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Tunnel vision is never a good thing in fantasy sports. It leads to target drafting while finishing with many similar-looking teams. Many drafters like diversifying their position on key players to minimize their downside. Unfortunately, I have an all-in-shove feature coming for my long hours of research.

Over the past five weeks, I did 150 drafts in Best Ball Mania III at Underdog fantasy. After seeing their draft flow and developing my draft plan, I targeted Travis Etienne in the third round of every draft. I ended up rostering him on 127 teams (84.7 percent).

Now the question is, why? I viewed the wide receiver options in the third, fourth, and fifth rounds to have similar value, giving me plenty of outs if I went running back strong early. In addition, I wanted no part of Cam Akers and James Conner, the only other running backs that went consistently in the third round of those drafts.

Despite the perception of opening the season in a split role, Etienne offers three-down value, and his biggest competition for snaps is James Robinson, who is coming off a significant Achilles injury. I expect Etienne to move into the number one position at running back for Jacksonville. The Jaguars will give him at least 15 touches per game, leading to 1,450 combined yards with about nine touchdowns and a run at 55 catches. I’m betting on his floor while understanding he has difference-making upside.

Over his final 42 games at Clemson, Etienne gained 5,284 combined yards with 65 touchdowns and 97 catches. He gained 7.2 yards per rush and 11.3 yards per catch.

He’s currently ranked in Athlon’s “Huge Upside, but questions abound” tier for running backs.