Expected volume alone makes Tevin Coleman an intriguing DFS option this week
Well, Week 16 of the Daily Fantasy Football (DFS) picks is here and after the disaster that was Week 15, it couldn’t come soon enough. I know plenty of folks are now eliminated from seasonal championship hopes. For those of you who are left with a third-place game or are done perhaps DFS is more of an option than usual?
Personally, I did not fare well in Week 15 because of the early injury to Aaron Jones and disappointing efforts from Adam Thielen and George Kittle. But it is a new week (at least in DFS) and there are several games with significant playoff implications and not many high-scoring affairs projected for the main slate. There's no Thursday night game, two on Saturday, and a not-so-exciting "Monday Night Football" matchup. These are the two games that will probably get the most attention:
Pittsburgh at New Orleans — 53.5 pts
Kansas City at Seattle — 53 pts
(Favored team in bold)
So let's see what Week 16 has to offer, shall we? If this is one of your first times playing DFS feel free to check out my "10 Tips to Win at DFS."
As always any questions, arguments, or glowing praise can be sent to me via Twitter @fantsychillpony.
Week 16 Core Plays
These will be my top plays for the Sunday-Monday slate of games. These are players who I will try to have in as many lineups as possible. If I can, I will use three or all four in one lineup. A reminder that for cash games going with an elite quarterback is typically recommended. If you go value at quarterback he MUST meet value for your loaded lineup to be worth it.
QB: Andrew Luck, Indianapolis vs. New York Giants ($8,200 FanDuel/ $6,200 DraftKings)
Luck is coming off an abysmal fantasy showing mainly because Marlon Mack ran wild on the Cowboys. This week, Luck faces a suspect pass defense in the Giants. He comes at a fair price and with quarterbacks being an absolute question mark the past few weeks it isn’t surprising. In GPP, guys like Baker Mayfield, Nick Mullens, and Josh Allen have been solid and will be popular as well.
RB: Dalvin Cook, Minnesota at Detroit ($7,100 FanDuel/$6,900 DraftKings)
Cook was a monster last week in a must-win game for the Vikings, who clearly followed Mike Zimmer’s request to establish a run game. This week should be no different facing the Lions, who are allowing 115.4 rushing yards per game. Cook seems safe for plenty of touches and, as he showed last week, has the upside to meet value.
WR: JuJu Smith-Schuster, Pittsburgh at New Orleans ($8,000 FanDuel/ $8,000 DraftKings)
Schuster and Antonio Brown must be drooling over facing the Saints' secondary. New Orleans is giving up the most fantasy points to WRs, so Schuster should be poised for a bounce-back game. The Steelers will likely need to air the ball out quite a bit to keep up with Drew Brees and company in the Superdome in what should be an exciting matchup in both fantasy and real football respects.
WR: Julio Jones, Atlanta at Carolina ($8,700 FanDuel/$8,700 DraftKings)
Jones is the top projected receiver this week, according to the optimizer tool, and he has been on a tear the last few weeks. With the Falcons out of contention and weak at running back, I expect a heavy dose of the passing game. Jones and JuJu Smith-Schuster are a great pair to play this week.
TE: Austin Hooper, Atlanta at Carolina ($5,300 FanDuel/$3,700 DraftKings)
Hooper is an affordable tight end and he has some upside as well facing Carolina. The Panthers have been giving up TDs to the tight end position at a good clip this season so the upside is here for Hooper to possibly produce two or even three times his value.
Value Plays of the Week
QB: Just press your (Andrew) Luck.
RB: Tevin Coleman, Atlanta at Carolina ($6,400 FanDuel/$4,800 DraftKings)
Coleman will be getting nearly all the running back touches with Ito Smith landing on injured reserve. That makes Coleman's price appealing on any site. The Panthers have done a good job against the run, so I wouldn’t expect the world here; but as the workhorse we have to eat the chalk.
WR: Dante Pettis, San Francisco vs. Chicago ($5,400 FanDuel/$4,300 DraftKings)
Pettis should be seeing plenty of looks with the 49ers likely playing from behind in this one. He has been a very solid player the past month – producing 17.7, 32.7, 13.9, and 13.3 DraftKings points the past four games. He has consistently doubled, if not tripled his value and still possesses upside. Let's plug him in and see what happens.
— Written by Chris Meyers, who is part of the Athlon Contributor Network and a member of the FSWA. Meyers' work appears on many other sites, including socalledfantasyexperts.com. Follow him on Twitter @FantsyChillpony.