Each week in daily fantasy sports contests on DraftKings and FanDuel, a low-priced quarterback delivers a winning score, outperforming those in his salary group. The problem is that they aren’t always easy to identify. Game flow tends to be crucial when searching the back end of the quarterback pool. Here are all the bottom-tier quarterbacks who scored more than 25.00 fantasy points over the first three weeks:
· Carson Wentz (32.85)
· Joe Flacco (30.95)
· Jared Goff (28.80)
· Trevor Lawrence (27.80)
After three games, 12 quarterbacks scored more than 30.00 fantasy points in four-point passing touchdown leagues. Three of those scores reached 40.00 fantasy points. In essence, an $8,000 quarterback needs to score more than 32.00 fantasy points to pay off, while a $5,000 player only must reach 20.00 fantasy points to support his salary at DraftKings.
Tom Brady, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (DraftKings – $6,100/FanDuel – $7,600)
The Bucs’ defense (27 points allowed) is the reason they are 2-1 after three games. Brady had no time to throw vs. the Cowboys and Saints (10 sacks) while playing most of the time without his starting wide receivers. However, with Mike Evans (suspended) out last week, he did throw for a season-high 255 yards with two touchdowns. Brady has weakness in yards per pass attempt (6.5) and only three touchdowns. Kanas City ranks 24th vs. quarterbacks (25.15, 27.80, and 18.50 FPPG) while facing the Cardinals, Chargers, and Colts. They’ve played well vs. the run (73/2609/1 – 3.6 yards per rush) while allowing seven passing scores. Tampa will need to score more than 25 points to win this game. Brady’s floor should be 300 yards and three touchdowns.
Mitchell Trubisky, Pittsburgh Steelers ($5,100/FanDuel – $6,500)
The end is near for Trubisky as the starting quarterback for Pittsburgh. He’s lucky to be 1-2. Over the first three games, he passed for only 569 yards and two touchdowns (5.5 yards per pass attempt) with minimal success on the ground (6/23/1). Pittsburgh has a viable pass-catching back, tight end and their wideouts grade out much better than their results. For Trubisky to be feasible, he needs at least two scores with 250 combined yards. The Jets allow 22.62 fantasy points per game on DraftKings and FanDuel. Quarterbacks are averaging 7.7 yards per pass attempt with seven touchdowns. Much of New York’s struggles vs. the pass came from defending wide receivers (33/466/6 on 48 targets). Trubisky should be better this week, but a slow start to the game could lead to a trip to the showers.
Jared Goff, Detroit Lions (DraftKings – $5,900/FanDuel – $7,600)
Over the first three weeks, the Lions scored 12 touchdowns on 37 possessions, leading to 95 points. They continue to run the ball well (87/511/5 – 5.9 yards per rush), but they will be without D’Andre Swift this matchup. Goff has a developing stud wideout (Amon-Ra St. Brown – 23/321/3) with pass-catching depth at running back, wide receiver and tight end. Goff has seven touchdowns through three starts while averaging almost 250 passing yards. Seattle is league average defending the quarterback position (20.68 FPPG). The Seahawks are allowing 8.9 yards per pass attempt while facing Denver, San Francisco, and Atlanta. Detroit should move the ball well, giving Goff a chance at 300 yards with a pair of scores.