After a week of information, identifying potential values in daily fantasy games gets easier. It is essential to reflect on last week’s game flow and each player’s snaps to understand their opportunity. If a player is rostered on many teams, his salary could still rise despite an underachieving outcome. The goal in the mid-tier range is finding options with a chance to score more than 20.00 fantasy points.
DJ Moore, Carolina Panthers (DraftKings – $5,700/FanDuel – $6,200)
Coming into 2022, Moore was consistently drafted as a top-15 wide receiver in the high-stakes market based on his potential to catch more than 100 passes. The change to Baker Mayfield at quarterback for the Panthers led to him posting a below-par game (3/43 on six targets) in Week 1. Moore was on the field for every offensive play run by Carolina. Last year he had six catches for 73 yards on 10 targets against the Giants in New York. Last year the Giants were league average vs. wide receivers (34.60 FPPG), with six opponents scoring over 40.00 fantasy points. They held Tennessee’s wideouts to 12 catches for 169 yards (14.1 yards per catch) on 19 targets in Week 1. Moore has the skill set to catch plenty of balls with more than 100 yards receiving, but he can’t post a winning result without finding paydirt (14 career touchdowns in 64 matchups).
Courtland Sutton, Denver Broncos (DraftKings – $6,100/FanDuel – $6,800)
After glowing summer reports about the chemistry with Russell Wilson, Sutton posted a ho-hum game (4/72 on seven targets) in Seattle. Denver had him on the field for 95 percent of their plays. He projects as a big play wideout with the potential to score touchdowns in close. Houston struggled to defend Michael Pittman Jr. (9/121/1) in Week 1 while allowing the Colts’ receivers to catch 18 passes for 239 yards and one score on 27 targets. I expect the Broncos to play much better offensively at home and Sutton should be rewarded with an excellent opportunity in this matchup.
Allen Robinson, Los Angeles Rams (DraftKings – $5,500/FanDuel – $5,700)
The high hopes for Robinson in his new home with the Rams ended with an empty game (1/12 on two targets) in Week 1. Los Angeles had him on the field for all but two of their 67 plays. When at his best from 2019 to 2020 with the Bears, he averaged 6.25 catches for 74.9 yards and 0.41 touchdowns a game or 16.2 FPPG. His new role with the Rams should help him repeat this floor at a minimum. The Falcons struggled vs. wide receivers in Week 1 (16/218/2 on 21 targets). In 2021, Atlanta finished 30th in wide receiver defense (38.39 FPPG). Los Angeles should get Robinson more involved in Week 2 and his salary looks mispriced, at least at FanDuel.