It's been a struggle for Doug Baldwin, but that also means a proven No. 1 WR is a value option for DFS this week
Another week came and so did another week of profits on what is a hot start for my Daily Fantasy Football (DFS) picks, to say the least. So let’s keep it going and not hit a wall of losses in Week 6. I have only had a few mammoth hits, but profit is profit and the more weeks we play without depositing is better and the ultimate goal, right?
If you played the Thursday-Monday slate and used Eric Ebron, you were rewarded handsomely. Otherwise, the core played very well and once again should have carried us close to the cash line. Blake Bortles pulled his trademark second-half (i.e. garbage time) performance and ended up with 28.6 DraftKings points somehow.
Week 6 doesn’t look to be as explosive as last week in game projections with only four games above 50 points, but that doesn’t mean there isn’t enough fantasy goodness for us to capitalize once again this week. These games look to have the most fantasy output so far:
Buccaneers at Falcons — 57.5
Steelers at Bengals — 53
Rams at Broncos — 52.5
Patriots at Chiefs — 59
(Favored teams in bold)
So let’s get into my Week 6 DFS Picks, shall we? If this is one of your first times playing DFS feel free to check out my "10 Tips to Win at DFS."
As always any questions, arguments, or glowing praise can be sent to me via Twitter @fantsychillpony.
Teams on bye: Detroit, New Orleans
Week 6 Core Plays
These will be my top plays for the Sunday-Monday slate of games. These are players who I will try to have in as many lineups as possible. If I can, I will use three or all four in one lineup. A reminder that for cash games going with an elite quarterback is typically recommended. If you go value at quarterback he MUST meet value for your loaded lineup to be worth it.
QB: Kirk Cousins, Minnesota vs. Arizona ($7,900 FanDuel/$6,700 DraftKings)
Cousins has had one bad game this season in Buffalo (only 13.5 DraftKings points), and with only two interceptions (guilt-free for Cousins I may add) he gets to square off against a defense allowing 248.6 passing yards per game. Cousins comes with a higher ceiling and high enough floor to make him well worth the cost this week. So far Cousins has put up 20 or more DraftKings points on three different occasions this season.
The Vikings have the weapons to score plenty of points every week, and that shouldn’t change this week. Especially if Minnesota can get the running game going. Stefon Diggs and Adam Thielen continue to be lethal targets for Cousins and they should be running rampant again this weekend.
RB: Melvin Gordon, Los Angeles Chargers at Cleveland ($8,800 FanDuel/$8,200 DraftKings)
Gordon has remained a reliable and safe fantasy option every week this season with only one game of fewer than 22 DraftKings points. Now he gets to face a Browns defense allowing 107 rushing yards a game, and if the Chargers get off to a quick start Gordon will be eating some clock and gaining yardage in the second half. This game is projected to be close, so a blowout isn’t as likely in this one. Gordon makes for a great play this week and much cheaper than Todd Gurley.
WR: Keenan Allen, Los Angeles Chargers at Cleveland ($8,100 FanDuel/$7,500 DraftKings)
Allen should be able to continue his upward trend from Week 5 (17.5 DraftKings points) and become Rivers' top target this weekend in Cleveland. He is averaging nine targets a game and if that continues, he will be in good shape. Hopefully he finds paydirt as well and can tack on six additional points, or more.
WR: A.J. Green, Cincinnati vs. Pittsburgh ($8,800 FanDuel/$8,000 DraftKings)
Green is averaging 19.8 DraftKings points this season and is in a matchup against a defense that is giving up 217 passing yards per game. Green has been consistent this season, and is due for one of his massive outings. This game is projected as one of the highest on the slate at 53 and the Bengals are projected to win. Green will have to be a factor for this to happen. I trust that it will.
TE: Charles Clay, Buffalo at Houston ($4,600 FanDuel/$2,700 DraftKings)
This is what we call a home-run shot. There is no real reasoning to play Clay here. His cost is decent and allows us to get the players we want in other positions. That is all that matters to me this week. Buffalo’s offense has been putrid, but you never know Clay could stumble into the end zone with one or two of his catches. If he goose eggs, at least it won’t cost us too much, like Amari Cooper in Week 5, for example.
Note: On FanDuel Cameron Brate ($4,500) is cheaper, has a better matchup and track record.
Value Plays of the Week
QB: Mitchell Trubisky, Chicago at Miami ($7,400 FanDuel/$5,300 DraftKings)
Trubisky had done squat until his Week 4 mammoth of a game. Primarily in the first half, but still a fantastic performance from the sophomore quarterback. He has weapons to throw to in Allen Robinson, Tarik Cohen, Trey Burton, Taylor Gabriel and Jordan Howard. A bye week may allow this offense the time needed to get even more in sync. The Dolphins are giving up 273.6 passing yards per game, so Trubisky is in a decent spot to put up 16-plus DraftKings points. That is three times his cost and what you want from a value QB.
RB: Chris Carson, Seattle vs. Oakland (London) ($6,400 FanDuel/$4,400 DraftKings)
Carson has had back-to-back 16-plus DraftKings point performances surrounding Week 5 when he was a surprise, late scratch. He is getting the lion's share of the carries with 19 last week and 32 in Week 4. He was much more productive with his touches in Week 5, so facing one of the worst run defenses in the league should work well for him to meet value this week.
WR: Doug Baldwin, Seattle vs. Oakland (London) ($6,200 FanDuel/$5,300 DraftKings)
Baldwin gave many of his fantasy owners in seasonal and DFS contests heartburn last week with a miserable performance in a game of ones. As in one catch for one yard on one target. Simply put, a putrid game. This week, however, he should be able to bounce back assuming he's had no setbacks with his knee, and even better people will likely shy away from him this week after his abysmal Week 5 showing. Sign me up for a proven No. 1 receiver at value cost against the 23rd-ranked pass defense.
— Written by Chris Meyers, who is part of the Athlon Contributor Network and a member of the FSWA. Meyers' work appears on many other sites, including socalledfantasyexperts.com. Follow him on Twitter @FantsyChillpony.