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Week 11 College Football Picks Against the Spread

Utah Utes

Utah Utes

Picked against my own rooting interest last week and, while it helped my overall football predictions (TCU was overrated and Alabama is awesome), it meant two big losses in two big games.

But, Navy and Stanford — both 7-2 against the spread this year — continued to pay off and I won the week. 

What have you done for me lately, so, we move on to Week 11. So as usual, choose wisely from the list below.

Last Week: 4-3

Year-to-date: 36-29

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Arkansas (+7.5) at LSU

Leonard Fournette will get back on track but the LSU defense will struggle once again. The Hogs won this game 17-0 last year and have scored at least 53 points in three straight games. Brandon Allen, Alex Collins and company trail only Ole Miss in offense in SEC games at 446.6 yards per game. Prediction: Arkansas +7.5

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Arkansas St (-14) at UL Monroe

ULM has lost seven straight games, has allowed 41.8 points per game over the last four weeks and has scored more than 14 points just once over that span. The Red Wolves have won five straight and has topped 296 yards rushing in four of the last five games. Prediction: Arkansas State -14

Oregon (+10) at Stanford

This winner of this game has gone on to become Pac-12 champion five straight years and this trend will likely continue following a Stanford victory Saturday night at home. But this is a lot of points to give a high-powered (and healthy) offense that is capable of hanging 50 points and 700 yards of offense on almost anyone. Prediction: Oregon +10

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Alabama (-8) at Mississippi St

Dak Prescott is awesome but is a one-man show in Starkville. For State to win, Prescott will have to do something extraordinary. On both sides of the ball, Alabama won’t be stopped up front and there won’t be much Mississippi State can do about it. Prediction: Alabama -8

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Utah (-6) at Arizona

The Wildcats have not been good on defense this year, giving up 34.6 points per game. During the current three-game losing streak, it’s been even worse. Arizona has allowed 44.0 points per game and 523.7 yards per game during that span. Utah has a division title in sight and has allowed more than 23 points just once all year. Prediction: Utah -6

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Maryland (+15) at Michigan St

The Spartans likely feel like they got robbed last weekend but are still in the hunt for a Big Ten championship and potential College Football Playoff berth. Connor Cook is surging with four consecutive 300-yard passing games for an offense scoring 33.9 points per game. Maryland is awful and will be outclassed from start to finish. Prediction: Michigan State -15

Best/Worst Records Against the Spread

Best Teams

Record

Worst Teams

Record

C. Michigan

7-1-1

Old Dominion

1-7-1

Southern Miss

7-2

Fresno St

1-7-1

Bowling Green

7-2

UCF

2-8

Notre Dame

7-2

Arizona St

2-7

Oklahoma

7-2

Kansas

2-7

Stanford

7-2

Kentucky

2-7

Temple

7-2

Michigan St

2-7

Washington St

7-2

Missouri

2-7

Navy

6-2

Oregon St

2-7

Toledo

6-2

UMass

2-7

N. Illinois

6-2-1

South Alabama

2-6

USF

6-2-1

Texas St

2-6