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TCU vs. Texas Prediction: Longhorns Look to Make a Statement Against Undefeated Horned Frogs

Texas can tighten things in the Big 12, dash TCU's playoff hopes with a win at home.

The game of the week in college football is taking place in Austin on Saturday as the TCU Horned Frogs put their undefeated record on the line against the Texas Longhorns.

Related: College Football Predictions for Every Game in Week 11

TCU (9-0, 6-0 Big 12) is trying to keep its hopes for a spot in the College Football Playoff alive with a win. On top of that, the Horned Frogs are sitting in the driver's seat for a shot at the Big 12 title. The Longhorns (6-3, 4-2) have positioned themselves for a spot in the conference championship game as well.

All both teams have to do is keep winning. Here's a look at who will come out on top Saturday.

No. 4 TCU at No. 18 Texas

Kickoff: Saturday, Nov. 12 at 7:30 p.m. ET
Live Stream: fuboTV (Start your free trial)
TV: ABC
Spread: Texas -7
Tickets: As low as $223 on SITickets.com

When TCU Has the Ball

The Horned Frogs have assembled one of the nation's most potent offenses under the guidance of first-year head coach Sonny Dykes. TCU has raised its scoring average to 43.1 points per game this year, up from 28.3 in 2021, and the team is daring opponents to try to keep up with its prolific attack.

TCU does have concerns on the injury front, though. Star receiver Quentin Johnston continues to battle an ankle injury that limited him to only a handful of snaps versus Texas Tech last week.

Johnston's status could put TCU at a disadvantage against an improving Texas defense if he can't play. The Longhorns rank third in the Big 12 in scoring defense at 21.8 points per game. With Johnston in the lineup, the TCU receiving corps against the Texas secondary starts to look like a favorable matchup for the visiting team.

When Texas Has the Ball

The Longhorns possess some shiny toys at quarterback and receiver, but this offense revolves around the elite combo at running back of Bijan Robinson and Roschon Johnson. Led by Robinson's 209 yards on the ground, the two combined for more than 270 rushing yards and two scores last week at Kansas State.

UT still has some young weapons in the passing game, however. Talented sophomores Xavier Worthy (40 rec., 552 yds., 9 TDs) and Ja'Tavion Sanders (39, 450, 9) have emerged as stars. Their presence on the field alone opens up opportunities for their backfield mates. Don't be surprised if Texas head coach Steve Sarkisian tries to soften up TCU early with a couple of deep bombs to UT's dangerous wideouts.

This TCU defense is giving up 7.2 yards per passing attempt in 2022, one of the worst marks in the Big 12. Given the strength of Texas' aerial attack, that may mean the Horned Frogs will look to discourage big shots downfield and try to steer UT into longer drives. Doing so may also set up Horns freshman quarterback Quinn Ewers for a handful of impatient throws that turn into interceptions.

Final Analysis

Despite their lofty spot in the College Football Playoff Rankings, the Horned Frogs and their spotless record appear to be living on borrowed time. TCU has trailed in the second half of four of its nine games this season, including last week's comeback win over Texas Tech.

On the other hand, the Longhorns have struggled all season to maintain leads in the third and fourth quarters. They were up in the second half of all three of their losses so far this year.

That sounds like the script for another TCU thriller/Texas disappointment, doesn't it? Don't count on it. The Longhorns have enough balance on offense to take advantage of any defensive game plan the Horned Frogs throw at them. Also, Johnston's injury issue will keep TCU from hitting on all offensive cylinders.

Prediction: Texas 35, TCU 27

Podcast: Complete Week 11 Preview, Predictions, and Picks Against the Spread

— Written by Allen Kenney, who is part of the Athlon Contributor Network. Kenney is the founder and editor of BlatantHomerism.com and host of the Blatant Homerism Podcast. Follow him on Twitter @BlatantHomerism.

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