Halfway through the season, the top six quarterbacks (Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes, Jalen Hurts, Joe Burrow, Lamar Jackson, and Kyler Murray) have done their jobs despite some underwhelming weeks. Jackson has been the most disappointing of these options over the past three games (15th), while Patrick Mahomes (2nd) and Joe Burrow (4th) played the best of the top-tier quarterbacks over this span.
Teams on bye: Baltimore, Cincinnati, New England, New York Jets
Here’s a look at the top mid-tier quarterback plays in Week 10:
Daniel Jones, New York Giants (DraftKings – $5,700/FanDuel – $7,500)
The draw to Jones in Week 10 will be his ability to run (64/363/3) against the Texans’ low-ranking rushing defense (265/1,445/12 – 5.5 yards per carry). Chicago (40/281/2) and Tennessee (45/314/3) dominated on the ground, while three other offenses had two rushing scores. Despite Houston’s struggles vs. the run, the Texans have yet to allow a rushing touchdown to a quarterback this year. Jones passed for more than 200 yards in only two games (217/0 and 202/1), with no more than two scores in any game.
The Texans rank higher than expected vs. the pass due to a soft schedule against top quarterbacks while facing only 31 passes a game. Jones has below-average receivers, so at least half of his fantasy points must come via the run in Week 10. He needs at least three touchdowns and over 250 combined yards to pay off in the daily market.
Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville Jaguars (DraftKings – $5,400/FanDuel – $7,000)
After nine weeks, Lawrence is the 12th-ranked quarterback in fantasy points per game (19.11), with his best stats coming in Week 3 (269/3) and Week 6 (188/3). He picked up the pace as a runner over his last five starts (23/123/3). However, Lawrence averages just 6.7 yards per pass attempt, so he’s lacking the big play element to his game while needing to execute better throwing touchdowns in the red zone.
Kansas City jumped to 25th in quarterback defense (23.06 FPPG) only due to the Titans wheeling out a rookie quarterback (who was much more comfortable running the ball rather than throwing it) in Week 9 while also playing from the lead. The Chiefs tend to allow a couple of passing touchdowns per game, helped by teams chasing them on the scoreboard. The bottom line with the Jaguars is that they need to make a progression offensively for Lawrence to reach higher production to win the daily world. The success of Travis Etienne Jr. should help Jacksonville become a more significant threat in scoring over the second half of the season.
Russell Wilson, Denver Broncos (DraftKings – $5,400/FanDuel – $6,900)
It’s hard to believe that halfway through this season, Wilson only has six touchdowns in his seven starts. Over his previous 78 games, he averaged 2.2 scores per week. His only showing with more than 300 passing yards came in Week 1 (340/1), and he has one passing touchdown or fewer in six contests. In addition, his completion rate (58.8) is well below his career average (65.0).
Tennessee plays well against the run, suggesting that the Broncos will need to do most of their scoring this week via the pass. The Titans continue to rank poorly vs. quarterbacks (28th – 24.05 FPPG), with five teams passing for more than 300 yards. Wilson looks to be a player to avoid, but his matchup gives him a chance to have one of his better games of the season. Jerry Jeudy and Greg Dulcich are trending in a positive direction, another win for Denver’s passing attack.