I probably won't bet on Auburn the rest of the season. Or Tennessee or TCU or Oregon. Every year in college football there are just teams that are more schizophrenic than others.
Those are the teams to avoid and it appears we've got a lot of them in college football this season. Particularly, with all of the injuries mounting for Top 25 teams.
Last Week: 4-3
Notre Dame (+1.5) at Clemson
The Irish are a solid team with a big-time O-line and great weapons. But they have a QB making his second career start on the road against a rested Tigers team. Deshaun Watson makes a big play against a banged-up ND defense. Prediction: Clemson -1.5
College Football Podcast: Week 5 Preview with Andy Staples
Ohio State (-22) at Indiana
This game has been bizarrely close lately in two of the last three meetings and Indiana is operating at full capacity on offense right now. Ohio State wins easily, but this is way too many points for a very good Indiana offense. Prediction: Indiana +22
Western Kentucky (-7.5) at Rice
The Hilltoppers are excellent on offense and Rice has been scorched on defense this year, giving up 7.7 yards per play this season. Texas, North Texas and Baylor all averaged more than 7.0 yards per play against the Owls. Take WKU. Prediction: Western Kentucky -7.5
Vanderbilt (+1.5) at Middle Tennessee
The Blue Raiders are a solid team and have never lost to Vanderbilt as an FBS team. The Dores know this and have a defense that is playing at a very high level. Vandy has held Ole Miss, Georgia and WKU well below their season averages this year already. Take the points. Prediction: Vanderbilt +1.5
West Virginia (+6.5) at Oklahoma
Call it a hunch, but I like the Sooners here. West Virginia is solid on defense and has looked really good all season and that may have skewed this line as the betting public is all over the Mountaineers. Baker Mayfield and company are rested and playing at an elite level on offense. This will be an entertaining game. Prediction: Oklahoma -6.5
Against the herd: Bet opposite of the public!
Texas Tech (+17) vs. Baylor
This was close last season and Tech is improved this fall. There will be points. This opened at Baylor -15.
Texas (+15) at TCU
This opened at 18.5 and has dropped big time because the public is doubting TCU’s defense. Take the Frogs.
Oregon (-7.5) at Colorado
The Buffs opened at +12 and the public has dropped it all the way to a touchdown. Go Ducks.
Air Force, Central Michigan*, MTSU, Navy**, NC State, Ohio, Southern Miss, Texas Tech*
Arizona St, UCF, Fresno St^, Michigan St, Missouri, North Texas^^, Old Dominion, San Diego St, UTEP^,
* — 3-0-1
** — 3-0
^ — 0-3-1
^^ - 0-3