After two dominating weeks (45.80 and 42.60 fantasy points), Lamar Jackson took over the quarterback scoring lead. Three games into the season, Jackson (37.25), Josh Allen (33.67), and Jalen Hurts (31.83) averaged more than 30.00 fantasy points in four-point passing touchdown formats. Here are the top-scoring quarterbacks over the past three seasons with their fantasy points per game:
· Josh Allen (27.33)
· Josh Allen (28.60)
· Lamar Jackson (28.43)
Rushing production has been a significant factor for Jackson (26/243/2 – 32.5 percent of his scoring) and Hurts (37/167/3 – 36.3 percent). Jackson has yet to attempt more than 30 passes in a game, while Hurts already has 916 passing yards (32, 31, and 35 passing attempts).
Trevor Lawrence (27.80 fantasy points) was the outlier of the top five quarterbacks in Week 3. His improvement pushed him to 10th in quarterback scoring (65.80 fantasy points).
Here’s a look at the top three quarterbacks for Week 4 in the daily fantasy contests:
Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills (DraftKings – $8,400/FanDuel – $8,900)
Last week, the Bills dominated time of possession (40:40 minutes) while gaining 515 yards of offense. They had their best offensive day of the season but only scored 17 points. Buffalo’s wideouts gained more than 200 yards each game in 2022 (17/251/3, 17/251/3, and 20/210/1) while averaging more than 25 targets per game. Allen is on pace for 6,398 combined yards with 57 touchdowns. This week, he draws the Ravens’ secondary that has already allowed 56 catches for 842 yards and five touchdowns on 87 targets to wide receivers. The Jets (309/1), Dolphins (469/6), and Patriots (321/0) passed for more than 300 yards, helped by 141 pass attempts (47 per game). Baltimore also has issues defending the run (63/314/3 – 5.0 yards per rush). Surprisingly, the over/under (51.5) at SI Sportsbook is lower than expected. The Ravens will score on the Bills, giving Allen plenty of reasons to air the ball out again this week. He is the top-rated quarterback in Week 4.
Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles (DraftKings – $8,200/FanDuel – $8,600)
Even with Hurts being sensational over the first three weeks (1,083 combined yards with seven touchdowns), he plays for a team that wants to run the ball and passing touchdowns (4) were lacking from his stat line before last week (340/3). On the positive side, his completion rate (67.3) is well above his first two seasons (52.0 and 61.3) while averaging 9.3 yards per pass attempt. Hurts already has five completions over 40 yards (matched his 2021 total in just three games). His floor can be saved by his running opportunity (37/167/3). The Jaguars’ defense dominated the run over the first three weeks (53/165/0 – 3.1 yards per rush) while facing three quarterbacks with limited mobility (Carson Wentz, Matt Ryan, and Justin Herbert – ribs). The Commanders moved the ball well via the air (313/4) against Jacksonville in Week 1. Ryan (195/0) looked lost in the following matchup while playing without his top wideout (Michael Pittman). The Chargers played last week without Keenan Allen and their star quarterback didn’t look right after suffering a rib issue vs. the Chiefs. Jacksonville allowed only 10 points over the past two weeks, thanks to their offense holding the ball for more than 38 minutes in each win. Hurts has the tools to continue to shine. The Jaguars’ defense will have their hands full in this matchup. They will try to run the ball to slow down the clock and keep their defense off the field.
Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens (DraftKings – $8,300/FanDuel – $8,800)
Jackson rolled the dice heading into 2022 by playing out his rookie contract with the Ravens. As Teddy (KGB) from Rounders once said, “Pay him, Pay that man his money.” After three games (26/243/2), he looks well on his way to gaining more than 1,000 rushing yards. Jackson already has 10 passing scores while being on pace for 5,621 combined yards. Buffalo remains the top defense against quarterbacks (13.20, 4.95, and 13.30 fantasy points). They’ve allowed only two touchdowns and 6.5 yards per pass attempt. In addition, the Bills have done well against the run (2.8 yards per carry allowed). Last week Buffalo played without multiple defenders due to injuries. The Dolphins failed to take advantage of the situation as their defense couldn’t get the Bills’ offense off the field. Jackson is the top-scoring quarterback in 2022, but he looks like an against-the-grain selection in Week 4.