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Week 1 DFS Mid-Tier QBs: Trey Lance and Tua Tagovailoa Offer Big Upside at Low Cost

The mid-tier group of quarterbacks won't break your DFS budget but can still produce at a high level.

Each Sunday, the goal is to find the best players for your fantasy football lineups at a discounted price. Quarterbacks tend to offer the highest floor of any position if they produce a minimum of 20.00 fantasy points with a salary of around $5,000 at DraftKings. In many weeks, especially early in the season, an elite quarterback can fall into a "soft zone" in salary while having a potentially high-scoring matchup. When searching in this pricing area, a daily player must review his top receiving options to see if they fit into their team build.

Week 1 Positional Rankings: QB I RB I WR I TE I DST I K I Flex

Here's a look at the top three mid-priced quarterbacks for Week 1 on the main slate on Sunday:

Trey Lance, San Francisco 49ers (DraftKings – $6,000/FanDuel – $7,500)

Heading into Week 1, Lance is the biggest wild card at the quarterback position. His ceiling is extremely high, thanks to his running ability and three excellent receiving options (Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk, and George Kittle). The goal in his profile to fill his salary bucket is to run for 50 yards and pass for 250 yards while delivering three combined scores. For this to happen, Lance needs the other team to force the issue on the scoreboard. The Bears enter this season with questionable receiver options and a suspect defense. They want to run the ball and San Francisco will do the same if they play from the lead. I have Lance projected to score 23.98 fantasy points in DraftKings scoring, giving him the target number of four times his salary ($6,000) to be considered a win for his price point. In 2021, the Bears finished 16th defending quarterbacks (20.30 FFPG) with three opponents scoring over 30.00 fantasy points (30.50, 32.05, and 33.05). Lance projects well, but his expectations are based on his talent, not a proven resume.

Derek Carr, Las Vegas Raiders (DK – $5,900/FD – $7,400)

Based on the over/under total (52.5) at DraftKings, multiple players in this matchup are expected to finish on the winning DFS ticket in Week 1. Carr now has a frontline WR1 (Davante Adams), complemented by a chain-moving Hunter Renfrow and a talented tight end (Darren Waller). The Chargers will put up a fight on the scoreboard, pointing to the winner of this game scoring over 30 points. If Carr passes for 300 yards with three scores, he will be well worth his salary. Los Angeles should be better defensively in 2022 with an excellent pair of pass rushers (Joey Bosa and Khalil Mack). Last season, Carr delivered two short passing games (196/2 and 186/2) vs. the Chargers. He is in play for sure, but there will also be many daily players in this camp.

Tua Tagovailoa, Miami Dolphins (DraftKings – $5,700/FanDuel – $7,000)

In the season-long draft market, Tagovailoa ranks as a mid-tier QB2 as the fantasy market waits for him to break through on the field. In 2018 and 2019, he posted 24 exceptional games at Alabama (7,013 combined yards with 83 touchdowns and a 70 percent completion rate). He entered his third season with Miami, but this is the first with two legit wideouts (Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle). In addition, Miami has receiving talent at running back and tight end to help the ceiling of their passing game in 2022. New England finished with the second-best defense in the league vs. quarterbacks (16.00 FPPG) last season, but their top cornerback (J.C. Jackson) now plays for the Chargers. The Patriots have massive questions at cornerback and Miami will look to expose them in Week 1. Tagovailoa is 3-0 vs. Bill Bellicheck despite only passing for 456 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions. His receivers scream, "play me," but the Dolphins' offense will be a low percentage play this week.