TCU vs. West Virginia Football Prediction and Preview

Horned Frogs hope to continue their winning ways as they face the Mountaineers in Morgantown

Even though they're likely out of the Big 12 title chase, the TCU Horned Frogs and West Virginia Mountaineers still have winning 2020 records in their sights.

 

TCU heads to Milan Puskar Stadium on Saturday riding a two-game winning streak and a 3-3 overall record. The Mountaineers (4-3) are coming off a stinging loss to Texas.

 

Can TCU get revenge for last year's 20-17 defeat at the hands of WVU? Here's what to watch in Morgantown on Saturday.

 

TCU at West Virginia

 

Kickoff: Saturday, Nov. 14 at 12 p.m. ET

TV: FOX

Spread: West Virginia -3

 

When TCU Has the Ball

TCU's offense has apparently shifted into high gear in the last two weeks. The Horned Frogs put 34 points on the board last week in a win over Texas Tech and scored 33 in their defeat of Baylor a week before that.

 

TCU's ground game is currently powering its attack. The team has averaged more than 270 rushing yards per game in the last two weeks. Quarterback Max Duggan has combined with running backs Darwin Barlow and Zach Evans to give the Horned Frogs a multifaceted ground game.

 

Of course, the quality of the opponents may have something to do with TCU's offensive explosion. West Virginia poses a tougher test. The Mountaineers excel at stopping the run, especially, allowing just 3.26 yards per carry.

 

When West Virginia Has the Ball

Last week versus Texas, the Mountaineers relied on quarterback Jarret Doege and their passing attack to keep the chains moving. Doege threw for 317 yards, but he needed 50 attempts to hit the mark, a sign that the Longhorns kept big aerial plays to a minimum.

 

The Horned Frogs are arguably more vulnerable on the ground than through the air. They're giving up 4.4 yards per rush, which ranks 73rd nationally. The Mountaineers have already played the four Big 12 teams with worse rush defenses than TCU in their past five games and racked up 158.8 yards per contest.

 

Count on WVU to try to grind TCU down with the backfield combo of Alec Sinkfield and Leddie Brown. If the Mountaineers can't get anything going on the ground early, look for head coach Neal Brown to turn Doege loose.

 

Final Analysis

 

West Virginia was failed by its offense in the red zone last week in a 17-13 loss to the Longhorns. The Mountaineers settled for field goals twice and surrendered the ball on downs two times inside Texas' 20-yard line. In other words, this team is probably playing just as well, if not better, than the one making the pilgrimage to West Virginia this weekend.

 

Speaking of which, TCU won't have much success on Saturday if WVU doesn't have to honor its passing attack as a threat. Horned Frogs quarterback Max Duggan has proven himself to be a dangerous runner when the field opens up for him, so look for the Mountaineers to zero in on keeping Duggan contained in the pocket.

 

WVU's deflating loss to Texas definitely raises the potential for TCU to catch the home team in a flat spot. The Mountaineers are playing well enough, however, to shake off the disappointment. TCU's offensive inefficiency will prove to be too much to overcome in a low-scoring, fast-moving contest.

 

Prediction: West Virginia 21, TCU 13

 

Podcast: Week 11 Preview and Predictions

 

— Written by Allen Kenney, who is part of the Athlon Contributor Network. Kenney is the founder and editor of BlatantHomerism.com and host of the Blatant Homerism Podcast. Follow him on Twitter @BlatantHomerism.

Event Sport: 
College Football
Event Date: 
Saturday, November 14, 2020 - 12:00
Event Location: 
Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium, 1 Ira Errett Rodgers Dr, Morgantown, WV 26505
Away Team: 
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