Unpredictable is the best word to sum up the Big 12 heading into the 2013 season.
The defending Big 12 champs (Kansas State) lost several key pieces, including quarterback Collin Klein and linebacker Arthur Brown. However, it’s hard to bet against Bill Snyder.
Texas seems to be on the right track after going 9-4 last year. But is the defense capable of turning things around after a disappointing 2012 campaign?
Oklahoma loses quarterback Landry Jones and is short on bodies on the defensive line, but the Sooners can’t be counted out of the title picture.
Oklahoma State and TCU could have the most upside of any of the teams in the conference and will be popular selections at the top of the league for 2013.
The 2013 college football season is still over 100 days away, but it’s never too early to start talking predictions and expectations for each team going into 2013.
Athlon Sports’ official college football top 25 countdown for 2013 will begin in early May. With the top 25 and predictions in mind, Athlon’s editors will be debating some of the hottest topics from the preseason throughout May.
Which Team Will Win the Big 12 in 2013?
David Fox (@DavidFox615)
Oklahoma State says it doesn’t know who will be the quarterback when the season starts, but even if you take that at face value (not saying that I do), there’s still more of a comfort level with the Cowboys quarterbacks than there was a year ago. Mike Gundy has good reason to feel comfortable with any of his QBs - Clint Chelf, J.W. Walsh or Wes Lunt - to win their share of games in a watered-down Big 12. Oklahoma State lost its last three road games last season - Baylor, Oklahoma and Kansas State - but the Cowboys comeback with more experience at QB and a veteran-laden defense. As much as I don’t want to pick against Oklahoma, a team that finds a way to win the Big 12 time and time again, or Texas, which should rebound, I’m sticking with Oklahoma State. Gundy went 8-5 in a year in which everyone thought the Cowboys would struggle and on top of that Okie State had a revolving door at quarterback. He’s a coach you can trust.
Allen Kenney, @BlatantHomerism, BlatantHomerism.com
Once dominated by its power programs, the Big 12 has morphed into possibly the most competitive conference in the country. Pound for pound, the Big 12 might have the best collection of coaches around, and with Oklahoma and Texas sliding back to the pack, the door has been cracked open for some of the league's upstarts to sneak in and grab the conference crown.
I really think you're talking about as many as five teams in contention to win the league this year: Baylor, Texas, Oklahoma, TCU and Oklahoma State. Ultimately, I'm betting it comes down to the Horned Frogs and Cowboys.
Gary Patterson's TCU team might be the best in the conference. The Horned Frogs have a defense led by defensive lineman Devonte Fields that is well-suited to slowing down the rocket-powered offenses in the Big 12. The bigger news is on the other side of the ball, where talented quarterback Casey Pachall returns to give TCU some offensive firepower.
I make the Cowboys the favorite this year, though. OSU went 7-5 in the 2012 regular, but the Cowboys lost close games to Baylor, Texas and OU. They also had a bizarre meltdown against Arizona that could be chalked up to inexperience.
The Pokes bring back the majority of their key performers from a season ago, including three quarterbacks who can win games. Yet, the biggest advantage OSU has is the schedule. Oklahoma, Baylor and TCU all come to Stillwater this fall. I expect that will tip the scales in favor of Mike Gundy's squad.
Steven Lassan (@AthlonSteven)
The Big 12 is the toughest BCS conference to predict in 2013. There’s no clear frontrunner, as a case could be made that four teams are deserving of the No. 1 spot. And if Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Texas and TCU are the top four favorites, Baylor and Kansas State aren’t far behind. A big reason for the unpredictability is the turnover at quarterback. Of the six teams mentioned above, three lost their starter, and Oklahoma State, Texas and TCU entered the offseason with some uncertainty under center.
Although Oklahoma State has some holes to fill, I like the Cowboys to win the Big 12 title in 2013. Mike Gundy’s team went 8-5 last season in a rebuilding year, and even though he hasn’t started a full year, Clint Chelf should be one of the Big 12’s top quarterbacks in 2013. The skill players are loaded with talent, including running back Jeremy Smith and receiver Josh Stewart. The biggest concern is a defense that is thin on proven ends and needs it secondary to play better after ranking 110th nationally against the pass last year.
While the Cowboys are in great shape personnel-wise, the schedule is one of the biggest reasons to pick Mike Gundy's team as the Big 12 favorite. Oklahoma State gets Kansas State, TCU, Baylor and Oklahoma at home. The Cowboys have to play Texas and Texas Tech on the road, but it seems two or three Big 12 losses may win the conference.
I have a hard time seeing any of the Big 12 teams being ranked inside of the top-10 in most preseason polls this year. However, this could be one of the most-competitive leagues in the nation with six teams having a shot to win the conference crown.
Mark Ross (@AthlonSports)
In the Big 12, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, TCU and Texas appear to be the likeliest contenders. Oklahoma will be breaking in a new quarterback, Oklahoma State has three solid ones to choose from, TCU could turn its offense back over to its former starter and Texas is hoping for more consistent production out of its signal caller.
That said, it shouldn't be that surprising that I am leaning towards the Cowboys or Horned Frogs to win the conference this season. Mike Gundy has built a consistent winner in Stillwater, Okla., and the same can be said for Gary Patterson in Forth Worth, Texas, who has show everyone that his Frogs belong in one of the so-called power conferences.
Oklahoma State's offense should be among the nation's most productive, but this team will only get as far as its defense, which returns seven starters, takes them. On the other hand, TCU's offense could be pretty potent in its own right with former starter Casey Pachall poised to reclaim the quarterback job and enough weapons returning in the backfield and at receiver. The difference between these two could be on defense. TCU returns nine starters from a defense that finished first or second in the Big 12 in total, scoring and rushing defense last season.
My only concerns when it comes to TCU is that the Frogs are still relatively new to the rigors of the Big 12 and their schedule. TCU opens the season against LSU in Cowboys Stadium in Arlington, Texas, and will play both Oklahoma and Oklahoma State on the road, as well as Kansas State. The Cowboys have a difficult season-opener of their own (vs. Mississippi State in Houston), but their toughest road conference games are against West Virginia and the Longhorns. TCU won't go down without a fight, but I think Gundy and the Cowboys lasso another Big 12 title this fall.
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