No matter how much a daily fantasy player researches a slate of matchups, the ultimate winning plays need game flow to work in their favor and follow through in their scoring chances. In Week 5, picking on the Lions' and Seahawks' defenses will be a popular angle. This week’s goal should be to find the game where the early stats disguise a weakness in a defense. At the same time, both offenses must fire to create a higher-scoring environment.
Here’s a look at the top low-value quarterback plays in Week 5:
Derek Carr, Las Vegas Raiders (DraftKings – $5,900/FanDuel – $7,100)
The addition of Davante Adams with Darren Waller has yet to lead to a difference-making game for Carr. Over his four starts, Carr has yet to pass for more than 300 yards and has only six touchdowns. Adams already has 47 targets, but his chemistry with Carr hasn’t been there based on his catch rate (55.3 percent – 68.2 over his previous seasons in Green Bay). Waller has been quiet over the past two contests (3/22 and 3/24 on 10 combined targets). Last week the Raiders ran over the Broncos (38/212/2) while averaging only 5.5 yards per pass attempt. Carr had two dull showings (261/2 and 263/1) vs. the Chiefs in 2021. Kansas City allowed 10 passing touchdowns over the first four games, with quarterbacks gaining 1,200 combined yards. Their defense has been surprisingly exceptional against the run (79/263/2), pointing to Las Vegas needing to pass to win this game. With Hunter Renfrow expected to play, Carr has the tools to post a winning score and Patrick Mahomes will surely force the Raiders to score many touchdowns to win the game on Monday night.
Andy Dalton, New Orleans Saints (DraftKings – $5,200/Fanduel – $6,500)
With Jameis Winston trending toward not playing again this week, Dalton gets a second chance to unlock the offensive keys for the Saints. He played well vs. the Vikings (20-for-28 with 236 yards and one score), but New Orleans did use Taysom Hill at the goal line on short-yardage plays. The Saints’ wide receivers have talent but need Michael Thomas to play to reach a higher passing ceiling. Seattle allowed more than 8.0 yards per pass attempt in each of the first four games, with most of the damage coming last week against Detroit (384/4). Overall, the Seahawks are allowing 5.1 yards per rush and 9.1 yards per pass. New Orleans should have their way in this matchup, giving Dalton a chance at a winning score for his salary level.
Teddy Bridgewater, Miami Dolphins (DraftKings – $5,400/FanDuel – $6,400)
In relief of Tua Tagovailoa last week, Bridgewater flashed on a few plays, but his timing and reads were off a tick on some looks. He finished with 193 passing yards and a score. With a week of starting snaps in practice, his rhythm should be better vs. the Jets. New York played against two running teams (Baltimore and Cleveland), while Pittsburgh is still looking for an identity at quarterback. Their quarterback defense sits 22nd in the NFL (21.91 FPPG), with the most significant failure coming against the Bengals (275/3). The Jets allowed six touchdowns to wide receivers over the first three games. The combination of Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle invites long passing plays, and Bridgewater should handle himself well as a chain mover. He’ll be worth his salary investment with 300 passing yards and two scores.