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SEC Week 11 Preview and Predictions

Anthony Jennings

Anthony Jennings

The annual Nick Saban vs. Les Miles showdown highlights the Week 11 slate in the SEC. Elsewhere, Georgia looks to get back on track against Kentucky; struggling Texas A&M visits red-hot Auburn; and Florida hopes to make it two straight SEC wins as it visits Vanderbilt.

Week 11 Previews and Predictions:
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SEC Week 11 Game Power Rankings

1. Alabama (-6.5) at LSU
8 ET, CBS

This matchup is always appointment viewing, but LSU’s recent rise — the Tigers have won three straight after an 0–2 start in the SEC — has made this game far more dangerous for Alabama. LSU has leaned on its running attack of late, averaging 254 rushing yards in wins over Florida, Kentucky and Ole Miss. During this three-game stretch, the Tigers have completed a total of 25 passes for 372 yards. This plan of attack has worked well — though two of the wins were by only three points — but the Tigers will have to be a bit more balanced against an Alabama team that has been dominant against the run. Nick Saban’s club is allowing only 78.1 yards rushing per game and 2.7 yards per rushing attempt — both No. 1 in the SEC by a wide margin. At some point, LSU quarterback Anthony Jennings will need to make a big play in the passing game.

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2. Georgia (-10) at Kentucky

12 ET, ESPN

Georgia’s hopes of reaching the College Football Playoff took a huge hit with last Saturday’s loss to Florida, but the SEC East title is still a very realistic goal. To reach Atlanta, Georgia likely will need to win its final two SEC games (at Kentucky, vs. Auburn) and Missouri must lose at least once. The Tigers still have games at Texas A&M and Tennessee and close the season at home against Arkansas. Kentucky fans were talking about the SEC East title after their team beat South Carolina in early October to improve to 2–1 in the league. Now, after three straight losses, the Wildcats are simply hoping to become bowl-eligible. And with a tough closing slate — vs. Georgia, at Tennessee, at Louisville — the odds might be against Kentucky hitting the six-win mark for the first time since 2010.

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3. Texas A&M at Auburn (-21.5)
3:30 ET, CBS

Auburn stamped itself as a serious contender in the SEC West last season when it went to College Station in mid-October and rolled up 615 yards in a 45–41 over Texas A&M. The Tigers’ offense hasn’t slowed down since. This Saturday, Auburn should have little trouble moving the ball and scoring points against an Aggie defense that is allowing 483.2 yards per game and 7.0 yards per play against SEC opponents. Texas A&M, for the first time in the Kevin Sumlin era, is struggling on the offensive side of the ball. The Aggies were held to 172 yards in a stunning 59–0 loss to Alabama on Oct. 18 and then managed only 243 yards (and 3.5 per play) in a too-close-for-comfort 21–16 win over ULM. True freshman Kyle Allen, who completed only 13-of-28 for 106 yards last week, will make his second career start.

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4. Florida (-14.5) at Vanderbilt
7:30 ET, SEC Network

Florida heads to Nashville fresh off the most improbable win of the Will Muschamp era — a 38–20 victory that featured an astounding 418 rushing yards by the Gators (more than they had in the previous three games combined). The game plan doesn’t figure to change too much. Vanderbilt has allowed at least 200 yards rushing in three of its last four SEC games, including 244 in a 24–14 loss at Missouri two weeks ago. On a positive note, Vanderbilt finally has some stability at the quarterback position. Redshirt freshman Johnny McCrary has completed 61.8 percent of his passes for 646 yards with eight touchdowns and two interceptions in the last two-plus games.

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5. Presbyterian at Ole Miss
12 ET, SEC Network


Ole Miss is wounded — both physically and emotionally — after dropping consecutive games to LSU and Auburn by a combined seven points. The Blue Hose from Presbyterian will allow the Rebels to heal. They are a respectable 5–2 against FCS competition but lost their two games against FBS opponents (Northern Illinois and NC State) by a combined score of 97–3.

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6. UT Martin at Mississippi State

4 ET, SEC Network

Mississippi State steps out of the SEC for a week before its big trip to Alabama. UT Martin has had a strange season; the Skyhawks opened the year with a 1–5 record (with the win coming against Cumberland, an NAIA school) but have since won four straight, all against OVC opponents. They opened the season with a 59–14 loss at Kentucky. This will not be close.

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SEC Week 11 Predictions

 

David
Fox

Braden
Gall

Steven
Lassan

Mitch
Light

Alabama (-6.5) at LSU

Alabama 28-14

Alabama 31-21

Alabama 27-17

Alabama 28-17

Georgia (-10) at UK

UGA 21-17

UGA 34-27

UGA 31-24

UGA 28-24

TAMU at Auburn (-21.5)

Auburn 38-21

Auburn 38-24

Auburn 48-24

Auburn 44-24

Florida (-14.5) at Vandy

UF 21-7

UF 20-9

UF 27-17

UF 24-16

Presbyterian at Ole Miss

OM 38-7

OM 40-7

OM 55-3

OM 41-0

UTM at Miss. State

MSU 42-10

MSU 44-7

MSU 58-7

MSU 44-10

Last Week:

4-3

5-2

4-3

4-3

Season Record:

64-18

66-16

65-17

68-14