NFL DFS: Best DraftKings and FanDuel Predictions and Picks for Week 5

David Johnson hasn't really gotten it going on the ground but he's second in receptions among running backs

Wide receiver is an absolute bolygon of questions entering Week 5, so keep that in mind when perusing these daily fantasy football (DFS) picks. Looking ahead to Sunday's games, Green Bay, Kansas City, Cincinnati, Arizona, Washington, Dallas, and the New York Jets all have significant questions at WR, making lineup decisions difficult.

 

Take the Packers, for example. Davante Adams is doubtful, making Geronimo Allison an interesting play. But what if Adams plays? Should his fantasy owners start him? And what does that mean for the value of Aaron Jones this week? Of course, it would help if we had some clarity on whether or not Jamal Williams was definitely out as well.

 

And that brings to mind other running back questions that are out there, a position that is only slightly less murky than wide receiver for Week 5. San Diego, San Francisco, and Pittsburgh are just a few of the teams that have some uncertainty in their respective backfields. The big takeaway is to definitely check your lineups moments before games kick off on Sunday. And that includes any players mentioned below.

 

Positional Rankings: QB I RB I WR I TE I DST I K I Flex

 

Teams on bye: Detroit, Miami

 

Week 5 DFS Picks

 

Safe QB: Deshaun Watson vs. Falcons (DK $6700 FD $8000)

Admittedly, there is some risk here. The Texans' OL is struggling to give Watson enough time in the pocket. But Watson still has a very nice floor this week. I'd be surprised if he is not responsible for at least two touchdowns this week. I'm not going to project whether they come through the air or on the ground, but I'm predicting at least two scores.

 

High Risk/Reward QB: Kyler Murray at Bengals (DK $6300 FD $7400)

With all the question marks this week, it's a good week to be a little reckless. And that starts with Murray. The rookie has only two touchdowns the last three weeks, but this week's game screams bounceback. I'd love to tell you that the matchup alone is reason to play Murray. Cincinnati has been kind to opposing quarterbacks, giving up the 10th-most fantasy points to the position. But this really is just a gut call.

 

Safe RB: David Johnson at Bengals (DK: $7500, FD: $6800)

While Kyler Murray is a gut call, Johnson feels like one of the safest bets on the board. Even if he only gets 11 totes for the third week in a row, he should be targeted in the passing game again. He has 20 targets over the last two weeks. With Christian Kirk out this week, there is no reason Johnson shouldn't see similar numbers on Sunday.

 

And when we add in that Cincinnati has given up more fantasy points to running backs than any other team (even more than Miami!), Johnson is a lineup lock. He is especially so on FanDuel, where his price is an absolute steal.

 

High Risk/Reward RB: Alvin Kamara vs. Buccaneers (DK: $8600, FD: $8200)

While David Johnson's matchup is a cushy one, Kamara's is quite prickly. Tampa Bay's defense has been a Jekyll/Hyde unit this season. The Buccaneers are extremely nice to their opponents' passing weapons but have been an absolute terror to opposing running backs. They have given up the third-fewest fantasy points to RBs this year. However, Kamara remains an integral part of the Saints' passing attack and should see a few targets his way.

 

Furthermore, Kamara has actually become more efficient in the running game this year. After a strong 4.6 yards per carry last year, Kamara currently is averaging five yards per rush this year. I love grabbing studs whose ownership is likely low and this week that's Kamara.

 

Safe WR: Mike Evans at New Orleans (DK: $7600, FD: $7700)

Despite the monster game from Chris Godwin last week, Evans still made his presence felt with 89 yards and a long touchdown. Despite some questions, especially earlier this week, Godwin should play Sunday.

 

 

But it's an odd-numbered week, which means it is time for Evans to have a big game. Okay, I don't actually believe in that odd-numbered thing, but given that the Saints have given up the sixth-most fantasy points to WRs, Evans has a very high floor this week.

 

High Risk/Reward WR: Larry Fitzgerald at Bengals (DK: $6000, FD: $6500)

Fitzgerald is coming off his worst week this season with only five catches for 46 yards. The previous three weeks however he either scored, topped 100 receiving yards, or both. But if I'm going with Kyler Murray, I want his most reliable receiver for a stack.

 

Safe TE: Travis Kelce vs. Colts (DK: $5700, FD: $7500)

Kelce is not an option on the main slate (Chiefs play on Sunday night), but if you play on alternate sites or the other slates, he's a must-play. See my Week 5 tight end rankings for why. If you absolutely want another option, go with the Bengals' Tyler Eifert as the Cardinals are nearing historic levels of ineptitude against tight ends.

 

High Risk/Reward TE: Dawson Knox at Tennessee (DK: $3100, FD: $4800)

Tennessee enters Sunday's game 12th in the NFL in total defense and a respectable 14th against the pass. Yet tight ends seem to be an Arizona-like weakness for them, having given up the sixth-most fantasy points to the position. But with Josh Allen's status up in the air because of a concussion, I expect the Bills to try and run the ball quite a bit. That being said, I also like Knox to make a name for himself this week.

 

Knox remains under the radar with a price tag to match. However, he currently leads all tight ends in yards per reception (18.0) and is quickly becoming a weapon for the Bills. Backup QB and potential starter Matt Barkley is not known for having a big arm. Expect Knox to continue making his case for best rookie tight end.

 

Safe DST: Patriots at Redskins (DK: $4300, FD: $5500)

You know the reasons why. If not, you shouldn't be playing DFS this week.

 

High Risk/Reward DST: Eagles vs. Jets (DK: $3700, FD: $4900)

This was considered a risky pick because of the increased talk that Sam Darnold may return. With word coming out Friday morning that Darnold won't play, this pick now falls into the latter category. The Eagles should feast.

 

— Written by Mark Strausberg, a member of the Athlon Network Contributor, who despite his youthful exuberance and good looks has been playing fantasy sports before Wildcats or Hoosiers even made it to VHS. Got a fantasy sports question or thought? Hit him up on Twitter @MarkStrausberg.

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