Skip to main content

Texas A&M vs. Auburn Prediction: Postseason Hopes on the Line When the Aggies and Tigers Meet

Loser of this matchup falls to last in the SEC West and is eliminated from bowl consideration.

It was not so long ago that a mid-November matchup between Auburn and Texas A&M would be one of the games you may consider appointment viewing. But the 2022 college football season has taken much of the anticipation out of this year's matchup.

Instead of playing for a spot atop the SEC West, Texas A&M and Auburn (both 3-6 overall, 1-5 in conference) are simply playing for bowl eligibility, and the loser this week will be guaranteed to be staying home this bowl season.

Related: College Football Predictions for Every Game in Week 11

Auburn has already made a change with the removal of head coach Bryan Harsin, and the pressure on Aggies head coach Jimbo Fisher continues to rise every week.

Here's a look at this week's matchup in the SEC West.

Texas A&M at Auburn

Kickoff: Saturday, Nov. 12 at 7:30 p.m. ET
TV: SEC Network
Live Stream: fuboTV (Start your free trial)
Spread: Auburn -1.5
Tickets: As low as $26 on SITickets.com*

When Texas A&M Has the Ball

The Aggies are hoping to get freshman quarterback Conner Weigman back in the swing of things for his second career start. Weigman missed last week's game against Florida due to illness and passed for 338 yards and four touchdowns in his last start against Ole Miss two weeks ago. That is the spark the Texas A&M offense needs in a big way as the offense has been a complete disappointment all season long.

Freshman receiver Evan Stewart is coming off his best game of the season with 120 yards on eight receptions against Florida last week. He also had a 100-yard game against Alabama, and he caught six passes the last time Weigman was the starter against Ole Miss.

When Auburn Has the Ball

Auburn needs quarterback Robby Ashford to get in a rhythm against the Aggies. Despite many flaws with Texas A&M this season, the pass defense is actually one of the more reliable assets it has. Texas A&M has just two interceptions this season, but the Aggies have held opponents to just 173.6 passing yards per game this fall. That includes a game allowing just 111 passing yards at Alabama and 140 yards to Ole Miss (although both opponents had three pass touchdowns in their wins over the Aggies).

Ashford needs to shake off a brutal performance against Mississippi State in which he completed just seven of 22 attempts for 75 yards and was sacked four times. A big game from Tank Bigsby may be a bit overdue as well. Bigsby has just two games with over 100 rushing yards in a single game. The Aggies rank 123rd in the nation against the run, so former Aubrun running back and interim head coach Carnell  "Cadillac" Williams should focus on that as the bread and butter of the game plan this week.

Final Analysis

No matter how you look at this game, one fan base is going to be pulling some hair out afterward and wondering how much worse things can possibly get. You know things are going poorly when you are an underdog against Auburn, but the Aggies may be a slightly better 3-6 team. Expect a fairly entertaining game complete with a weird ending deciding how this one tilts.

Prediction: Auburn 24, Texas A&M 23

Podcast: Complete Week 11 Preview, Predictions, and Picks Against the Spread

— Written by Kevin McGuire, who is part of the Athlon Contributor Network. Follow him on Twitter @KevinOnCFB, on Instagram, on TikTok, and Like him on Facebook.

*Price as of publication.