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Fantasy Football 2019: Playoff Schedule Analysis for QBs

Patrick Mahomes has a brutal schedule for the fantasy playoffs

Fantasy football owners often look at matchups. They want to know if their players have the odds in their favor or not. Certain players are matchup-proof, but others are prone to doing well in a good matchup and doing poorly in a bad one.

 

Some NFL teams have a nice fantasy playoff schedule. Others have good matchups in Weeks 14 and 15 but not in Week 16. For those with a bye in the playoffs, you can ignore the Week 14 matchups and look ahead to Week 15. In order to get to Week 16, you have to win, so plan accordingly.

 

Note: these matchups are based on teams in the top 10 in terms of allowing the most or the fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks, assuming six points per TD pass.

 

Best QB Matchups

 

Tennessee Titans

Ryan Tannehill has performed surprisingly well, and fantasy owners that grabbed him were smart. They may not have had the playoffs in mind, but his schedule is favorable. In Week 14, he faces the Oakland Raiders (allowing the third-most fantasy points to QBs) and in Week 15, he faces the Houston Texans (seventh). Tannehill is a decent streamer and is still available in nearly 60 percent of leagues.

 

New York Giants

Daniel Jones started his rookie season like a star, but has fallen back down to earth. He has a chance to end his season with decent numbers as the Giants' schedule looks good in the fantasy playoffs. They face the Miami Dolphins and the Washington Redskins in Weeks 15 and 16. Granted, his first start against the Redskins wasn't great (225 yards, a touchdown, two interceptions), but if fantasy owners have used him this far, they should continue to count on him, with caution. The one caveat is that he's reportedly dealing with a high ankle sprain that could sideline him for the duration of the fantasy playoffs. Just keep this in mind so you're not stuck relying on Eli Manning to try and help you win a fantasy championship. Manning obviously has the same great schedule, but do not trust him in the fantasy playoffs.

 

Good QB Matchups

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Jameis Winston will still turn the ball over, but at least those giveaways will happen in good matchups in the fantasy playoffs. In Weeks 15 and 16, he faces the Detroit Lions and Houston Texans, seventh and eighth in fantasy points allowed to QBs, respectively. Winston has 10 touchdowns in the past six games (since the bye) and he'll keep throwing it. He's worth considering for the fantasy playoffs.

 

Denver Broncos

The Broncos' schedule is good; they face the Houston Texans (eighth-most fantasy points allowed to QBs) in Week 14 and the Detroit Lions (seventh) in Week 16. However, it's hard to say how Drew Lock will do with only one start under his belt. The Week 14 matchup will tell if he's worthy of streaming in Week 16 or not, but it seems unlikely to rest the fantasy championship in the hands of Lock.

 

Worst QB Matchups

 

Kansas City Chiefs

Fantasy owners of Patrick Mahomes aren't going to bench him in the playoffs if he's gotten you this far, but know that his struggles of recent weeks may continue. He faces the New England Patriots in Week 14, who allow the fewest points to quarterbacks. That game is followed up with matchups against the Denver Broncos (fifth fewest) and Chicago Bears (sixth). Mahomes should be fine, but don't expect through-the-roof points from him.

 

Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen has been playing well, but the schedule just gets brutal for him. All three playoff weeks Allen faces teams in the top 10 in terms of fewest fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks. First up is a home game against Baltimore (fourth), then at Pittsburgh (10th), and at New England (first). Avoid using Allen in the playoffs if at all possible.

 

Bad QB Matchups

 

Los Angeles Rams

Jared Goff has a tough playoff schedule. He typically plays better at home than away, and he has two games (in Weeks 15 and 16) on the road against the Dallas Cowboys and San Francisco 49ers. Both of those defenses are not allowing a lot of fantasy points to quarterbacks, and the way Goff has been playing, fantasy owners should probably look elsewhere.

 

Atlanta Falcons

The Falcons face the Carolina Panthers (ninth-fewest fantasy points to QBs) in Week 14 before facing the San Francisco 49ers (third fewest) in Week 15. If you survived playing Matt Ryan through those weeks, the end isn't terrible, but Ryan owners hopefully have other options for the playoffs.

 

Watch Out

 

New York Jets

Sam Darnold has a great matchup in Week 14 (Miami Dolphins), but then faces the Baltimore Ravens and the Pittsburgh Steelers. Both teams are among the top 10 stingiest in terms of fantasy points allowed to QBs. Darnold has played well in good matchups, but it looks like he can only be used in Week 14 because of this slate.

 

Jacksonville Jaguars

Minshew Mania is back in effect, which is promising for those who gravitate toward the rookie signal-caller. Week 14 may be rough for Gardner Minshew (the Los Angeles Chargers are a tough matchup), but then he gets the Oakland Raiders and the Atlanta Falcons. Both of those teams are in the top five in most fantasy points allowed to the position. Minshew is someone who certainly can be used in good matchups, so keep an eye on him during the playoffs.

 

— Written by Sarah Lewis, who is part of the Athlon Contributor Network and lives, eats, and breathes fantasy football. Have a fantasy football question? Send it to her on Twitter @Sarah_Lewis32.

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