Week 13 is the final week of the fantasy football regular season for most leagues, meaning fantasy owners have two options. Either stick with the proven veteran who seems to be struggling lately or focus on the matchup and not the name, be it for a rookie or other breakout candidate.
No more teams on bye but injuries and other factors still make this a tough week when it comes to figuring out which wide receivers and tight ends to start (or sit). But before we dive into Week 13 let's see how the Week 12 advice panned out.
Good Calls for Week 12...
Start Tyler Lockett (16.5 fantasy points) – Lockett has become the Seahawks WR1 and is basically scoring a touchdown per week.
Sit Golden Tate (3.0 FP) – It’s hard to start any Eagles wider receiver at this point.
Bad Calls for Week 12...
Sit Emmanuel Sanders (14.6 FP) – Even with the emergence of Phillip Lindsay, and the Broncos wanting more out of Courtland Sutton, Sanders continues to rack up fantasy points.
Start Eric Ebron (16.5 FP) – All he does is score touchdowns, and now with Jack Doyle done for the season, be on the lookout for even more.
START THESE WRs...
DJ Moore, CAR (at TB)
While the Panthers as a team have been struggling, Moore has shown some solid fantasy production. He has at least 90 receiving yards in three of the last five games and a touchdown in that span. In the last three weeks, he has 22 combined targets, only four fewer than he had totaled in every game he played prior. He's becoming the No. 1 target for Cam Newton and this game figures to be one where the Panthers will have to throw the ball to move the chains. The Buccaneers allow the second-most yards per pass attempt in the NFL at 8.2, and fifth-most fantasy points per game to wide receivers. Moore should be trusted to continue his solid output as the Panthers air out the ball against Tampa Bay.
Adam Humphries, TB (vs. CAR)
Humphries has made his presence known lately thanks to four TDs across his last four games and an average of seven targets in his last six. The slot receiver has shown chemistry with Jameis Winston and now he gets a rematch versus Carolina at home after catching all eight of his targets for 82 yards and two scores against them in Week 9. What’s even more impressive is that Humphries has had seven red-zone opportunities over the past five weeks — more than Mike Evans (5), Cameron Brate (3), Jackson (2) or Chris Godwin (2).
Corey Davis, TEN (vs. NYJ)
In the past three games that Marcus Mariota has been able to finish, Davis is averaging 19.3 PPR points. He has two touchdowns over that span, and is finally starting to look like the breakout receiver many fantasy owners were hoping for. This week, he's facing a Jets secondary that has allowed seven touchdowns to receivers in the past seven games, as well as eight guys to score at least 12 PPR points over that span. As long as Mariota is healthy, Davis should stay hot to close the year.
MIGHT BE WORTH THE RISK...
Josh Reynolds, LAR (at DET)
Reynolds filled in nicely for Cooper Kupp versus the Chiefs and this week's matchup with the Lions sets up him to have another productive day. Detroit ranks last in defensive efficiency against third-option receivers and have given up the second most yards, according to footballoutsiders.com.
SIT THESE WRs...
Allen Robinson, CHI (at NYG)
With uncertainty at the quarterback position, it’s best to fade Robinson this week. The Giants have been fairly solid in limiting the damage done by other wide receivers and with the real possibility of Chase Daniel getting another start, you can't trust Robinson to get enough targets. Daniel was mostly a dink and dunk expert on Thanksgiving against a bad Detroit defense, so don’t be expecting much different this week. Robinson has been limited after exploding in Week 10 with 133 yards, so there's no reason to believe he'll snap out of that funk with all the question marks surrounding the quarterback position.
Alshon Jeffery, PHI (vs. WAS, Mon.)
Adding Golden Tate to the Eagles' offense just hasn't worked out the way many were expecting, and instead has had a negative impact on several of his new teammates. In three games playing alongside Tate, Jeffery has managed just seven catches for 120 yards and no touchdowns on 16 targets. He's now gone four games in a row without a score and it's hard to trust him this week against Washington, especially going up against Josh Norman. Until Jeffery starts producing again on a consistent basis, you should keep him on your bench..
John Brown, BAL (at ATL)
As long as Lamar Jackson is running the show, all Ravens pass catchers need to downgraded slightly. Against the Raiders, none had more than three receptions and Brown managed just one catch on seven targets. Brown has recorded two catches in Jackson's two starts, which is a troubling trend.
YOU’VE BEEN WARNED...
Jarvis Landry, CLE (at HOU)
Landry has seen just 17 targets in three games since Cleveland fired Hue Jackson. Baker Mayfield is rounding into form with Freddie Kitchens calling the plays, but it's Nick Chubb and others who have been benefitting. Landry’s 10.4 average depth of target trails Antonio Callaway (16.8), Rashard Higgins (12.4) and Breshad Perriman (16.7) since the coaching switch. Unless Landry’s target share increases (currently 19 percent), he’s difficult to trust, especially against a Houston defense that has surrendered just seven TDs to opposing WRs. That's tied with Jacksonville for the fewest.
START THESE TEs...
Jared Cook, OAK (vs. KC)
Cook only saw five targets last week, but he made them count by catching two of them for 32 yards and a touchdown. You can mark five targets as a safe floor with Oakland as whopping 15-point underdogs at home, with the expectation that the Raiders will have to abandon the run early. The Chiefs just gave up two touchdowns to Rams TE Gerald Everett and in a tight-end landscape known for its barren nature, bank on Cook’s volume being worthy of mid-range TE1 territory.
Cameron Brate, TB (vs. CAR)
Brate played a season-high 70 percent of the offensive snaps for Tampa Bay last week after O.J. Howard went on injured reserve. The Panthers have allowed a league-high nine touchdowns to opposing tight ends this season along with a robust 129.7 passer rating against. In other words, Jameis Winston should have a great game and Brate should be in line for at least one touchdown.
Gerald Everett, LAR (at DET)
Everett has been a quality low-end TE and flex option over the last three weeks. He had three catches and 48 yards in Week 9, 15 yards and a touchdown in Week 10 and 49 yards with two touchdowns in his last game against the Chiefs. His upside is touchdown dependent, but his Week 13 floor should be in the 8-10 point range. Detroit represents a fair matchup, ranking 16th in fantasy points allowed to opposing tight ends.
MIGHT BE WORTH THE RISK...
Matt LaCosse, DEN (at CIN)
LaCosse caught his first career touchdown in Week 12 along with two other receptions for a 3-34-1 line on four targets. Jeff Heuerman joins fellow TE Jake Butt on injured reserve, which means LaCosse is the unquestioned starter heading into a date with Cincinnati. The Bengals are allowing the second-most fantasy points to tight ends in 2018. If you need a dart throw at tight end this week, LaCosse is your man.
SIT THESE TEs...
Kyle Rudolph, MIN (at NE)
Rudolph’s 7-63-0 performance this past Sunday night likely perked some ears, but don’t forget how inconsistent Rudolph has been all year. While he saw seven targets, none of them came in the red zone. Dalvin Cook had three, Stefon Diggs had two and Adam Thielen saw one. Yes, the Patriots are susceptible to tight ends, but the massive games came from far more athletic tight ends such as Eric Ebron, Travis Kelce and Trey Burton. According to Football Outsiders’ Defense-adjusted Value Over Average metric, the Patriots (14.2 percent) rank ninth against TEs.
Evan Engram, NYG (vs. CHI)
Engram has curiously disappeared from the Giants offense, as Rhett Ellison reeled in four balls for 77 yards last game in which Engram tweaked his hamstring during pregame warmups. He was officially active but did not see a single snap in the loss to Philadelphia. Engram's still dealing with the hamstring issue and has missed practice time this week, but even if he's able to play, he figures to be limited. The Bears have given up some damage to opposing TEs but overall this has been one the stingier defenses in the league.
Jimmy Graham, GB (vs. ARI)
Graham has reached the end zone just once in his last seven games and is playing with a broken thumb. For all of the Cardinals' issues, they have given up just one touchdown to a tight end since Week 2 and have yielded the eighth-fewest fantasy points to the position on the season.
YOU’VE BEEN WARNED...
George Kittle, SF (at SEA)
It’s hard to bench a top-five fantasy TE, but the Seahawks have given up the fourth-fewest points to the position. Take out the three touchdown catches in Weeks 10 and 11 (games vs. Rams, Packers) and Seattle has surrendered just one other TD and no more than 54 yards to any single TE this year. Oh and these two teams play against each other in Week 15 (fantasy playoffs) too.
— Written by Michael Horvath, who is part of the Athlon Contributor Network. Horvath is a Canadian who also happens to be a fantasy football (not to be confused with CFL) and fitness nut. Follow him on Twitter @realmikehorvath.