Is it time to start Danny Dimes?
So lots of quarterback changes around the NFL in Week 3. There may not be a huge impact for those that take part in daily fantasy football (DFS), but one of the most pressing questions at the question is this: do you start Daniel Jones, aka Danny Dimes this week? If you are in a standard seasonal league, the answer is probably not. And if you are only playing one lineup in DFS, the answer is definitely not as well. But the beauty of DFS is that you can play literally hundreds of different lineups.
It is similar to that scene in The Running Man when the dweeby contestant can't make a decision which stalker to choose. Killian, wonderfully played by Richard Dawson, makes it easy on him. I am suggesting the same thing. I'd have at least one lineup that does not include Jones. But I am also going to have at least one lineup that does feature Jones.
Because Jones is a great pick this week. First and foremost, the decision to start Jones came out after the sites set their prices. This makes Jones an extremely cheap option. And he's such a cheap option that it allows you the opportunity to play at least two top-tier studs without really having to sacrifice elsewhere. Secondly, Tampa Bay is a fairly benign matchup. They are 15th in the league in passing yards allowed per game thus far. My guess is we see even more "Double-E and Quon" this weekend than usual, but that's fine. Danny Dimes is so cheap that even if he tosses just a couple of touchdowns it would make him the most valuable quarterback option on the board. Yes, I am assuming no one tosses seven touchdowns, but that's a fairly conservative assumption to make.
Of course, whether you agree with me about Daniel Jones or not, I don't care. Let's look at some of my other picks that I don't care if you like or not.
Week 3 DFS Picks
Safe QB: Tom Brady vs. Jets (DK $6600, FD $7800)
The Jets are coming off a shorter week and now get to face Belichick and Brady? Yikes. There is just no way that the QB many consider the G.O.A.T is going to have a bad game at home against this hobbled Jets team. However, his ceiling is somewhat limited as this is not the type of game where Belichick gets cute. There could be double the amount of runs than passes this game. Even if the Pats attempt 25 passes, I don't see 20 percent of them being touchdowns. But if you want safety this week, no better pick than Tommy Terrific.
High Risk/Reward QB: Patrick Mahomes/Lamar Jackson (DK $7600/$7000, FD $9200/$8500)
I already discussed Daniel Jones and despite his price, he could be a risky pick. But the highest reward this week will probably come from either Mahomes or Jackson. Both quarterbacks are on fire right now and both defenses have very questionable secondaries. However, their prices reflect that and each will need to toss at least four touchdowns to justify their price.
Safe RB: Ezekiel Elliott vs. Dolphins (DK $9100 FD $9200)
The Cowboys are hosting what passes for an NFL team better known as the Dolphins. Expect Zeke's ownership rate to be Texas big.
High Risk/High Reward RB: David Montgomery at Washington (Mon.) (DK $5200, FD $6000)
Montgomery plays Monday night, so he might not be available depending what slate you are playing. Montgomery comes in with plenty of risk given that he has all of two games under his belt. However, he did score last week and is leading the Bears in carries in the early going. But I think with the bright lights of MNF shining, he finally breaks through.
Safe WR: Amari Cooper vs. Dolphins (DK $7500, FD $7700)
With Michael Gallup out and Cooper healthy, expect the targets to go back Cooper's way. And remember the Dolphins are what is passing for an opponent this week. Cooper should do just fine.
High Risk/High Reward WR: Willie Snead at Chiefs (DK $4200, $5000)
With all the high-priced options I have here, I wanted to go with a lower-priced option that has a lot of boom/bust potential. Enter Snead. He's only seen four targets all season. However, with the Ravens/Chiefs likely to be a shootout, I do think he sees a few more targets and would not be surprised to see him score this week as well. Snead could blank or he could easily put up 20 fantasy points. At his price, I'm willing to gamble on something closer to the latter.
Safe TE: Mark Andrews/Travis Kelce (DK $4600/$7100, FD $6800/$8000)
Another Ravens/Chiefs stack of sorts, it makes sense with this game bosting the highest over/under of the week (52.5). There's no doubt these two will have high ownership rates this week. There's also a very good reason for that.
High Risk/Reward TE: George Kittle vs. Steelers (DK $5600, FD $6600)
People are panicking. But the panic stops this week.
Safe DST: Patriots vs. Jets (DK $3800, FD $5000) or Cowboys vs. Dolphins ($4300, $5000)
The Jets are bad and the Dolphins are worse. In FanDuel, flip a coin. In DraftKings, if you have cap space, go with Dallas. If you need to save a little bit, go with New England. But both these options are absolute locks this week.
Rick DST: Cardinals vs. Panthers (DK $2700 FD $3200)
The Cardinals are currently in the top half of the league for fantasy defenses. As of Thursday morning, there is a chance the Panthers will be starting Kyle Allen:
Allen might actually be an upgrade to what Newton has done recently. However, Allen came into the league undrafted and has all of 31 passing attempts in two career games. Plus, Arizona will be at home to "greet" Allen. The perfect example of a high risk/reward pick at DST this week!
— Written by Mark Strausberg, a member of the Athlon Network Contributor, who despite his youthful exuberance and good looks has been playing fantasy sports before Wildcats or Hoosiers even made it to VHS. Got a fantasy sports question or thought? Hit him up on Twitter @MarkStrausberg.
(Top photo by Evan Pinkus/New York Football Giants, courtesy of giants.com)