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Texas Tech vs. Texas Football Prediction and Preview

Texas Tech vs. Texas Football Prediction and Preview

Texas Tech (TTU) vs. Texas (UT) Prediction and Preview

A meeting between the Texas Longhorns and Texas Tech Red Raiders on Thanksgiving weekend has apparently become a biannual Big 12 tradition.

When they last played on Black Friday, a Tech win in Austin capped off a 6-6 regular season in head coach Tom Herman's first year on the job. Now, the Red Raiders could do the same in Herman's third season.

Here's what to watch when Tech and Texas face off this time around.

Texas Tech at Texas

Kickoff: Friday, Nov. 29 at 12 p.m. ET


Spread: Texas -9

When Texas Tech Has the Ball

Tech quarterback Jett Duffey presents one of the biggest wild cards in the entire Big 12. In his eight games as the team's primary signal-caller, he has thrown 16 touchdowns and five interceptions. He shined in wins over the Oklahoma State Cowboys and West Virginia Mountaineers, the Red Raiders' only two victories in conference play.

The Texas defense possesses the capability to bring out the rough side of Duffey and the Tech offense. Even as the Longhorns have limped to the finish line this season, their D has tightened up. Against Baylor last week, UT held the Bears to a respectable 24 points and 6.1 yards per play.

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Tech rolled up 595 yards of total offense when these two teams matched up last season, but three turnovers killed the Red Raiders' upset aspirations. Avoiding those giveaways will be key if Tech turns the tables this year.

When Texas Has the Ball

The Texas offense is flailing as the season comes to a close. Since scoring 50 points versus the Kansas Jayhawks, UT has seen its weekly scoring gradually drop down to just 10 points in last week's loss against Baylor.

The UT passing game has looked rudimentary of late, producing 5.4 yards per throw versus the Bears. A hamstring injury to wide receiver Collin Johnson has played a part in that down the stretch, and he won't return for the season finale. Senior WR Devin Duvernay has done his best to help the Longhorns continue moving the ball through the air, but UT needs players like Brennan Eagles and Malcolm Epps to provide more of a threat and make up for Johnson's absence.

The good news for the Longhorns is that Tech's defense has reverted to previous form after a strong start to the season. The Red Raiders currently allow 6.5 yards per play, ranking 112th nationally.

Final Analysis

Which team has more to play for here? Frankly, a win won't do much to salvage an already frustrating season for the Longhorns, who are facing a significant retooling in the offseason. On the other hand, Texas Tech could point to beating its in-state rival as a sign of progress in head coach Matt Wells' first season.

College Football Top 25 Rankings: Texas

In other words, expect an inspired effort here from the Red Raiders.

The defensive shortcomings of these teams indicate a shootout is likely coming. Texas has more firepower, and so long as the Horns haven't packed it in, they should make out with a tight win.

Prediction: Texas 41, Texas Tech 35

— Written by Allen Kenney, who is part of the Athlon Contributor Network. Kenney is founder and editor of and host of the Blatant Homerism Podcast. Follow him on Twitter @BlatantHomerism.