The truth is there is nothing very interesting about my Week 16 fantasy quarterback rankings.
But let's talk about something that does involve quarterbacks and is a little more interesting: the race for this year's MVP. In the last fifteen years, only three non-QBs have won the MVP, and the last time was 2012 when Adrian Peterson won it. So there is a very good chance a quarterbacks win it again this year.
Now, I will say that Jonathan Taylor currently has one of the five best odds and makes for an interesting bet at 12-to-1. However, I would be surprised if the MVP is not won by one of the top five other options, who all happen to be quarterbacks.
Josh Allen is behind Taylor at 15-to-1. He does a lot more with his feet than the other four options, but unless you put up Lamar Jackson/Cam Newton-like rushing stats, the voters are not very impressed. Allen is averaging only 266 passing yards per game, and he's going to have to bring that number way up to have a shot at MVP. At least his passing numbers are generally trending upwards. Matthew Stafford's numbers, meanwhile, have plateaued and he finds himself at 10-to-1.
I placed bets on those quarterbacks to win the MVP back in the preseason, but I fear it's going to be one of the three other QB options. Aaron Rodgers is only averaging a few more yards per game than Allen, but he also has a sparkling 30:4 TD-to-INT ratio and sports a higher passer rating. But I don't like the value he presents. He has nearly identical odds as the preseason and current favorite, Tom Brady. Brady is the only QB averaging more than 300 passing yards per game, but last Sunday's dud against New Orleans certainly narrowed the margin.
This leaves us with the only other option, Patrick Mahomes. He is the only other top candidate besides Brady to have already eclipsed the 4K-passing yard mark already this season. With games left against the enigmatic defenses of Pittsburgh, Cincinnati, and Denver, it's tough to call whether or not he gets his third MVP.
My favorite bet, however, might be the true long shot: the 25-to-1 Justin Herbert. Herbert has also passed the 4K passing yard mark but has more TD passes than everyone but Brady and Stafford. Herbert is also tied with Brady for the most 300-yard passing games this season. We could keep this going. However, a quick look at my rankings below reveals I have Herbert ranked as my top QB this week. If he delivers on that, the MVP race could get even tighter!
NFL Quarterback Rankings: Week 16
— Rankings by Mark Strausberg, a member of the Athlon Network Contributor, who despite his youthful exuberance and good looks has been playing fantasy sports before Wildcats or Hoosiers even made it to VHS. Got a fantasy sports question or thought? Hit him up on Twitter @MarkStrausberg.