Pac-12 Football: Over/Under Predictions on DraftKings Win Totals for 2021 Season

Examining early betting over/unders for the Pac-12 in 2021

College football’s 2021 season is still a few months away, but it’s never too early to start placing wagers and bets on the DraftKings over/under totals for the Pac-12. While the conference may not have a CFB Playoff contender in most preseason projections, this league has good depth and could have five teams push to finish in the top 25 at the end of the year.

 

Earlier this week, DraftKings Sportsbook released over/under win totals for all 12 teams in the Pac-12. While some of these predictions will evolve, below are Athlon’s early calls on whether to take the over, under or hold on a wager on the DraftKings odds.

 

Pac-12 Football: Over/Under on DraftKings Win Totals for 2021 Season

 

North Division

 

California

DraftKings O/U: 5.5

 

Transitioning to a new coordinator with a limited offseason hindered the development of California’s offense last fall, but a normal spring and fall should help quarterback Chase Garbers and play-caller Bill Musgrave get on the same page. The Golden Bears return only four starters on defense but have not ranked lower than fifth in the league in fewest points allowed in each of the last three years.

 

Early Call: Over

Non-conference games against TCU and Nevada are tough, but California catches Colorado and Arizona – the projected No. 5 and No. 6 teams from the South – and does not play Utah or Arizona State. And before last year’s abbreviated season, the Golden Bears won seven (2018) and eight (’19) contests.

 

Oregon

DraftKings O/U: 9

 

The Ducks are Athlon’s pick to win the Pac-12 in 2021. End Kayvon Thibodeaux leads a defense returning seven starters and is poised to take a step forward under veteran play-caller Tim DeRuyter. Everything is in place for the offense to succeed under coordinator Joe Moorhead, but Oregon will have a new quarterback in Boston College transfer Anthony Brown.

 

Early Call: Pass

Road treks to Ohio State, Washington and Utah are tough and give us pause at the nine-win mark (for now).

 

Related: Athlon Sports' College Football Top 25 for 2021

 

Oregon State

DraftKings O/U: 4.5

 

Coach Jonathan Smith has the Beavers trending in the right direction, but this team enters 2021 with several question marks. The defense has ranked 10th or worse in the Pac-12 in points allowed for four straight years, while the offense needs to replace standout running back Jermar Jefferson and develop an answer at quarterback.

 

Early Call: Under

The schedule is not kind to Oregon State. In addition to tough non-conference games versus Purdue and Hawaii, the Beavers catch the projected top three – Utah, Arizona State and USC – from the South. Also, road trips to Washington State, California and Colorado are on tap for key swing games.

 

Stanford

DraftKings O/U: 3.5

 

The Cardinal have a strong track record of success under coach David Shaw by winning at least eight games every year from 2011-18. But this year’s team will have trouble reaching that mark with quarterback uncertainty and a defense that returns eight starters after giving up 31.7 points a game last fall.

 

Early Call: Over

Make no mistake: The schedule is brutal. Stanford gets three Power 5 teams (Kansas State, Vanderbilt and Notre Dame) in non-conference play, catches the projected top three in the South, and misses Colorado and Arizona. However, the track record is there, and the Cardinal should find a way to get at least four wins.

 

Washington: 9

DraftKings O/U: 9

 

The Huskies won the Pac-12 North in coach Jimmy Lake’s debut last year, but COVID-19 protocols prevented the team from playing in the conference title. As usual, Washington’s defense will be strong, but getting back to the top of the Pac-12 will hinge on how far the offense improves under quarterback Dylan Morris.

 

Early Call: Pass

The schedule is favorable. Washington does not play USC or Utah and hosts both Oregon and Arizona State. However, this team is a bit of a wild card after an abbreviated four-game season under a new coach last year. Perhaps a slight lean to the over because of the schedule, but for now, we would stay away from this one.

 

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Washington State

DraftKings O/U: 6

 

A normal offseason should help coach Nick Rolovich implement his run-and-shoot offense, and the Cougars won’t lack for playmakers for whichever player wins the quarterback job. Washington State needs to show marked improvement on defense after giving up 38.5 points a game last fall.

 

Early Call: Under

This one is close, but if we had to pick, taking the under is the call. Washington State has six winnable games at home, but uncertainty at quarterback and defense push us to the under right now.

 

South Division

 

Arizona

DraftKings O/U: 2.5

 

New coach Jedd Fisch has a tough assignment this year. The Wildcats enter 2021 on a 12-game losing streak and ranked last in the Pac-12 in scoring offense and defense. A handful of transfers should provide instant help on both sides of the ball.

 

Early Call: Under

Arizona could be an underdog in two of its non-conference games (BYU and San Diego State), while swing games against Washington State and Colorado take place on the road.

 

Arizona State: 9

DraftKings O/U: 9

 

Arizona State is Athlon’s pick to win the South Division in 2021. Coach Herm Edwards’ squad is loaded with talent, experience and depth on both sides of the ball, which includes one of the Pac-12’s top quarterbacks in Jayden Daniels. The defense led the conference in fewest points allowed per game and brings back eight starters.

 

Early Call: Pass

Although Arizona State is Athlon’s favorite in the South, it wouldn’t surprise us if these teams beat up on each other a little bit in the win column. Also of note: The Sun Devils have just three seasons of more than nine wins since 1997.

 

Related: Athlon Sports' College Football Top 25 for 2021

 

Colorado

DraftKings O/U: 4.5

 

The Buffaloes surprised last season with a 4-2 mark in coach Karl Dorrell’s debut. However, a deeper look at the numbers shows this team has work to do in order to reach a bowl in 2021. The offense averaged 28.5 points a game, while the defense surrendered 31.7. Colorado has a strong backfield and talented pieces returning on both sides of the ball. The quarterback battle between Brendon Lewis and Sam Noyer will extend into the fall.

 

Early Call: Over

This is tough. On paper, Colorado has three games it will be favored to win – Northern Colorado, Arizona and Oregon State. But the guess here is Dorrell can get enough out of the quarterback position and improve on both sides of the ball to find five victories. A slight lean to the over – provided you trust the Buffaloes to pull off an upset.

 

UCLA

DraftKings O/U: 7

 

Despite last year’s 3-4 record, UCLA took a step forward last fall. The Bruins lost all four games by six points or less and showed marked improvement on the stat sheet. With 19 starters back, including quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson, UCLA seems poised to break through and get to a bowl in coach Chip Kelly’s fourth season.

 

Early Call: Under

The Bruins have not won more than seven games since 2015 and face a tricky non-conference slate against LSU, Hawaii and Fresno State. Road treks to Stanford, Washington, Utah and USC await in conference play. A 7-5 finish wouldn’t be a surprise, but we give a slight lean to the under.

 

USC

DraftKings O/U: 9

 

Talent certainly isn’t the issue at USC. Quarterback Kedon Slovis and a receiving corps filled with playmakers headline an offense that averaged 33.3 points a game last season, while top recruit Korey Foreman arrives to bolster a front that already features Drake Jackson.

 

Early Call: Pass

Despite USC’s talent, this team has enough question marks where it could finish third in the Pac-12 South. The offensive line is a major question mark with Alijah Vera-Tucker off to the NFL, and the defense is thin on depth at a couple of spots. The schedule isn’t overly taxing with no Oregon or Washington in crossover play. However, the Trojans play at Notre Dame and Arizona State, while ending the year at California and home versus UCLA and BYU. 9-3 seems about right.

 

Order a Copy of Athlon Sports' 2021 College Football National and SEC Preview Editions

 

Utah

DraftKings O/U: 8.5

 

The Utes should bounce back and contend for the Pac-12 South title in 2021. The addition of transfer quarterback Charlie Brewer provides much-needed stability under center, and as always, Utah will be strong on defense.

 

Early Call: Over

On paper, the Pac-12 South is wide open. USC, UCLA, Arizona State and Utah all have a chance to finish at the top. The Utes have to play Oregon in crossover play and get USC and BYU on the road. However, if one program is going to exceed preseason expectations in the division, it’s definitely the Utes. We’ll take a chance on Utah hitting the over here.

 

 

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