I wrapped up one of my best seasons against the spread last week with a modest 3-2 mark. Betting against Les Miles was a mistake on so many levels.
However, after going 3-2 last week, I've finished the year 50-33. I, and every gambler on the planet, will take that in a heartbeat.
Wait, isn't there much more football to be played and more bets to be made? Not in my world. Not one of these championship game lines inspires me to play and betting on bowl games is one of the dumbest things anyone can do.
No, I will give you my picks from here on out for the big games but I'm doing so in protest. Aka, don't play this weekend.
Last Week: 3-2
Bowling Green (-12.5) vs. Northern Illinois
This number just feels way to high for a championship game at this level. The Huskies are very familiar with this game and the number may be skewed after an NIU loss to Ohio last week. Otherwise, this team averaged 440.7 yards and 34.6 points per game too and should be able to hang with the Falcons' great offense. Prediction: Northern Illinois +12.5
Temple (+5.5) at Houston
The Cougars have dominated Matt Rhule’s Owls the last two years helped by seven turnovers. And while Temple’s defense just dominated Memphis’ high-powered offense a few weeks ago, Greg Ward Jr. looks to be as healthy as he’s been of late. At home, give me Houston. Prediction: Houston -5.5
Southern Miss (+7.5) at Western Kentucky
Southern Miss has crushed the point spread all season, leading the nation at 10-2 ATS. The Golden Eagles just being in this game is a huge surprise and it could be the last game for both Western Kentucky’s All-American quarterback and rising star head coach. Look for WKU to roll. Prediction: Western Kentucky -7.5
Florida (+18) vs. Alabama
This is such a huge mismatch on one side of the ball (when Florida’s offense is on the field) that it’s hard seeing the Gators scoring more than seven points all game. Can Alabama, a team that’s averaged 31.9 points per game against Power 5 teams this year, get to 20 points? I’ll roll the dice on a virtual shutout from Bama. Prediction: Alabama -18
Stanford (-4.5) vs. USC
In Santa Clara, Stanford could have home-field advantage not only due to location but also because the Trojans don’t travel all that well. Having said that, USC’s offense has been surging and Stanford has given up huge chunks of yards of late (SEE: Oregon, Notre Dame). If there is an upset, I’d take USC. Prediction: USC +4.5
North Carolina (+4.5) vs. Clemson
I really want to take the Tar Heels here but the Tigers are just better at every position than North Carolina. DeShaun Watson is on a mission on offense, averaging over 400 yards per game over his last five, and the defense is easily the best UNC has faced all season. Prediction: Clemson -4.5
Michigan State (-3.5) vs. Iowa
Iowa is a great story and plays a team game. But Connor Cook, the Michigan State's offensive line and secondary are healthier than they’ve been all year. After its best defensive performance (Ohio State) and best offensive performance (Penn State) of the season, Sparty is rolling into the College Football Playoff. Prediction: Michigan State -3.5