Non-BCS Fantasy QBs
Athlon continues its 2010 college fantasy draft kit with a look at the quarterbacks from Conference USA, MAC, Mountain West, Sun Belt and WAC.
Non-BCS Fantasy Quarterback Rankings and Profiles
Fantasy points based upon standard scoring system – passing touchdowns = 4 pts, rushing touchdowns = 6 pts, 25 passing yards = 1 point, 10 rush/receiving yards = 1 point, receptions = 0.5 points, 2 point conversions = 2 points
1. Case Keenum, Houston (SR) – Bye Week – 5
There won’t be much drama with the first pick of 2010 college fantasy drafts. Keenum was the sure-fire No. 1 pick last year and nothing has changed going into this season. Keenum has back-to-back seasons of 44 touchdowns and threw for 5,671 yards on 700 attempts last year. The only concern for Keenum going into this season will be the playcaller. Dana Holgorsen coordinated the offense over the last two seasons, but took the same position at Oklahoma State. However, calling the plays for Keenum are Jason Phillips and Kliff Kingsburgy – two assistants with Houston last year.
Athlon’s Take: Unless your league uses a different scoring format or the loss of Holgorsen really, really scares you, Keenum should be the No. 1 pick. If Keenum slips past No. 1, he’ll be sure to go second.
2009 stats – 380.5 fantasy points
Passing: 5,671 yds., 44 TDs, 15 INTs
Rushing: 158 yds., 4 TDs
2. Colin Kaepernick, Nevada (SR) – Bye Week – 8
Kaepernick has been a consistent fantasy producer for the last three seasons and remains a top-five option this year. Kaepernick has never been an elite passer, but posted his career-high in completion percentage last season (58.9) and has at least 19 passing scores every year. Although the senior isn’t a strong passer, he makes up for it on the ground. Kaepernick has rushed for over 1,100 yards the last two seasons and has 39 career rushing scores.
Athlon’s Take: Nevada is loaded on offense, and Kaepernick could have his best season as a passer. Although some improvement through the air could result in fewer rushing yards, reaching 1,000 and at least 12 rushing scores is still within reach. Expect Kaepernick to be the second player off the board in 2010 drafts.
2009 stats – 367.1 fantasy points
Passing: 2,052 yds., 20 TDs, 6 INTs
Rushing: 1,183 yds., 16 TDs
3. Dwight Dasher, MTSU (SR) – Bye Weeks – 5, 9
Tony Franklin is one of the top offensive minds in college football, and the veteran coordinator worked his magic with MTSU last season. Dasher posted 36 scores and nearly 4,000 yards of total offense last year, including 363 yards and four scores in a 42-32 win over Southern Miss in the New Orleans Bowl. Dasher is not an elite passer, but was solid against BCS competition last year – Clemson and Maryland – and Sun Belt defenses aren’t exactly the best in college football.
Athlon’s Take: Franklin jumped at an opportunity to coach at Louisiana Tech, and MTSU replaced him with former Illinois’ offensive coordinator Mike Schultz. There’s some concern about how the hire of Schultz will impact the MTSU offense, but Dasher should have no trouble reaching 1,000 rushing yards and pushing for 30 scores.
2009 stats – 336.4 fantasy points
Passing: 2,789 yds., 23 TDs, 14 INTs
Rushing: 1,154 yds., 13 TDs
4. Kellen Moore, Boise State (JR) – Bye Weeks – 2, 8
On the way to leading Boise State to an undefeated record and a victory over TCU in the Fiesta Bowl, Moore set a school record with 39 touchdown passes last season. The junior posted seven games of at least 20 fantasy points and dipped below 15 only twice last season. In two years, Moore has thrown only 13 interceptions on 836 passes and owns a 66.7 completion percentage.
Athlon’s Take: The Broncos are loaded at the skill positions and return plenty of bodies along the offensive line. Moore threw 26 more passes last season than he did in 2008, which resulted in an increase of 14 touchdown tosses. Although another 30 touchdown season is certainly within reach, repeating 39 scores seems difficult.
2009 stats – 280.5 fantasy points
Passing: 3,536 yds., 39 TDs, 3 INTs
Rushing: -5 yds., 1 TD
5. Kyle Padron, SMU (SO) – Bye Week – 11
June Jones finally has his quarterback at SMU. An injury to Bo Levi Mitchell opened the door for Padron to seize the starting job and the Southlake Carroll product never looked back. Padron made five starts and finished with 10 passing scores and only four interceptions. In SMU’s bowl win over Nevada, Padron passed for a career-high 460 yards and tossed two scores. Although Jones has made a living with a high-octane passing attack, the Mustangs led with a strong rushing game last year, which contributed to the fall in passing stats.
Athlon’s Take: Padron is a rising star in Conference USA and should easily reach 25 passing touchdowns and 3,000 yards. Running back Shawnbrey McNeal is gone, which means the offense will throw more in 2010. There’s plenty of upside with Padron and he should be one of the first 15 quarterbacks off the board.
2009 stats – 103.2 fantasy points
Passing: 1,922 yds., 10 TDs, 4 INTs
Rushing: 42 yds., 2 TDs
6. Diondre Borel, Utah State (SR) – Bye Weeks – 7, 13
Borel posted career bests in passing yards and total touchdowns last season and threw only four interceptions on 366 passes. Some of Borel’s best performances came at the end of last year, throwing for 369 yards and four scores against Idaho and 344 yards and two scores against Hawaii. Borel has shown improvement each season and under the tutelage of veteran coordinator Dave Baldwin, should be poised for an even better 2010.
Athlon’s Take: Running back Robert Turbin suffered a torn ACL in the offseason and his status for 2010 is uncertain. With Turbin’s status up in the air, Borel will be the focal point of the Utah State offense. Look for Borel to top 3,500 total yards and should threaten 30 total scores this year.
2009 stats – 265.2 fantasy points
Passing: 2,885 yds., 17 TDs, 4 INTs
Rushing: 458 yds., 6 TDs
7. Austin Davis, Southern Miss (JR) – Bye Week – 8
A foot injury in the fifth game of the season ended Davis’ year prematurely. Before the injury, Davis ranked as the No. 18 fantasy quarterback and despite losing their No. 1 quarterback, Southern Miss didn’t suffer much of a dropoff. Martevious Young played well after Davis was injured, throwing 16 touchdowns to only three interceptions.
Athlon’s Take: The Young-Davis quarterback battle continues into the fall, but the general feeling is Davis will emerge atop the depth chart. If he manages to stay healthy, equaling his freshman numbers – 3,128 passing yards and 23 scores with 508 rushing yards and nine touchdowns – should be easily attainable.
2009 stats – 105.4 fantasy points
Passing: 1,165 yds., 10 TDs, 2 INTs
Rushing: 63 yds., 2 TDs
8. G.J. Kinne, Tulsa (JR) – Bye Week – 8
Kinne had a solid year in his first as a starter, throwing for 2,732 yards and 22 scores, along with collecting 399 yards and five touchdowns on the ground. Despite Kinne’s solid overall numbers, the Tulsa offense scored 18 points less than it did in 2008. The Golden Hurricane clearly missed Gus Malzahn calling the plays and to return to the offense to its 2008 level, Chad Morris was hired as offensive coordinator. Morris is a friend of Malzahn and runs a similar no-huddle, fast-pace system.
Athlon’s Take: If Morris can improve the offense back to its 2008 season, Kinne could move into the top 10-15 range for fantasy quarterbacks. The potential is certainly there for a huge season, but Kinne should be selected as a QB2.
2009 stats – 264.2 fantasy points
Passing: 2,732 yds., 22 TDs, 10 INTs
Rushing: 399 yds., 5 TDs
9. Austin Dantin, Toledo (SO) – Bye Week – 10
An injury to quarterback Aaron Opelt derailed a promising start for Toledo, but his injury allowed Dantin to see extensive playing time in preparation to be the starter in 2010. Dantin finished with nearly 1,000 passing yards and closed out last season on a high note, throwing for 326 yards against Bowling Green. After playing in six games as a true freshman, Dantin should be more comfortable as the starter in 2010.
Athlon’s Take: Opelt showed Toledo has fantasy potential at the quarterback position, and if Dantin settles into the starting role, the Rockets will have one of the top offenses in the MAC. Take a look at Dantin as a QB2 with a significant upside.
2009 stats – 60.68 fantasy points
Passing: 962 yds., 4 TDs, 4 INTs
Rushing: 51 yds., 0 TD
10. Andy Dalton, TCU (SR) – Bye Week – 12
Dalton was the catalyst behind TCU’s offense last season, posting career highs in passing yards, touchdowns and rushing yardage. The TCU signal-caller posted seven games of at least two scores and only one outing did not net a touchdown. Dalton isn’t a dynamic dual-threat rusher like Colin Kaepernick, but averages 109 carries over the last three seasons.
Athlon’s Take: Dalton’s 2009 production was a surprise, considering his previous best for a season in total touchdowns was 19. The Horned Frogs finished fifth nationally in scoring offense and with a favorable 2010 schedule, don’t expect much of a drop in production this season. Dalton should be inline for 2,800 passing yards and 20 touchdowns, along with five rushing scores.
2009 stats – 252.6 fantasy points
Passing: 2,756 yds., 23 TDs, 8 INTs
Rushing: 512 yds., 3 TDs
11. Trevor Vittatoe, UTEP (SR) – Bye Week –13
The emergence of Donald Buckram cut into Vittatoe’s fantasy value, but he still ended the year with a respectable 3,308 yards and 17 scores. Despite throwing for more yards than he did in 2008, Vittatoe finished with 16 fewer touchdown tosses. After a subpar season, Vittatoe’s fantasy value is in question. Is this the quarterback that threw for 33 scores in 2008 or the one that threw a career-high in interceptions last season (13) and regressed in completion percentage?
Athlon’s Take: Vittatoe should be a good buy-low candidate in 2010 drafts. Although he is unlikely to repeat 33 passing scores from 2008, Vittatoe should bounce back into the 22-25 touchdown range.
2009 stats – 193.8 fantasy points
Passing: 3,308 yds., 17 TDs, 13 INTs
Rushing: -83 yds., 0 TD
12. Jamie Hampton, Troy (JR) – Bye Weeks – 5, 8
Hampton was Troy’s starting quarterback in 2008, but his season ended due to a knee injury against Florida Atlantic. With Levi Brown entrenched as the starter, Hampton redshirted last year and has two seasons of eligibility remaining. Hampton was locked into a tight race for the starting job with Dantavious Parker and Corey Robinson exiting spring practice, but remains the favorite to win the job.
Athlon’s Take: Coordinator Neal Brown left to take a job at Texas Tech, but the offense shouldn’t suffer any dropoff. Hampton is a solid QB3 for owners in 120 leagues, but beware of Parker’s ability to steal rushing touchdowns around the goal-line.
2009 stats – none
13. Bryant Moniz, Hawaii (JR) – Bye Week – 11
Moniz was forced into action when Hawaii lost starter Greg Alexander to a knee injury in the fourth game of the season. The former walk-on started the year slow, but threw for 10 touchdowns in his final five starts. Moniz missed most of spring practice due to an off the field issue, but appears set to rejoin the team in time for fall workouts.
Athlon’s Take: The Hawaii offense hasn’t maintained fantasy juggernaut status since June Jones left for SMU, but remains one that brings plenty of value. Moniz should be more comfortable in his second year as the starter, which should result in an increase in yards and touchdowns, likely pushing 25 scores and nearly 3,000 yards.
2009 stats –157.1 fantasy points
Passing: 2,396 yds., 14 TDs, 10 INTs
Rushing: 117 yds., 1 TD
Non-BCS Quarterback Rankings By Conference
1. Case Keenum, Houston (SR)
2. Kyle Padron, SMU (SO)
3. Austin Davis, Southern Miss (JR)
4. G.J. Kinne, Tulsa (JR)
5. Trevor Vittatoe, UTEP (SR)
6. David Isabelle, UAB (SO)
7. Brad Wornick, East Carolina (SO)
8. Taylor Cook, Rice (SO)
9. Ryan Griffin, Tulane (SO)
10. Tyler Bass, Memphis (SO)
11. Brian Anderson, Marshall (SR)
12. Rob Calabrese, UCF (JR)
13. Martevious Young, Southern Miss (SR)
14. Dominique Davis, East Carolina (JR)
15. Jeffrey Godfrey, UCF (FR)
16. Cannon Smith, Memphis (SO)
17. Taylor McHargue, Rice (FR)
18. Willy Korn, Marshall (JR)
19. Andy Summerlin, Memphis (SO)
20. Ryan Williams, Memphis (FR)
21. Shavodrick Beaver, Tulsa (SO)
22. Bryan Ellis, UAB (JR)
23. Nick Fanuzzi, Rice (JR)
24. Cotton Turner, Houston (JR)
25. A.J. Graham, Marshall (FR)
26. J.J. McDermott, SMU (JR)
27. Rio Johnson, East Carolina (FR)
28. Kevin Moore, Tulane (SR)
29. James Thomas II, UTEP (SR)
30. Josh Jordan, East Carolina (SO)
31. Joe Kemp, Tulane (JR)
32. Desi Brown, East Carolina (FR)
33. Joe Bento, UAB (SO)
34. Shane Carden, East Carolina (FR)
35. Jonathan Perry, UAB (FR)
1. Austin Dantin, Toledo (SO)
2. Zac Dysert, Miami (Ohio) (SO)
3. Boo Jackson, Ohio (SR)
4. Alex Carder, Western Michigan (SO)
5. Ryan Radcliff, Central Michigan (SO)
6. Spencer Keith, Kent State (SO)
7. Chandler Harnish, Northern Illinois (JR)
8. Jerry Davis, Buffalo (SO)
9. Matt Schilz, Bowling Green (FR)
10. Alex Gillett, Eastern Michigan (SO)
11. Patrick Nicely, Akron (SO)
12. Chester Stewart, Temple (JR)
13. Kelly Page, Ball State (SO)
14. Aaron Pankratz, Bowling Green (SO)
15. Phil Bates, Ohio (JR)
16. DeMarcus Grady, Northern Illinois (JR)
17. Alex Dennison, Buffalo (FR)
18. Alex Pettee, Toledo (SR)
19. Matt Rodgers, Akron (JR)
20. Tyler VanTubbergen, Western Michigan (FR)
21. Austin Boucher, Miami (FR)
22. Giorgio Morgan, Kent State (JR)
23. Aaron Mershman, Ball State (FR)
24. Devontae Payne, Eastern Michigan (FR)
25. Alex Zordich, Buffalo (FR)
26. Casey Weston, Northern Illinois (JR)
27. Derek Rifenbury, Central Michigan (JR)
28. Chris Coyer, Temple (FR)
29. Keith Wenning, Ball State (FR)
30. A.J. Westendorp, Central Michigan (FR)
31. Kellen Pagel, Bowling Green (FR)
32. Caleb Watkins, Bowling Green (FR)
33. Robert Partridge, Miami (FR)
34. Terrance Owens, Toledo (FR)
35. Rudy Johnson, Buffalo (FR)
1. Andy Dalton, TCU (SR)
2. Austyn Carta-Samuels, Wyoming (SO)
3. Ryan Lindley, San Diego State (JR)
4. Jake Heaps, BYU (FR)
5. Jordan Wynn, Utah (SO)
6. Omar Clayton, UNLV (SR)
7. Pete Thomas, Colorado State (FR)
8. Tim Jefferson, Air Force (JR)
9. Stump Godfrey, New Mexico (FR)
10. Riley Nelson, BYU (JR)
11. Mike Clausen, UNLV (JR)
12. Connor Dietz, Air Force (JR)
13. James Lark, BYU (SO)
14. Jason Munns, BYU (FR)
15. Terrance Cain, Utah (SR)
16. B.R. Holbrook, New Mexico (SO)
17. Nico Ranieri, Colorado State (FR)
18. Tarean Austin, New Mexico (FR)
19. Jake Bernards, San Diego State (FR)
20. Yogi Gallegos, TCU (SO)
21. Emory Miller Jr., Wyoming (FR)
22. Taylor Barnhill, UNLV (FR)
1. Dwight Dasher, MTSU (SR)
2. Jamie Hampton, Troy (JR)
3. Jeff Van Camp, Florida Atlantic (SR)
4. Derek Thompson, North Texas (SO)
5. Chris Masson, UL Lafayette (JR)
6. Ryan Aplin, Arkansas State (SO)
7. Trey Revell, UL Monroe (SR)
8. Wayne Younger, Florida International (SR)
9. Matt Pelesasa, Western Kentucky (JR)
10. Corey Robinson, Troy (FR)
11. Phillip Butterfield, Arkansas State (FR)
12. Kolton Browning, UL Monroe (FR)
13. Nathan Tune, North Texas (SR)
14. Wesley Carroll, Florida International (JR)
15. Kawan Jakes, Western Kentucky (SO)
16. Logan Kilgore, MTSU (SO)
17. Blaine Gautier, UL Lafayette (SO)
18. David Kooi, Florida Atlantic (SO)
1. Colin Kaepernick, Nevada (SR)
2. Kellen Moore, Boise State (JR)
3. Diondre Borel, Utah State (SR)
4. Bryant Moniz, Hawaii (JR)
5. Nathan Enderle, Idaho (SR)
6. Steven Ensminger, Louisiana Tech (SR)
7. Ryan Colburn, Fresno State (SR)
8. Jordan La Secla, San Jose State (SR)
9. Jeff Fleming, New Mexico State (JR)
10. Shane Austin, Hawaii (JR)
11. Ross Jenkins, Louisiana Tech (SR)
12. David Graves, Hawaii (FR)
13. Matt Christian, New Mexico State (JR)
14. Brian Reader, Idaho (JR)
15. Matt Faulkner, San Jose State (JR)
16. Tyler Lantrip, Nevada (JR)
17. Michael Coughlin, Boise State (SR)
18. Colby Cameron, Louisiana Tech (SO)
19. Andrew Manley, New Mexico State (FR)
20. Kelly O’Brien, Fresno State (SO)
21. Brent Rausch, Hawaii (SR)
22. Doak Raulston, Louisiana Tech (FR)
23. Tanner Rust, New Mexico State (FR)
24. Dasmen Stewart, San Jose State (FR)
25. Joe Southwick, Boise State (FR)
26. Jeff Fischer, Utah State (SR)
27. Derek Carr, Fresno State (SO)
28. Trevor Walls, New Mexico State (SO)
29. Taylor Burch, Louisiana Tech (FR)
30. Grant Hedrick, Boise State (FR)
31. Blake Jurich, San Jose State (FR)
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