We are entering Week 8 or about halfway through the NFL regular season. I'm glad you came to read my Week 8 daily fantasy football (DFS) picks, but I also hope you are managing your DFS stake correctly.
Actually, that's not true. I hope you are one of the thousands of DFS players out there who are not managing their stake correctly and have run out of money. Now we know of course that you can always replenish and maybe DFS players do. But we are not all Rockefellers so some will run out of money and not return this season.
Since we are at the halfway point, you should now have a good idea of what your outlook looks like for the rest of the season. I'm not going to advise you to be more aggressive or more conservative. You hopefully had a strategy. If it's working, stick with it. If not, its time to adjust. Meanwhile, here are the week 8 DFS picks.
Teams on bye: Baltimore, Dallas
Week 8 DFS Picks
Safe QB: Russell Wilson at Falcons (DK $7200, FD $8600)
There's been a lot of talk about Wilson for MVP. And rightfully so. I am not going to rehash all the things he has done well. And we know that Atlanta's defense is not good. No reason to overthink this. Let's just say that Wilson's elevator continues to go up...
High Risk/Reward QB: Josh Allen vs. Eagles (DK $6500, FD $7700)
I was expecting a little more from Allen last week. The Eagles secondary meanwhile continues to meet my putrid expectations of them. They have given up 14 TD passes already or two per game. I expect Allen to match that number this week.
Safe RB: Marlon Mack vs. Broncos (DK: $7000, FD: $6100)
If you are playing the main slate this week, that takes some attractive options like Dalvin Cook, Jamaal Williams and Aaron Jones, and James Conner out of contention. It leaves me a little nonplussed, but I'll take the safety of Mack this week.
High Risk/Reward RB: David Montgomery vs. Chargers (DK: $4400, FD: $5700)
There is no way around it, Montgomery has stunk. But I blame Matt Nagy far more than I blame Montgomery. Of course Nagy is still the head coach... for now. But one of the biggest things Nagy knows he needs to fix is the running game. And you don't need to be Vince Lombardi to know that Montgomery needs more carries than the two he saw last week.
The Chargers seem to be very hit or miss when it comes to defending the run. In four of their games this year they've held their opponent to under 100 rushing yards. But they also surrendered 191 on the ground to Denver. And they gave up a whopping 203 rushing yards to the Colts earlier in the season.
But Montgomery has seen his price drop over $1000 alone on DraftKings. And that's when you pounce. At just $4400 on DraftKings, he's well worth the risk.
Safe WR: Tyler Lockett at Falcons (DK: $7000, FD: $7200)
Because you always start your stud WRs against the Falcons. Next.
High Risk/Reward WR: Kenny Stills vs. Raiders (DK: $4700, FD: $5700)
So the Raiders are the fifth-most generous team in fantasy points allowed to wide receivers. Stills is now healthy and Will Fuller isn't. It's time for the big Stills game.
Safe TE: Gerald Everett vs. Bengals (London) (DK: $4300, FD: $6100)
I mentioned in my Week 8 TE rankings how much I like Everett. With the lowly Bengals coming to town, I like Everett even more this week. His DraftKings price alone makes him a very safe investment.
High Risk/Reward TE: George Kittle vs. Panthers (DK: $6500, FD: $6900)
Yes, we are at the point where Kittle has become a high-risk option. It's not that he's been bad. It's just that he hasn't been great. But last week's three catches for 38 yards against Washington is not why Kittle was one of the first three TEs picked this year. And on top of that, Carolina has a pretty good defense. Furthermore, his price tag still reflects his perceived value.
So what will be different this week? The acquisition of Emmanuel Sanders by the 49ers should help open up the passing lanes a little more and give Kittle room to work underneath.
Safe DST: Rams vs. Bengals (London) (DK: $3800, FD: $5000)
I dropped the Rams earlier this year to grab the Bills. It was a very smart move at the time. This week though I am really wishing I had the Rams defense again. The nightmare season continues for Andy Dalton and Joe Mixon.
High Risk/Reward DST: Seahawks at Falcons (DK: $2800, FD: $4900)
For all the Falcons' woes this season, they are still moving the ball on offense well. They average more than 23 first downs a game, good for fifth in the league.
But even if Matt Ryan does play on Sunday, Atlanta is still in the bottom half of the league in both points and yards per game. Furthermore, if Ryan does play, I expect the Falcons to lean on their running game. That plays right into the strength of Seattle, who is fourth in the league in creating and recovering fumbles.
— Written by Mark Strausberg, a member of the Athlon Network Contributor, who despite his youthful exuberance and good looks has been playing fantasy sports before Wildcats or Hoosiers even made it to VHS. Got a fantasy sports question or thought? Hit him up on Twitter @MarkStrausberg.