 nationally this fall in plays of 60 yards or more. Each team posted eight plays of 60-plus yards, giving this game a good chance of seeing multiple big plays. Prediction: Over
Team to score longest TD of the game: Ohio St (+140) or Oregon (-170)
Take the Buckeyes all day here. As I just pointed out, Ohio State is just as prone to big plays as Oregon and the Ducks' defense has given up more yards and big plays than OSU by a wide margin. Take the odds and run. Prediction: Ohio State
Ezekiel Elliott rushing yards: O/U 120.5
This is the biggest prop bet in terms of production on the board for a reason. Ohio State will run the ball like crazy and Oregon hasn’t shown it can stop a power-rushing attack all year. Elliott has been over 120 yards in three straight games and the Ducks are 51st in the nation in rushing defense. Prediction: Over
The first score will be (for fun):
- all odds provided by @ToddFuhrman @BovadaLV and Westgate Las Vegas Sports Book.