Skip to main content

2013 NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 7


Locks of the Week
Smart money bets against these two quarterbacks with a combined six career NFL starts.

Chiefs (-6) vs. Texans
Houston Cougar legend Case Keenum makes his first NFL start for the Houston Texans on the road at Arrowhead against K.C.’s undefeated top-ranked defense.

Patriots (-3.5) at Jets
Three-time Super Bowl champion Tom Brady vs. roller-coaster rookie Geno Smith. The Pats have won six straight against the Jets and are 18–5 with Brady in the series.

Blowout Bargains
Poorly coached teams with marginal talent and backup quarterbacks on the road? Check. Mate.

Packers (-10) vs. Browns
The last time these two teams played, Aaron Rodgers threw three TDs in a 31–3 win.

Falcons (-7) vs. Buccaneers
Atlanta has lost four games by a total of 15 points to teams with a combined 16–7 record.

Backdoor Covers
All year long, I’ve been saying bet on the Broncos and against the Jaguars. Not this week.

Jaguars (+7.5) vs. Chargers
The split stats are actually in Jacksonville’s favor — playing a West Coast team at 1 p.m. Eastern after that team played on Monday night.

Colts (+6.5) vs. Broncos
Peyton Manning should win in the House He Built, but Andrew Luck will keep it close.

Sucker Bets
Stay away from these games unless you’re a degenerate or a hometown homer.

Dolphins (-7.5) vs. Bills
Duke record-breaker turned scout team wunderkind turned Buffalo starter Thad Lewis heads back to his hometown of Miami.

Panthers (-6) vs. Rams
Cam Newton has scored eight of his 11 total TDs in wins and committed five of his six turnovers in losses.

49ers (-4) at Titans
Three straight games against Kansas City, Seattle and San Francisco is not what Tennessee backup Ryan Fitzpatrick was hoping for.

Giants (-3) vs. Vikings
In this chapter of The Book of Manning, Eli earns his first win of the 2013 season but also throws his 16th (or worse) INT of the year.

Lions (-3) vs. Bengals
Athletic freaks Calvin Johnson and A.J. Green should do some sort of skills competition before this contest.

Eagles (-3) vs. Cowboys
Dallas swept the season series last year; Philly swept the season series in 2011. This is just one of those rivalries…

Steelers (-1.5) vs. Ravens
At least the line isn’t three on the number. Eight of the last 10 Pittsburgh-Baltimore games have been decided by exactly three points.

Redskins (-1) vs. Bears
RG3 is not a superhero? Jay Cutler is not a villain? What kind of bizarro season is this?