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TCU Horned Frogs vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Preview and Prediction

Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes

This is a matchup of two Big 12 offenses that are already firing at all cylinders. Texas Tech enters this weekend averaging 54.3 points per game while TCUcomes in at 49.7. Both teams enter the game coming off clean sweeps in their non-conference schedule. 

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If you enjoy high-scoring games this is a must watch on Saturday. Both defenses will have their work cut out for them as TCU will have to deal with Texas Tech quarterback Patrick Mahomes while the Raiders will be up against Heisman hopeful Trevone Boykin.

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TCU at Texas Tech

Kickoff: 4:45 p.m. ET (Saturday)
TV Channel: Fox
Spread: TCU -7.5

Three Things to Watch

1. TCU’s Defense

The Frogs have been devastated by injuries and off the field trouble that has yielded the loss of seven players. While TCU has been able to weather the storm to this point this weekend will be the first true test for the Frogs defensively.

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Expect Texas Tech to test every aspect of this decimated TCU defense and test it often. The Frogs secondary has taken the brunt of the losses which could spell trouble facing a quarterback who is coming off a 26-30 243 yard performance against Arkansas just a week ago.

2. Trevone Boykin vs. Patrick Mahomes
This should be fun to watch. Both quarterbacks are near or have already surpassed 1,000 yards passing this season with Boykin at 985 yards and Mahomes at 1029 yards. Both also have a completion percentage over 65% so far this season.

While Boykin arguably has more weapons at his disposal Mahomes has found his go-to receiver in Senior Jakeem Grant who has 21 receptions for 287 yards this season. And the similarities don’t stop at the passing attack. Both quarterbacks have already pushed for over 100 yards this season. Mahomes is averaging 6.1 yards per carry compared to Boykins 4.6. Mahomes also boasts 4 rushing touchdowns this season compared to Boykins 2.

Simply put, this game could be a showcase of the best two quarterbacks in the Big 12 Conference.

3. Can Texas Tech Keep it Close?

The simple answer is yes. While TCU should be able to put points on the board so will Texas Tech. Every facet of offensive firepower will be on display in Lubbock this weekend. There probably isn’t a defense in the country that can hold TCU under 30 points right now. The catch is TCU’s defense may not be able to contain Texas Tech either.

Final Analysis

Defensive stops may be at a premium in Lubbock this weekend. The possibility of seeing over 100 total points is probably better than average. TCU has proven to be one of the best teams in the country although their defensive concerns are real as they enter Big 12 play. Texas Tech has arguably overachieved already this year with the emergence of Patrick Mahomes and an offense that is top 10 in the country in scoring.

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Despite Texas Tech’s best effort though, the Frogs simply have more weapons on the offensive side of the ball. Wide receiver Josh Doctson and running back Aaron Green complement Boykin very well. Add wide receiver Kolby Listenbee’s 22.4 yard per catch average and it is simply too much for the Raiders to handle. The Raiders will make it a game, although I expect the Frogs to cover the 7.5-point spread in a high-scoring affair.

Prediction: TCU 56, Texas Tech 45

— Written by Jeremy Simon, who is part of the Athlon Contributor Network and editor-in-chief of, a must visit for any and all West Virginia Mountaineer fans. Follow on Twitter @Blue_GoldSports.