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AFC South: Examining Over/Under Win Totals for the 2022 Season

Matt Ryan, Indianapolis Colts

After trading for Matt Ryan in the offseason, the Indianapolis Colts enter the season as the favorites in the AFC South.

The AFC South might be the most "boring" of the NFL divisions to discuss because there are two teams who really don't have a chance to take the division crown and two that do. The Jacksonville Jaguars have a new head coach who figures to be an upgrade, while the Houston Texans really don't have a direction in a lost season ahead. Meanwhile, the Tennessee Titans try to move on without A.J. Brown as the Indianapolis Colts hope another quarterback change can result in the division title they should have had last year.

NFL Win Totals for 2022: AFC East I AFC North I AFC South I AFC West I NFC East I NFC North I NFC South I NFC West

(Numbers courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)

Houston Texans (Over 4.5 EVEN...Under 4.5 -120)

Division Champion Odds: 30/1

Offense: Davis Mills threw 16 touchdown passes vs. 10 interceptions, solid numbers for a rookie. Another good season and this team will be convinced he could be a franchise quarterback. One of the best players in Houston training camp has been rookie Florida running back Dameon Pierce, who should be able to hold off Marlon Mack and Rex Burkhead in the backfield. The team signed Brandin Cooks to a long-term deal in the offseason and is expected to showcase him as the No. 1 wide receiver. Behind him is not a lot in terms of Nico Collins, Phillip Dorsett II, and Chris Conley. The offensive line is alright and should be able to hold up a bit.

Defense: Houston added LSU cornerback Derek Stingley Jr. and Baylor safety Jalen Pitre in the draft, both of whom figure to be starters. They will massively upgrade the secondary, which also has Steven Nelson at the other CB spot and Eric Murray at safety. The linebacking corps is not bad with Kamu Grugier-Hill (108 tackles) and Christian Kirksey (93 tackles) leading the way. The problems come up front, where the team needs to get more from players other than Jonathan Greenard, who had 8 sacks in 2021.