In Week 9, four of the top six fantasy scores at tight end came from the players who rank in the top five for the season. Cole Kmet (22.00) and Cade Otton (17.80) were the winning plays in the daily market after finishing second and fourth for the week in fantasy points. This season only five tight ends are averaging more than 12.00 fantasy points in PPR leagues.
Teams on bye: Baltimore, Cincinnati, New England, New York Jets
So here’s a look at my best tight players for Week 10:
Travis Kelce, Kansas City Chiefs (DraftKings – $7,800/FanDuel – $8,500)
Kelce (20.93) is one of nine skill players (RB, WR, and TE) averaging more than 20.00 fantasy points in PPR leagues. He now holds a 45.90-point edge over Mark Andrews, while any tight end ranked below fifth has scored fewer than half of his season total in fantasy points. Kelce hasn’t scored in three games, but he had a season-high 17 targets vs. Tennessee with a high floor in catches and yards over this span (8/108, 6/98, and 10/106). Additionally, he has one impact game (7/25/4) while scoring less than 15.00 fantasy points in one matchup (5/51).
Jacksonville ranks eighth in tight end defense (32/444/1), thanks to playing six games (WAS, IND, HOU, IND, NYG, and LV) vs. teams with questionable talent at the position. For Kelce to be an edge, he needs to score more than 27 fantasy points at DraftKings, requiring 100-plus yards receiving and a minimum of one score. The key to his ceiling is Kansas City scoring most of their touchdowns via the pass.
Greg Dulcich, Denver Broncos (DraftKings – $3,400/FanDuel – $5,900)
Despite only playing three games in his NFL career, Dulcich is my second-rated tight end in Week 10. His salary remains below his early production (12.40, 11.10, and 12.70 fantasy points). Even with success, he averaged only 5.7 targets over this span. Dulcich can extend the field for a tight end and he had multiple plays where he was open in his last game against the Jaguars, inviting more chances as the season progresses.
The Titans have a risk/reward feel with their tight end defense (26th – 14.58 FPPG) due to getting scorched in two matchups (IND – 11/180/2 and KC – 13/151). Dulcich should have a floor of 10.00 fantasy points that works well for his low salary. With a touchdown, he will be a winning investment in Week 10.
Cole Kmet, Chicago Bears (DraftKings – $3,400/FanDuel – $5,300)
After my winning score last week at DraftKings, I owe Kmet a big thanks, as he was the lowest-owned player (1.25 percent) on my team. He finished with the best game (5/41/2) of his young career, despite only seeing six targets (season-high). Kmet has a score in two straight games, but he hasn’t gained more than 50 yards in any matchup this season.
Detroit ranks 29th in tight end defense (45/502/5), with four teams scoring more than 15.00 fantasy points (5/52/1, 7/69/2, 8/61/1, and 9/89). The Bears should score more than 30.00 points in this game, but any Chicago receiver can’t reach a playable number if the Lions can’t stop the run. Kmet is a possible trap for anyone chasing last week’s success, but this offense continues to improve. Pony up or get left at the station.