Oklahoma and Baylor are considered the favorites in the Big 12 for 2014, but Kansas State and Texas aren’t too far behind.
The Wildcats and Longhorns both finished 8-5 last season, but Texas held a two-game edge in conference play.
Texas defeated Kansas State 31-21 in 2013, but prior to last season, the Wildcats had won five in a row over the Longhorns.
With Charlie Strong taking over, Texas is due for a transition period, but there’s still a ton of talent on the roster.
Kansas State finished 2013 on a tear, winning six out of the last seven games. And with 10 starters back, the Wildcats are a sleeper team to watch in the Big 12 in 2014. The offense should have no trouble scoring points with the return of quarterback Jake Waters and receiver Tyler Lockett, and the defense will get a boost from a couple of key recruits from the junior college ranks.
Even though Oklahoma and Baylor are considered the No. 1 and No. 2 teams in the conference (in whatever order you prefer), it’s not out of the question Texas or Kansas State could win the Big 12 title if all of the pieces come together.
Athlon Sports’ preseason magazines are set to hit the newsstands in late May/early June, and it’s time to settle some of the biggest debates for 2014. Over the next few weeks, AthlonSports.com will dive into some of the key topics by conference and some of the debates that will shape preseason predictions for this year.
Texas or Kansas State: Who Finishes HIgher in the Big 12 in 2014?
Steven Lassan (@AthlonSteven)
Tough call. There’s very little separation between these two teams, and it wouldn’t be a surprise to see Kansas State and Texas tie in the Big 12 standings. The Wildcats have a huge schedule advantage by hosting the Longhorns, but Bill Snyder’s team plays at Oklahoma, TCU, West Virginia and Baylor. Although Texas has to play in Manhattan, its road schedule in conference play seems to be more manageable. Talent certainly hasn’t been an issue for the Longhorns, but this roster has underachieved in recent years. Strong should fix that problem by bringing discipline and a better fundamental, X’s and O’s approach than former coach Mack Brown. But much of Texas’ chances of finishing ahead of Kansas State in the standings will rest on the quarterback position. The Wildcats have a huge edge over the Longhorns in that department, as Jake Waters should be one of the Big 12’s top quarterbacks in 2014. The health of quarterback David Ash is a concern for Strong, but the Longhorns can win games with their stable of running backs and a solid defense. A compelling case could be made for either team in this discussion, but I will give a slight edge to the Longhorns. Yes, the home matchup favors Kansas State, and Bill Snyder on the sidelines is worth an extra win or two every year for the Wildcats. However, Strong should be what Texas needs to maximize the talent on the roster, and the Longhorns should narrowly edge Kansas State for the No. 3 spot in the Big 12.
I've got Texas projected to finish the year at 6-3 in conference. Wins: Iowa State, Kansas, West Virginia, TCU, Oklahoma State, Baylor. Losses: Oklahoma, Texas Tech, Kansas State.
Same for Kansas State. Wins: Texas, Oklahoma State, West Virginia, Kansas, Iowa State, Texas Tech. Losses: Baylor, Oklahoma, TCU.
If you want to get all technical about it, the Wildcats would have the tiebreaker by virtue of a head-to-head win. Record-wise, however, the two teams tie for third place. Feel the excitement.
As much as I like the Charlie Strong hire for Texas, I have learned it's never a wise move to count out Bill Snyder. All the man has done as Kansas State's head coach is win consistently with less talent, at least according to the recruiting services, than the likes of Texas, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State and more recently, Baylor. Over the past three seasons, the Wildcats have won 29 games, gone 20-7 in Big 12 play, including claiming the conference crown in 2012. K-State has enjoyed all of this success due to Snyder's steady hand, solid coaching and the impressive ability to mine the junior college ranks for impact talent on a year-in, year-out basis. That's why even though the Wildcats return just 10 starters, just four of those on defense, I still expect Snyder to find a way to coax enough wins out of this roster to finish ahead of Strong and the Longhorns. For one, Jake Waters is fully entrenched as the starting quarterback and appears to have the same type of dual-threat skill set that thrives in Snyder's offense. Waters also has some playmakers around him, namely All-Big 12 standout wide receiver Tyler Lockett. The defense is inexperienced, but there's talent for the coaching staff to work with and, as always, reinforcements on the way in the form of junior college transfers and redshirt freshmen.
The other reason I like K-State a little better than Texas this season is the schedule. The Wildcats have a big showdown with defending SEC champion Auburn on Sept. 18, but that game takes place in Manhattan, Kan. Likewise, Snyder's team also will welcome Oklahoma State, Texas Tech and, that's right, Texas, to the Little Apple this fall. Road trips to Oklahoma, Baylor, TCU and West Virginia won't be easy, but this schedule appears, at least on paper, more palatable than the Longhorns'. Before Strong even gets his first taste of the Big 12, he will have played both BYU and UCLA in his new home state, the latter coming at AT&T Stadium in Arlington. Texas' conference slate has them visiting Stillwater, Lubbock, the aforementioned Manhattan and of course Dallas for the newly re-branded AT&T Red River Showdown with an Oklahoma team that's still smarting from last year's beatdown to the 'Horns. And don't forget home dates with Baylor and TCU. Yes, Texas made a wise choice in tabbing Strong as the successor to Mack Brown, but that doesn't mean he will immediately return the Longhorns to the top of the Big 12. Not with wily old Snyder and Kansas State seemingly flying under the radar for yet another season.
David Fox (@DavidFox615)
The safe pick is Kansas State. The upside pick is Texas. Kansas State has the more stable quarterback situation with Jake Waters’ development pushing Daniel Sams to wide receiver. Kansas State has the fortuitous schedule with three off weeks and Texas at home. That said, both teams have big time questions that may prevent them from contending for the Big 12. I like Texas’ potential. While the Longhorns don’t have an easy solution at quarterback with the injury-prone veteran David Ash, the upstart Tyrone Swoopes or the potential newcomer Max Wittek, as long as any of them are competent, Texas can win thanks to the run game. Joe Wickline is a quality offensive line coach, and his arrival is huge for Texas. Texas will find some answers there. And even if we don’t know some of the names on defense, Texas has the talent. If I’m feeling safe, I go Kansas State. If I’m feeling lucky, I’ll go with Texas.