Rankings are a great fantasy football tool, but tiers are more practical. So with that in mind here are the 2022 Fantasy Football Quarterback Tiers.
Far too often fantasy football managers have their heart set on getting this quarterback or that quarterback because they are ranked higher (or carry more name recognition). But rankings are often based on statistical projections, which are just that –projections. But with tiers, you have a "cluster" of talent, usually about four to six players. Each year, there's a good chance one of those talents exceeds expectations (or projections) and there's an equally good chance one of them falls short. But knowing where the "lines" are between this cluster or that cluster is key.
Yawn. You know the drill. Here are my QB tiers for 2022 with my usual "colorful" titles.
2022 Fantasy Football Quarterback Tiers
Tier 1: Bankable Studs
Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills
Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers
Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs
Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens
You know these guys are going to be studs. You can bank on it. It's going to take something dramatic for these guys not to be every week starters. And yes, even with Jackson losing Marquise Brown and Mahomes losing Tyreek Hill, both are going to be "set it and forget it" QB1s.
Tier 2: High Probability of Studliness
Kyler Murray, Arizona Cardinals
Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles
Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals
Tom Brady, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Russell Wilson, Denver Broncos
Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys
I will be happy to have any one of these quarterbacks as my No. 1 this year, but there is definitely a delineation between Tier 1 and Tier 2. Some, like Brady, have a much lower ceiling than those in Tier 1. And others, like Hurts, have a far lower floor than any of our Tier 1 options. There are enough "reasons for concern" for each one, even if they are somewhat mild, that I can't consider any of these options must-drafts. They're not the alphas, but they're definitely QB1s.
Tier 3: I like 'em better than their ADP
Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville Jaguars
Jameis Winston, New Orleans Saints
Matt Ryan, Indianapolis Colts
I like each of these quarterbacks more than their ADP. Let's start with Ryan who I don't think will actually be a QB1, but does have a higher floor than any of the options below. We've seen Lawrence's floor and expect him to take a big step forward this year. But both of their ADPs are somewhat in the range of what I expected. The ADP on Jameis Winston is wayyyyy out of whack, however. With all the weapons he now has at his disposal, plus a head coach that is not in love with Taysom Hill, Winston should get plenty of opportunities to excel. I'd expect at least 30 TD passes and 40-plus wouldn't surprise me.
Related: 2022 Fantasy Football QB ADP
Tier 4: Thy name is upside
Derek Carr, Las Vegas Raiders
Trey Lance, San Francisco 49ers
Justin Fields, Chicago Bears
Tua Tagovailoa, Miami Dolphins
Mac Jones, New England Patriots
We are outside of the top dozen quarterbacks, and I prefer my QB2 to have huge upside instead of a high floor.
Every one of these quarterbacks could bust and might not even start a dozen games this year. But if you are looking for upside as you creep toward the double-digit rounds, these are the guys to take. Of course, if you are looking for something a little more stable...
Tier 5: Solid
Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers
Kirk Cousins, Minnesota Vikings
Matthew Stafford, Los Angles Rams
You know these guys and you know what you are getting. They will likely have some humungous weeks and probably a couple of "meh" weeks. But they are solid dependable options because they've done it year in and year out. No need to reach for them, but they are not going to plummet in your drafts either.
Tier 6: Sure! (but when no one is paying attention...)
Daniel Jones, New York Giants
Ryan Tannehill, Tennessee Titans
Zach Wilson, New York Jets
We are now into definite QB2 territory as I would not roster any of these three as my QB1, but if I have to have them in my Superflex and 2-QB leagues, so be it. You can act excited when you get any of these signal-callers, but we all know deep down the confidence you have in them is limited.
Tier 7: Very Probable Week 1 Starters
Carson Wentz, Washington Commanders
Jared Goff, Detroit Lions
Davis Mills, Houston Texans
Baker Mayfield, Carolina Panthers
Marcus Mariota, Atlanta Falcons
Jacoby Brisset, Cleveland Browns
There's something to be said about drafting a Week 1 starter. Not much, but something.
Tier 8: Maybe? Maybe. Maybe Not. But Maybe.
Deshaun Watson, Cleveland Browns
Jimmy Garoppolo, San Francisco 49ers
Drew Lock, Seattle Seahawks
Mitch Trubisky, Pittsburgh Steelers
Geno Smith, Seattle Seahawks
I had a very hard time separating these quarterbacks from Tier 9. And I am still upset with myself for including both Seattle quarterbacks in this tier. But at this point, we still don't know who is starting for the Seahawks. Whoever starts Week 1 you can throw into Tier 7. Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf are two great WRs who can make any quarterback look better. Whoever doesn't start Week 1, you can throw into Tier 9.
The rest of the quarterbacks could become viable starters in any given week. Or they could become worthless. I like them as late picks, but nothing more.
Tier 9: Worth a Flier in 2-QB Leagues
Kenny Pickett, Pittsburgh Steelers
Desmond Ridder, Atlanta Falcons
Teddy Bridgewater, Miami Dolphins
Malik Willis, Tennessee Titans
Sam Darnold, Carolina Panthers
I would not even think about drafting any of the Tier 9 members in a standard redraft league. But if you are in a 2-QB league of any depth, don't be surprised to see these guys selected. There's enough upside here to make them viable late-round selections in 2-QB leagues.
— Tiers by Mark Strausberg, a member of the Athlon Network Contributor, who despite his youthful exuberance and good looks has been playing fantasy sports before Wildcats or Hoosiers even made it to VHS. Got a fantasy sports question or thought? Hit him up on Twitter @MarkStrausberg.