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Week 12 College Football Picks Against the Spread

Ole Miss Rebels

Ole Miss Rebels

I hope you read up last weekend as we had another big week helped by two big road dogs winning outright.

Thanks, Arkansas and Oregon.

There are a few dogs I like this week as well but am going back to the well on a few teams that have won bettors money almost every weekend this fall.

Last Week: 5-1

Year-to-date: 41-30

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Colorado (+15) at Washington St

I’ve gone to this well more than a few times this year and this week is another chance for Mike Leach to do some work. The Buffs are near the bottom of FBS when it comes to scoring defense in conference play (101st, 34.9 ppg) and yards per play allowed (T-106th, 6.41 ypp). Take the surging Cougs to win easily (and move to 9-2 ATS this fall). Prediction: Washington State -15

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Navy (-12) at Tulsa

Certainly, the Midshipmen could be looking ahead to next week’s trip to Houston, but odds are Keenan Reynolds will have his squad focused. This offense is cruising right now, averaging more than 400 yards rushing in the last three games while Tulsa is allowing 532.4 yards per game — aka, the 124th-best defense in the nation. Navy is 7-2 ATS this fall. Prediction: Navy -12

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Cincinnati (-2.5) at South Florida

The wrong team is favored here. The Bulls have won five out of six, including a thumping of No. 21 Temple last weekend. The defense has played excellent football over that span and, with a win at home and an Owls loss to Memphis, USF would take control of the AAC East Division. The Bulls are 7-2-1 this year ATS. Prediction: USF +2.5

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LSU (+5) at Ole Miss

The Tigers have allowed 549 yards rushing in two straight losses while not showing the ability to move the football (113 yards rushing WITH Leonard Fournette). Ole Miss is coming off the bye and has an offense that is capable of torching an LSU defense that is reeling right now. Prediction: Ole Miss -5

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Indiana (+3) at Maryland

The Hoosiers are 0-6 in the Big Ten but were right in the mix to beat Ohio State, Michigan State and Iowa. Maryland has lost seven straight games and only two came within single digits. Take the Indiana offense to put up big numbers in a shootout win. Prediction: Indiana +3

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Mississippi St (+4) at Arkansas

The Hogs are rolling in NovemBERT as most of Bret Bielema’s teams have in the past. Mississippi State is coming off an extremely physical loss to Alabama and is headed on the road. The body blow theory is in full effect here with a big, physical, surging Arkansas squad. Prediction: Arkansas -4

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Old Dominion (+21) at Southern Miss

The Golden Eagles are crushing people right now and are 8-2 against the spread  — tied for the best record in college football. Southern Miss has won four straight games by a combined score of 175-43 and has allowed no more than 13 points in any of those games. The Monarchs are tied for 102nd in the nation in scoring defense at 34.0 points per game and are on the road. Prediction: Southern Miss -21

Best/Worst Records Against the Spread

Best Teams

Record

Worst Teams

Record

Oklahoma

8-2

UCF

2-8

Southern Miss

8-2

Kentucky

2-8

Toledo

8-2

Oregon St

2-8

Washington St

8-2

Texas St

2-7

C. Michigan

7-2-1

Fresno St

2-7-1

N. Illinois

7-2-1

Old Dominion

2-7-1

USF

7-2-1

 

 

Navy

7-2