I'm guessing your survivor pools were similar to mine last week with about 70 percent of those still alive being eliminated in Week 9. Week 10 should see far less carnage. At least I sure hope so for the purposes of my Week 10 Start 'Em, Sit 'Em fantasy suggestions!
As a reminder, I will not be recommending any starts for options that are generally in the top dozen for QB, TE, or DST. Nor will I be recommending any "sits" for those beyond the top two dozen.
So don't be a dummy. Use this as a guide when you are deciding between two marginal options. Below are some of the start options I like better than most and sit options I liked less than others.
Teams on bye: Chicago, Cincinnati, Houston, New York Giants
START This QB
Derrick Carr, Las Vegas Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs (SNF)
Let's start with what you already know: the Kansas City defense has struggled this year. The Chiefs are giving up the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing QBs, automatically aiding Carr's Week 10 outlook.
And as you might know, this game has the third-highest over/under for Week 10 at 52 points. I would not expect a bunch of slow and methodical drives. Both of these teams are in the top 10 for the number of plays per game. Kansas City is averaging 68.2 plays per game (third in the league) and the Raiders are a surprising 65.4 (ninth). In other words, this game should be an air show.
What you probably don't know however is just how good Carr has been this season. Let Pro Football Focus enlighten you:
- PFF passing grade: 83.1 (third-best mark of Carr's career)
- Big-time throw rate: 7.9% (No. 1)
- Turnover-worthy play rate: 2.5% (No. 2)
- Yards per attempt: 8.0 (No. 1)
- Adjusted completion rate: 76.4% (No. 3)
Furthermore, recall that Carr put up very good numbers against the Chiefs last season. In two games against his division rival, Carr passed for 622 yards and six touchdowns with just two interceptions. Part of the reason for this success? He was sacked just once.
So how good should Carr be this week? In my most successful league this season, I have Josh Allen as my starter with Carr on my bench. I am going with Allen because of his soft matchup (at Jets), but I gave Carr a long look. Unless you have one of the top four or five options this week, you might want to take your Carr out for a spin.
SIT This QB
Baker Mayfield, Cleveland Browns at New England Patriots
I know, "the cancer" is gone. And it's led to a fair share of memes...
But let's not get too excited just yet. It's one thing to beat your divisional in-state rival. It's another to beat Bill Belichick at home. Especially one that is allowing the third-fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks.
START This TE
Dawson Knox, Buffalo Bills at New York Jets
I don't want to get all preachy. But it is really okay if you don't like or agree with what someone has to say all of the time. And that includes Twitter especially! You can disagree with folks without "trolling" them.
And that includes one of my fellow industry "experts," Frank Ammirante. He hasn't stooped down to the level of some of those trolling him. And I will add that he's had at least three tweets in the last week where I shake my head and think, "You're wrong Frank." But I know as often as I might disagree with him, I also respect his opinions — wrong or right. To be fair, it's also doesn't hurt that I often agree with him as well. And I know him well enough to know what he is trying to say. And it's why I agree 100 percent with this:
If you can't read between the lines, start Knox this week as he's set to return after missing two games. Until Knox got injured, he was absolutely crushing it. From Weeks 2-5 he scored five touchdowns. The Jets are giving up the ninth-most fantasy points to opposing TEs this year. Wanna bet that Knox gets right back into the end zone?
SIT This TE
Adam Trautman, New Orleans Saints at Tennessee Titans
Trautman has had 13 targets over the last two weeks. Despite adding a shaky situation at QB to his equation, people still like Trautman this week. Far more than they should.
As up and down as the Titans' defense has been, they are currently the fifth-stingiest team when it comes to TE fantasy points. I'm not buying Trautman and you shouldn't either. And while on the subject of the Saints and the Titans...
START This Defense/Special Teams (DST)
New Orleans Saints at Tennesee Titans
It makes absolutely no sense. But the better their opponent, the better the Saints' defense plays. Tom Brady and the Buccaneers? No problem. The Saints picked him off twice and sacked him three times. Aaron Rodgers and the Packers? No worries. They shut the Packer offense down and intercepted Rodgers twice. Meanwhile, they couldn't get a sack on Daniel Jones and made Sam Darnold look like an All-Pro.
As I said, makes no sense. But if I have the Saints DST already and the streaming options are limited, I'm not worrying much about the matchup against Tennessee. The fact is New Orleans is currently the third-best DST in fantasy.
It might seem counter-intuitive but start the Saints.
SIT This Defense/Special Teams (DST)
Green Bay Packers vs. Seattle Seahawks
Russell Wilson is supposed to play.
Chris Carson might also. If you're streaming, I hope you don't have to start the Packers because there are probably 20 DSTs I'd rather take a chance with this week.
— Written by Mark Strausberg, a member of the Athlon Network Contributor, who despite his youthful exuberance and good looks has been playing fantasy sports before Wildcats or Hoosiers even made it to VHS. Got a fantasy sports question or thought? Hit him up on Twitter @MarkStrausberg.