Rishard Matthews is a borderline top-25 fantasy WR available at a great price this week
It is Christmas week(end) folks and that means there is plenty to do and going on, especially on the fantasy front. Because of the holiday, the NFL schedule looks a little different with 12 games on Saturday and just two on Sunday. This means you won’t have an extra day to prepare your lineups, whether that’s for a daily contest or seasonal league. Then again, if you are in the latter and playing for a championship this shouldn’t matter that much because my guess is you are ready to get the games started.
It has been an interesting fantasy season to say the least and I will miss NFL DFS now that I have been winning on a regular basis over the past five weeks. I know it took me a while to get to this point, but what can you do?
Whatever your preference, I wish you the best as we wrap up this season, and hopefully your Christmas will be splendid and filled with family, food and gifts. And what could help make it a little bit better and brighter? Why winning money from a league championship and/or some DFS contests of course.
What I will be doing in this space is sharing my top plays for the week, a value play, and most importantly a lineup or two. I will likely be focusing on cash games (50/50 and Double Up) and not GPP (tournaments, multi-player) contests. My Week 15 lineups should work in both formats.
So let’s get into my top plays, value play and lineups for Week 16 shall we? As always any questions, arguments, or glowing praise can be sent to me via Twitter @fantsychillpony.
Week 16 Top Plays
These will be my top plays of the week. These are players who I will try to have in as many lineups of mine as possible. If I can, I will use all three in one lineup. A reminder for cash games: going with an elite quarterback is typically recommended. If you opt for a value quarterback he MUST meet value for your loaded lineup to be worth it.
QB: Drew Brees, New Orleans vs. Tampa Bay ($8,500 FanDuel/$7,400 DraftKings)
Brees certainly rewarded owners last week who stuck with him after his two abysmal performances in Weeks 13 and 14. This week, he’s back at home where he typically can thrive, and faces a Buccaneers team that allows the fourth-most passing yards per game and the sixth-most fantasy points to quarterbacks. I realize last time Brees was mentioned here he was in an even better spot against Detroit and laid an egg. This time and after last week I am confident for him to continue his home-field dominance and meet value.
RB: David Johnson, Arizona at Seattle ($8,700 FanDuel/$9,200 DraftKings)
This may be one of the toughest matchups for Johnson this season. Seattle is No. 2 against the run, so he will not be a shoo-in for 20-plus fantasy points as he has been all season. However, he is such a volume hog in the Cardinals’ offense that no matter how good the Seahawks are against the run Johnson will be catching passes, and getting touches. If you are willing to take a risk, and spend up (especially in GPP) Johnson could be a great play. DeMarco Murray may be a safer play for those who are risk-averse or in cash games this week ($8,400 on FanDuel, $7,000 on DraftKings).
WR: Jordy Nelson, Green Bay vs. Minnesota ($7,800 FanDuel/$7,000 DraftKings)
Nelson is coming off of a big Week 15 and seemingly back to his old pre-injury self. And it couldn’t have come a better time for the player or his team. Over the last three games, Nelson has averaged nine targets per game and has two 100-yard games and a total of three touchdowns during that span. With 22.4, 22.1, and 28.8 DraftKings points over his last three he is red hot. The issue is he will likely be matched up against Minnesota’s Xavier Rhodes, who has been one of the best shutdown cornerbacks this season. Playing at home, I still like Nelson to find the end zone at some point, although he may not get a bunch of yards. Aaron Rodgers loves throwing the deep ball to Nelson, although you don’t get fantasy points for any pass interference calls he draws.
TE: Cameron Brate, Tampa Bay at New Orleans ($5,600 FanDuel/$3,900 DraftKings)
Brate has scored at least eight DraftKings points over his last four games with two monster games of 20.6 and then 18.3 last week. This week Brate gets the Saints, who have struggled some against tight ends (21st vs. position). Brate is averaging better than five targets over his last four games and has found the end zone twice during this stretch. I like his odds to score double-digit points this week, even if he doesn’t get a touchdown.
Value Play of the Week
Rishard Matthews, Tennessee at Jacksonville ($5,700 FanDuel/$4,900 DraftKings)
Matthews has been one of the more consistent wide receivers over the last six games. Aside from his Week 14 stinker (3.8 points on DraftKings) he has produced 15 or more fantasy points each week. The Jaguars actually have done pretty well against the pass, so the matchup is not ideal. But assuming Matthews gets around six targets and a touchdown he can easily hit three times his value. It’s risky, but aren’t all value plays just that?
This week I am only posting one lineup for each site. Again these are lineups that should work well, in addition to encompassing my top plays for the week in some fashion. However, I don’t recommend only using this lineup. Find values and mix it up. Making your lineup your own is more fun and challenging.
This week I constructed a lineup I will be playing in both types of games (Cash and GPP) on both sites.
FanDuel Cash/GPP Lineup
DraftKings Cash/GPP Lineup
— Written by Chris Meyers, who is part of the Athlon Contributor Network and a member of the FSWA. Meyers' work appears on many other sites, including socalledfantasyexperts.com. Follow him on Twitter @FantsyChillpony.