This Week 3 daily fantasy football (DFS) slate is going to be a lot of fun. There are so many different ways to play it that I admittedly had a hard time deciding on who to include for my Week 3 DFS picks. You can go with chalky Seahawks-Cowboys options. You can go with some of the insanely cheap options for GPP or some of the overly priced options in your GPPs as well. With so many options, sometimes it's best to decide who you are not going to choose this week.
Let's start with the obvious fade, the New York Jets. They are on the road, and with both Jamison Crowder and Breshad Perriman not likely to play, there is zero reason to even consider them. Their fellow New York team, the Giants, are not looking like a great option either. I wouldn't go with the Giants opponent, either. The cheap Nick Mullens and remaining running backs in the San Francisco backfield might also be tempting, but with George Kittle now ruled out, the 49ers will be looking like fools gold at best. Studs like Adam Thielen and Dalvin Cook might also be tempting, but I'd fade them as well this week. I'll probably look stupid for saying so, but with so many other options, you need to draw a line somewhere. And I believe in the Titans defense.
However, there are at least a handful of defense/special teams (DSTs) I like even more than Tennessee's this week. Wanna know who? You'll have to scan to the bottom or just take your time reading to see who my Week 3 DFS picks are.
Safe Quarterback Week 3 Pick
Dak Prescott, Cowboys at Seahawks (DK $7200, FD $8500)
The ownership levels for the Cowboys and Seahawks game are going to be through the roof. Both offenses are steamrolling while both defenses are being steamrolled. The books set the over/under for this game at a whopping 57 points. The amazing part is that many feel that the combined score is still at least a field goal or two too low. I'll likely stay away from this game in my GPPs, but not having a piece of this game in cash games is just dumb. And that starts with the quarterbacks.
And yes, Russell Wilson is a great quarterback playing extremely well. But I can promise you that at least a minor regression back to his already-high career levels is coming. Furthermore, while the Dallas defense is allowing far more fantasy points to quarterbacks than the league average, the Seahawks are giving up the third-most. Furthermore, the Seattle run defense is stronger than the Dallas run defense, meaning we might see a little more Chris Carson toting the ball in this game, which we know Pete Carroll prefers to do anyway. For all of those reasons, I'm giving Prescott the slight edge in what is expected to be the week's highest-scoring game.
High Risk/Reward Quarterback Week 3 Pick
Justin Herbert, Chargers vs. Panthers (DK $5900, FD $7200)
Herbert is an extremely aggressive pick this week. However, I watched large chunks of that game and came away impressed with what I saw. Of course, that's just my opinion. But here's a fact. As bad as Seattle has been in giving up fantasy points to quarterbacks, Carolina has been worse. And that's being nice. They are not only the worst in the league, but they have also given up 16 more quarterback fantasy points than the next worst team, the Raiders. The gap between the Raiders and the 11th most generous team (Atlanta) is smaller than the gap between the Panthers and the Raiders. I started this section by saying Herbert is an extremely aggressive pick. Then again, maybe he isn't.
Safe Running Back Week 3 Pick
Derrick Henry, Titans at Vikings (DK $7800, FD $8200)
You may not believe this, but Henry's salary actually went down this week on both sites by $100. Don't let that dissuade you. Henry is a stud, and the Vikings have given up the sixth-most rushing yards. Let's move on, shall we?
High Risk/Reward Running Back Week 3 Pick
Devin Singletary, Bills vs. Rams (DK $4900, FD $5900)
Priced outside of the top 25 running backs this week on both sites, Singletary might be my favorite play on the Week 3 slate. We already know Zack Moss has been ruled out for this week. He was already the more effective runner (4.5 ypc to Moss's 2.8) and has consistently out-snapped the last two weeks. And now Singletary will have the backfield without Moss? Wait, it gets better! The Bills will be hosting the Rams, who have given up the ninth-most fantasy points to running backs. Let's just say that I think will be seeing a whole lot more big Singletary runs than these this weekend.
Safe Wide Receiver Week 3 Pick
Allen Robinson, Bears at Falcons (DK $6200, FD $6900)
He's priced way too low on both sites this week. But if you want to know all the reasons why you should roster him for the Week 3 slate, read the writeup from my wide receiver rankings earlier this week.
High Risk/Reward Receiver Week 3 Pick
CeeDee Lamb, Cowboys at Seahawks (DK $4500, FD $5600)
Any time you pick a team's WR3, you are taking some risk. Yet Lamb saw nine targets last week, catching six of those for 106 receiving yards. I also told you that you are probably going to want a piece of this game. Lamb will be far less owned than at least five or six of the other players from this game and comes with a lower price tag too!
Safe Tight End Week 3 Pick
Jonnu Smith, Titans at Vikings (DK $5200, FD $5600)
Smith is on fire right now, and I will continue to have shares of him in my DFS lineups until he cools off. He's coming in with three touchdowns already. The Titans are allowing Ryan Tannehill to pass a little more to start the season. A.J. Brown is still likely not to play this weekend, and recall that Smith has been targeted a dozen times already. Smith gives us a solid floor with a very high ceiling at a very reasonable price.
High Risk/Reward Tight End Week 3 Pick
Logan Thomas, Washington at Cardinals (DK $3700, FD $4900)
We might need to start charging Thomas rent for this space. And there's a reason his price is rising. Thomas has 17 targets over the first two weeks and should continue to see passes his way this weekend, especially against the Browns. Cleveland has been really bad against tight ends this year. They have given up a league-worst 50.6 fantasy points to tight ends so far this year after finishing second-worst last season.
Safe Defense/Special Teams (DST) Week 3 Pick
Colts vs. Jets (DK $4100, FD $4800)
Because the Colts are at home and, simply put, the Jets are not good.
High Risk/Reward Defense/Special Teams (DST) Week 3 Pick
Bengals at Eagles (DK $2800, FD $3300)
This is absolutely the riskiest play I'm suggesting this week. Nearly everyone and their mother are predicting a "get right" game for Philadelphia and Miles Sanders against the Bengals, who have given up the fourth-most rushing yards. But I'm fading all Eagles this weekend, as the Bengals have given up the fifth-least receiving yards.
Obviously, the way to beat the Bengals is on the ground. But the Eagles only have the fourth-most rushing yards. Are we so sure the Eagles are up to the task? Add in the fact that the Bengals are tied for the eighth-most sacks in the league so far this year, this could be a very sneaky play.
— Written by Mark Strausberg, a member of the Athlon Network Contributor, who despite his youthful exuberance and good looks has been playing fantasy sports before Wildcats or Hoosiers even made it to VHS. Got a fantasy sports question or thought? Hit him up on Twitter @MarkStrausberg.
(Top photo by Sara Schmidle, courtesy of buffalobills.com)