Last week the only mid-tier quarterback to pay off was Joe Burrow. He led all positions in fantasy points (35.50), while Ja’Marr Chase (35.20) finished second. Two other quarterback/wide receiver combinations also ranked in the top 10 (Josh Allen – 30.65 and Stefon Diggs – 33.80, plus Matt Ryan – 31.45 and Michael Pittman Jr.– 29.40), showing the value of having an elite hookup in the daily games. Therefore, when thinking about your starting quarterback for your DFS lineup, it is critical to identify the wide receiver with the highest ceiling each week.
Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals (DraftKings – $6,900/FanDuel – $8,300)
Six weeks into this season, the Bengals played four games on the road while failing to hit their stride in the passing game due to issues with their offensive line (19 sacks and only 3.5 yards per rush). Burrow is on pace to gain 4,890 combined yards and 40 touchdowns. He is averaging 7.1 yards per pass attempt (8.9 in 2021). Last week, Burrow posted his best game (325/4) of the year. The Falcons sit 25th against quarterbacks (22.49 FPPG), with five teams scoring over 20.00 fantasy points. Atlanta only has eight sacks (none over the past two weeks). Wide receivers already have eight touchdowns with a high catch rate (65.7). Burrow looks poised to build off his success in this matchup.
Tom Brady, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (DraftKings – $6,300/FanDuel – $7,400)
Over the last four games, Brady attempted 46.5 passes per, leading to 1,250 yards, six touchdowns, and no interceptions. Unfortunately, he averaged only 6.7 yards per pass attempt over this span. The Bucs' struggles in pass protection led to Brady featuring the running back over the last three weeks (12/107/1, 13/111/1, and 9/49/1 on 38 targets). Last year he played well at home (326/3) against the Panthers while struggling in Carolina (232/1). The Panthers slipped to 13th vs. quarterbacks (18.28 FPPG) while having a favorable pass schedule (CLE, NYG, NO, ARI, SF, and LAR). Tampa needs to create a longer passing window for Brady to take advantage of his edge at wide receiver. With 300 passing yards and two touchdowns, he will at least be in the game for his salary in the daily space.
Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys (DraftKings – $6,700/FanDuel – $7,500)
The Cowboys expect to start Prescott after missing five weeks with a thumb injury. Over the last five weeks, Dallas went 4-1 while playing excellent defense, leading to low production in the passing game (956/5 – 28.6 passes per game). The Lions have the second-worst defense against quarterbacks (25.62 FPPG) due to failure in three contests (333/1, 360/3, and 363/3). Detroit has significant risk defending the run (153/838/9 – 5.5 yards per rush), pointing to plenty of runs by Dallas. Prescott needs the Lions’ offense to solve the Cowboys’ defense to force him to throw. Prescott is probably more of a wild card until he shows success on the field.