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SEC Football: Over/Under Predictions on DraftKings Win Totals for 2021 Season

Jimbo Fisher, Texas A&M Aggies Football

Jimbo Fisher, Texas A&M Aggies Football

College football’s 2021 season is still a few months away, but it’s never too early to start placing wagers and bets on the DraftKings over/under totals for the SEC. The nation's best conference is once again loaded with talent and depth, as Alabama and Georgia are poised to challenge for the national title, while Texas A&M, Florida and LSU form a strong second tier. 

DraftKings Sportsbook recently released over/under win totals for all 14 teams in the SEC. While some of these predictions will evolve, below are Athlon’s early calls on whether to take the over, under or hold on a wager on the DraftKings odds.

SEC Football: Over/Under on DraftKings Win Totals for 2021 Season

East Division

Florida

DraftKings O/U: 9

The Gators’ high-powered offense has a new quarterback with Emory Jones taking over for Kyle Trask, along with personnel turnover on the outside after the departures of tight end Kyle Pitts and receiver Kadarius Toney. Despite those losses, Florida’s offense remains one of the best in the SEC. Defensively, big improvement is needed after allowing 30.8 points a game last fall.

Early Call: Pass

Nine seems right for the early over/under. Florida catches Alabama and LSU (road) in crossover play and still has to face off against Georgia in Jacksonville.

Georgia

DraftKings O/U: 10.5

Georgia has all of the pieces in place to push for the national title in 2021. The offense (and specifically the passing attack) is poised to take off with JT Daniels under center, and as usual, coach Kirby Smart will assemble one of the nation’s top defenses.

Early Call: Over

The transfer portal additions of cornerback Derion Kendrick and tight end Arik Gilbert only added to one of the deepest rosters in the nation. Outside of the opener versus Clemson, Georgia should be favored in all 11 of its regular season matchups. 12-0 or 11-1 is the call here.

Related: Kirby Smart and Georgia Win Big With Transfer Additions for 2021

Kentucky

DraftKings O/U: 7

Kentucky returns only nine starters from last year’s team that went 5-6 in a 10-game conference slate, but coach Mark Stoops' team is on stable ground and a quick reload should be in order. All eyes will be on the offense under new play-caller Liam Coen. Stoops picked Coen to help the Wildcats revitalize a passing game ranked last in the SEC for three straight years. Penn State transfer Will Levis could be the answer at quarterback.

Early Call: Over

This is a tough call. Kentucky has three guaranteed wins in non-conference play – New Mexico State, ULM and Chattanooga – and a toss-up at Louisville to close the regular season. If the Wildcats win all four and beat Tennessee, South Carolina and Vanderbilt, hitting the over is within reach with games against Mississippi State and Missouri still remaining. Kentucky’s defense should be solid but the changes on offense and quarterback uncertainty are worth watching this fall.

Missouri

DraftKings O/U: 7

Missouri had to navigate 2020 with a new coach, a limited offseason and a 10-game SEC slate. With all of those factors in mind, the Tigers arguably overachieved with a 5-5 record in Eli Drinkwitz’s first year. Quarterback Connor Bazelak is promising, but Missouri has to replace running back Larry Rountree III (972 yards) and improve on defense (32.3 ppg).

Early Call: Pass

The over is tempting, but Missouri has a few tricky road dates – Kentucky, Boston College and Arkansas – on its ’21 slate. Assuming Bazelak continues to develop, and new signal-caller Steve Wilks improves the defense, 8-4 or 7-5 are the likely outcomes.

Related: Athlon Sports' College Football Top 25 for 2021

South Carolina

DraftKings O/U: 3.5

New coach Shane Beamer has a lengthy to-do list to tackle in his first year with the Gamecocks. The offense is led by a strong one-two punch at running back with Kevin Harris and MarShawn Lloyd, but question marks remain at quarterback and with playmakers at receiver. Additionally, South Carolina’s defense gave up 36 points a contest last fall and is very thin in the secondary.

Early Call: Over

We aren’t expecting South Carolina to get to a bowl, but the over seems like a strong play. The Gamecocks should be favored to beat Eastern Illinois, Troy and East Carolina in non-conference play. And if Beamer’s squad picks off Vanderbilt in Columbia, that’s enough to hit the over.

Tennessee

DraftKings O/U: 6

New coach Josh Heupel is known for building high-powered offenses, which is good news for a Tennessee program that hasn’t finished higher than 11th in the SEC in scoring in each of the last four years. The Volunteers have options at quarterback and some front-line talent on both sides of the ball. Depth is a concern, however.

Early Call: Pass

If you want to play the Tennessee line, the under is probably your best bet. Heupel’s team will be favored against Bowling Green, Tennessee Tech, South Carolina, South Alabama and Vanderbilt. That’s five. Beating Pitt gets the Volunteers to six, but it’s tough to find another guaranteed win.

Order a Copy of Athlon Sports' 2021 College Football National and SEC Preview Editions

Vanderbilt

DraftKings O/U: 3

New coach Clark Lea is a strong hire, but the Nashville native inherits a team that finished 0-9 and ranked last in the SEC in scoring (14.8 ppg) and 13th in points allowed (37.3).

Early Call: Pass

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The Commodores should be able to pick up two wins against UConn and ETSU. Getting beyond that will require a victory versus Colorado State on the road, a home game versus Stanford or an upset somewhere in SEC play. Just too many unknowns here to be confident in a play. But if you want to take action on the Vanderbilt line, we would probably lean the under.

West Division

Alabama

DraftKings O/U: 11.5

Nick Saban lost several key pieces from the 2020 national championship team, but Alabama isn’t hurting for talent.

Early Call: Over

Alabama has finished four regular seasons (12-game slate before SEC Championship) without a loss under Saban. The odds say the Crimson Tide will lose once, but it’s hard to find that game on the ’21 slate.

Related: Athlon Sports' College Football Top 25 for 2021

Arkansas

DraftKings O/U: 6

The Razorbacks were much-improved in Sam Pittman’s debut last year. While the final ledger was just 3-7, the eye test, advanced analytics and stats all indicated Arkansas was better in 2020 than in ’19.

Early Call: Pass

With the bulk of the roster returning and a promising quarterback in KJ Jefferson ready to replace Feleipe Franks, a bowl game is within reach for Arkansas. However, it’s not going to be easy. Pittman’s team faces five teams in the projected Athlon top 25 for 2021 and also catches Ole Miss on the road.

Auburn

DraftKings O/U: 7

Success in Bryan Harsin’s first stint through the SEC will hinge on how far the former Boise State coach can develop an offense that averaged only 25.1 points a game and enters 2021 with question marks at receiver, along the offensive line and at quarterback.

Early Call: Pass

Auburn’s defense should be solid once again, but this team will only go as far as quarterbacks Bo Nix or T.J. Finley can develop and take it. With games at Penn State, LSU, Arkansas and Texas A&M and home dates against Alabama, Georgia and Ole Miss, 7-5 or 6-6 is in play here.

LSU

DraftKings O/U: 8.5

The Tigers regressed significantly last year after winning the national title in 2019. However, talent isn’t an issue in Baton Rouge, and coach Ed Orgeron hopes significant staff changes – including two new coordinators are enough to get the program back on track.

Early Call: Over

This is one of our favorite plays for the over/under win totals in 2021. The improved staff will help LSU maximize the talent on the roster, and some of the toughest games on the slate – Texas A&M, Auburn and Florida – take place in Baton Rouge.

Order a Copy of Athlon Sports' 2021 College Football National and SEC Preview Editions

Mississippi State

DraftKings O/U: 6

A full offseason for Mike Leach to develop his offense behind quarterback Will Rogers (or Jack Abraham) should be a boost to a group that averaged only 21.4 points a game last year. Mississippi State brings back eight starters on defense, including an underrated corner duo in Martin Emerson and Emmanuel Forbes.

Early Call: Pass

In addition to the brutal SEC West slate, the schedule features a couple of non-conference swing games versus NC State and at Memphis and crossover contests against Vanderbilt (road) and Kentucky (home). An upset to get to seven is possible, but we like six for the early call.

Ole Miss

DraftKings O/U: 7.5

Scoring points won’t be a problem for Ole Miss in 2021. Quarterback Matt Corral returns after guiding the offense to an average of 39.2 points a game last season. The offensive line ranks among the best in the SEC, and despite losing receiver Elijah Moore and tight end Kenny Yeboah, talent on the outside for Corral isn’t a problem.

Early Call: Over

It’s a good bet to assume Ole Miss will be involved in some high-scoring games this year. The Rebels gave up 38.3 points a contest last fall, and the defense might show only small improvement on the stat sheet. The non-conference slate features a couple of tricky games versus Liberty, Louisville and Tulane. But if coach Lane Kiffin’s team goes 4-0 outside the SEC, getting four wins in conference play is very attainable.  

Texas A&M

DraftKings O/U: 9.5

Jimbo Fisher had Texas A&M on the doorstep of the CFB Playoff last year. Getting into the four-team playoff in 2021 will require a quarterback to emerge and four new starters to get quickly acclimated up front along the offensive line. The Aggies bring back nine starters on a defense that ranks among the best in the nation.

Early Call: Over

Either 10-2 or 9-3 is definitely the play here. Missing Georgia and Florida from the East is huge, but Texas A&M still has to play at Missouri, Ole Miss and LSU. Alabama visits College Station on Oct. 9. How high you view LSU in the SEC West might impact whether or not to play the over or under here.

Podcast: Complete 2021 Preview and Predictions for the SEC