Last week was both unpredictable and bizarre.
Entering last weekend, there were the seven teams left in college football without a win against the spread all year. Five covered and UTEP didn't play, leaving the Miners and Old Dominion as the only teams in college football without a win against the spread.
Meanwhile, Central Michigan remained the lone unbeaten against the number (6-0-1) after drubbing Buffalo 51-14.
I'm still well into the black on the season but have been struggling the last two weekends. Time to bounce back (with some underdogs)!
Last Week: 3-4
Texas A&M (+6) at Ole Miss
The Rebels are reeling right now after two losses and lots of injuries. Texas A&M was much closer to Alabama than the score indicated last week and is desperate for a marquee win in the SEC West this fall. The Rebels' D-Line has been non-existent lately and Kyle Allen could light the Landsharks up. Prediction: Texas A&M +6
Utah (+3.5) at USC
Yes, somebody somewhere knows something and I’m not buying it. USC is more talented and more athletic but Utah has been beating teams like that all year long. Defense and special teams travel and the veteran quarterback knows how to handle this situation. Prediction: Utah +3.5 (There is a caveat, however, if the big money keeps rolling in on USC and the line gets bigger, something is up and you should take USC.)
Washington St (+7.5) at Arizona
The Wildcats' defense isn’t stopping anything and is banged up without Scooby Wright. The Cougars are arguably the best passing offense in the nation and could easily win this game outright after handling both Oregon schools. Prediction: Washington State +7.5
Indiana (+16.5) at Michigan State
Indiana has an offense (when healthy) that can score on any defense in the nation. Michigan State is coming off a physical and emotional win over Michigan. Look for Nate Sudfeld and the Hoosiers' spread offense to keep it close. The Spartans are also a nasty 1-6 against the number this year. Prediction: Indiana +16.5
Ohio St (-21) at Rutgers
Last weekend against Penn State will be the game the nation looks back at Ohio State and says, that looks familiar. J.T. Barrett is running the show now and Urban Meyer will want to get his new guy as much confidence as possible. Look for a huge showing from the Buckeyes. Prediction: Ohio State -21
Florida State (-6) at Georgia Tech
Just like the Buckeyes, the Noles are finding their stride at just the right time. Everett Golson is playing well, Dalvin Cook is unstoppable and the defense is playing really well. The betting public still doesn’t believe and that is the only reason this line is so low. Prediction: Florida State -6
Houston (-21) at UCF
I’m going back to this well. Houston is crushing teams and not only is UCF winless on the season but is 1-6 against the spread too. Look for the Cougars to continue to make statements. Prediction: Houston -21
Bowling Green (-14) at Kent St
The Falcons boast one of the highest-scoring offenses in college football and a 5-2 record against the spread. Kent State just gave up 38 to Toledo in a 31-point loss and has mustered just 22 points over the last two games (including a 15-10 win over a terrible UMass team last weekend). Prediction: Bowling Green -14
Best/Worst Records Against the Spread