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BMW Championship Fantasy Predictions & Expert Golf Picks

Author:
Justin Thomas

Justin Thomas enters the BMW Championship positioned to win the FedEx Cup playoffs for a second time

The BMW Championship, the second leg of the FedExCup playoffs, is set for Aug. 26-29 at Caves Valley Golf Club in Owings Mills, Maryland. That means it's time to pick your optimal DraftKings fantasy golf lineup for the first round of the FedExCup playoffs.

Here's what our best BMW Championship lineup looks like in this week's golfer predictions:

Justin Thomas ($10,600)

There's no course history to rely on this week; the Tour hasn't been to the Baltimore area in decades. What we do know is that the tight Tom Fazio fairways and small, tricky bentgrass greens will reward precise ball strikers. Enter JT. He's 4th in SG: Tee-to-Green and 3rd in SG: Approach the Green, skills that he put to use in winning the 2021 Players Championship for his lone win of the season. He's in position to join Tiger Woods and Rory McIlroy as the only two-time winners of the FedExCup.

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Daniel Berger ($9,000)

Berger's another guy who fits our profile this week — a master iron player (7th in SG: Approach the Green) and steady performer who's posted eight top 10s this season. His putter let him down at THE NORTHERN TRUST, but we anticipate a return to form with the blade for a player who ranks 7th on Tour in Scoring Average and rarely has two off weeks in a row.

Webb Simpson ($8,500)

We've gone to the Webb well multiple times this season, and he's rewarded us more often than not; the guy just knows how to get the ball in the hole and has no real weaknesses. If he gets in contention early, watch out — he gets stronger as the week progresses (3rd in Round 3 Scoring Average and 3rd in Round 4 Scoring Average). Surprisingly, he has no top-3 finishes this season. That could change this week.

Shane Lowry ($7,900)

The burly, affable Northern Irishman had a clutch T11 at THE NORTHERN TRUST on the strength of a third-round 62 that secured him a spot at Caves Valley. Lowry hasn't missed a cut since early March, posting nine top-25 finishes since then, including a solo 8th at The Players, a T4 at the PGA and a T6 at the Memorial. Expect more of the same from this season's Mr. Consistency.

Keegan Bradley ($7,700)

Caves Valley is made for ball strikers, not bombers, and Bradley fits the bill — he's 5th in SG: Tee-to-Green and 5th in SG: Approach the Green. It's been a strange hit-or-miss season for Bradley, but when he's on, he's formidable, particularly with his irons. He's coming off a T11 at THE NORTHERN TRUST, where he shot four rounds in the 60s.

Phil Mickelson ($6,300)

He scrapes into the BMW as the Last Man In at No. 70 in the FedExCup standings. Lefty's PGA Championship win is his only top 10 of the season, and he has only one other top 20 (a T17 at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude). Aside from that magical weekend at Kiawah, he hasn't done anything of note this season. But when you're searching for field fillers, it's handy to have a Hall of Fame legend and six-time major winner to turn to.