We are going to switch up the format a little bit for my NFL Championship Sunday daily fantasy (DFS) picks. Frequent readers of this column know that we usually go position by position, highlighting one "safe" pick and one "high risk/high reward" pick. However, with only two games to choose from, the recommendable options are a bit more limited.
However, that doesn't mean we can't put together a roster to help you win a few greenbacks. The Chiefs will host the Bills in a game in which Patrick Mahomes was just recently cleared to play. I did like Chad Henne, but let's just say we all know that Mahomes playing causes us to like Kansas City's chances to win a whole lot more. Either way, expect the members of Bills Mafia to be on the edge of their seats.
Over on the NFC side, we have No. 1 seed Green Bay and Aaron Rodgers hosting Tom Brady and the Buccaneers. Talk about a made-for-TV special! Mother Nature of course might have her own interest in that game. Temperatures are supposed to be below freezing and there's a chance there could be some snow mixed in. The hype will be about the quarterbacks, but it could be about which defense has the best game and that will need to be weighed when considering our DFS lineups.
I have tried to include players from all four teams for both your FanDuel and DraftKings lineups this week. I might even include a Yahoo! option or two. But let's dive into these Championship Sunday DFS picks.
NFC Championship Game
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3.5) at Green Bay Packers (51.5 O/U), 3:05 p.m. ET on FOX
You really can't talk about this game without discussing your league MVP, Aaron Rodgers. (Sorry Chiefs fans). So we might as well start there.
Aaron Rodgers vs. Tampa Bay (DK $6500, FD $8700)
Perhaps the Pack should have bypassed a WR and picked Rodgers' potential replacement a few years ago! Rodgers is a man on a mission, and I'm not sure he's going to let any defense stand in his way, especially one that gave up the 11th-most fantasy points to QBs this year. Rodgers does not bring the same scrambling ability to the table that Josh Allen does, but there's a reason he's the favorite to win his third MVP award. Actually, there are 48 of them, which also is the number of touchdown passes he had in the regular season compared to just FIVE interceptions. That's three touchdowns a game. He actually matched that last week against the Rams thanks to a rushing touchdown to go with his two through the air, and keep in mind that was against the Rams, the No. 1 defense in the league. He may not have lit up Los Angeles' defense yardage-wise (296 passing), but consider his performance the approximate floor of what to expect on Sunday. He is on a mission.
Should Rodgers have the chance to hoist the Lombardi Trophy, there are obviously a few other sets of hands that will help him get there.
Davante Adams vs. Tampa Bay (DK $8000, FD $8900)
Adams has been matchup-proof all season. Adams has been the filet mignon of wide receivers this year. He was not the No. 1 fantasy scorer at his position, but that was because he missed a couple of games that some of his peers like Tyreek Hill and Stefon Diggs did not. On a per-game basis, no WR was better this year. Adams is, of course, priced to match that studliness. But he also has the best matchup by far of any other WR playing on Sunday. Kansas City, Buffalo, and Green Bay were all among the stingiest defenses when it came to giving up fantasy points to WRs. Then there's Tampa Bay, who didn't even crack the top 20 as only 10 other teams gave up more fantasy points to WRs this year. Adams is a lock at WR.
However, this is not going to be a 51-0 game. So, yes, there are few other players I like on the other sideline.
Rob Gronkowski at Green Bay (DK $3200, FD $5200)
Gronk has one more catch during these playoffs than Darren Waller, George Kittle, and T.J. Hockenson combined. I'll remind you that the teams of those three are not in the playoffs. However, Gronk does still have six targets the last couple of weeks, including what would have been a touchdown if the pass hadn't gone off his fingertips. Recall that from Week 6 to Week 16, he had seven touchdowns. Given the natural connection that Gronk has with Tom Brady, I think it's fair to say that Gronk is due. Of all the TEs left in the playoffs not named Travis Kelce (more on him in a bit), you are just hoping for a touchdown. I'll take the one with 86 in his career, please.