Davante Adams finished as the top wide receiver in Week 11 (7/141/2), lifting him to third in wide receiver scoring (216.90 fantasy points). He has been exceptional over the previous three weeks (26/403/5 on 44 targets). Two other wideouts (Amari Cooper – 8/113/2 and Josh Palmer – 8/106/2) scored more than 30.00 fantasy points. Justin Jefferson finished as a bust (3/33) while seeing a season-low five targets.
Here are the top wide receiver plays in Week 12:
Tyreek Hill, Miami Dolphins (DraftKings – $8,800/FanDuel – $9,200)
The best production by Hill has come on the road (47/728/3), highlighted by four excellent showings (11/190/2, 10/160, 12/188, and 7/143/1). His only winning game at home came in Week 6 (12/177). Hill has a touchdown in two straight contests while having a floor of seven catches in eight of his 10 starts. Wide receivers have 93 catches for 1,397 yards and four touchdowns against the Texans, leading to the second-lowest stats in the league. Opposing quarterbacks average only 29.2 passes, helping their higher-than-expected ranking. Four wideouts (Michael Pittman – 9/121/1, Courtland Sutton – 7/122, Mike Williams – 7/120, and Marvin Jones – 7/104) gained over 100 yards receiving.
CB Derek Stingley Jr. (first-round draft pick in 2022) will not play in Week 12. I expect an impact game by Hill, giving him the top wide receiver ranking in Week 12.
Jaylen Waddle, Miami Dolphins (DraftKings – $7,300/FanDuel – $8,100)
Last season Waddle averaged 9.8 yards per catch with 6.5 receptions per game. The growth of Tua Tagovailoa and the addition of Tyreek Hill took away some chances (5.1 catches per start) for Waddle, but he has been a top player in the NFL in yards per catch (17.2). His best outcome came in Week 2 (11/171/2) while delivering three other games (4/102, 6/129, and 8/106/2) with over 100 yards receiving. Unfortunately, game flow has led to Waddle seeing short targets in six starts (5, 6, 5, 4, 5, and 5), giving him a weaker floor in too many games. His salary is lower than Tyreek Hill, helping lineup building. He is the mix this week despite the Texans having tons of risk defending the run.
Garrett Wilson, New York Jets (DraftKings – $4,300/FanDuel – $6,000)
A change at quarterback and a favorable matchup bodes well for Wilson to deliver a potential high-ranking game in Week 12. Over the past five matchups, the Jets passed for fewer than 160 yards in four contests (110/0, 121/0, 154/1, and 77/0), creating a low number of pass attempts (21, 18, 25, and 22) and completions (10, 16, 18, and 9). Wilson posted an impact game (8/102/2) in Week 2 while playing well in his last two starts at home (6/115 and 8/92).
Chicago sits eighth in wide receiver defense (113/1,550/7), with three offenses gaining over 200 yards (MIN – 22/223/1, MIA – 17/278/2, and DET – 14/210). Three wideouts (Justin Jefferson – 12/154, Tyreek Hill – 7/143/1, and Amon-Ra St. Brown – 10/119) finished with impact games. Thanks to his bottom-tier pricing, Wilson looks priced to pay off in Week 12.