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Best Prop Bets for Super Bowl LI (New England Patriots vs. Atlanta Falcons)


In reality, the best part of the Super Bowl isn't the commercials, but the props themselves that force you to pay attention to literally every detail in the game. The Westgate in Las Vegas have more than 400 prop bets and that's what I will be using for this article.

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Before I give you the winners, let me give you the strategy. The very first thing you have to do is envision the Super Bowl, who will be the touchdown scorers and how will the game go. That makes things a whole lot easier and less intimidating when you start scrolling down the long list.

My other strategy is to go for value. Most if not all of my plays will be at -110 or better because you can beat the books if you find the right prop. To me, if you start paying at -130 or higher then you really better be sure it's going to win. As I said above, I'm using the props from the Westgate as my basis. Here are the ones that interest me the most:

No, Neither team will score 3 straight times (+155)

To me, the calls for a shootout are right for the most part and I think there's a lot of value with this wager. I can't see the Patriots allowing Atlanta to score three straight times so the real worry is that New England's offense gets rolling on the young Falcons D and they struggle to stop them. That said, +155 is a great price to take a chance in said shootout.

Total yardage of all touchdowns of game over 100.5 (-110)

Based off the total, there's a chance for at least seven or eight touchdowns, which means an average of around 15-20 yards per score. If the Falcons bust off a long one, then we can withstand a few of the shorter Patriots TDs that inevitably are going to come.

Malcolm Mitchell over 3 receptions (-110) & yes, TD scored (+160)

It's always a crapshoot when it comes to figuring out who will be the man in Patriots games, but Mitchell has as good a shot as any. Over a four-game stretch he had 21 catches on 27 targets from November to December with four touchdowns. In the AFC Championship Game, however, Mitchell got four targets and one catch. With Chris Hogan's recent resurrection, he might get more defensive attention. To me, Tom Brady is going to throw three touchdown passes so I think Mitchell gets one.

Yes, the Patriots will score in all four quarters (+120)

Twelve times this season the Patriots have accomplished this with several other instances in which they scored in three of the quarters. To me, this is a bet you could put a little extra on while it's still at plus money.

Golden State Warriors points vs. Sacramento Kings -4.5 (-110) vs. Patriots rushing yards +4.5

The cross-sport props are my favorite. The Warriors beat the Kings 117-106 back on Jan. 8 so we can use that as a baseline number. The Pats ran for fewer yards than 117 11 different times this season. Golden State definitely seems like the type of squad that would want to put on a show on Super Sunday. Sacramento is a terrible defensive team so I could see them giving up more than 117 points.

Isaiah Thomas points +2.5 (-110) vs. Patriots points -2.5

Thomas is on quite a roll for the Boston Celtics, scoring 30 or more points in nine of his last 13 games entering Friday night’s matchup with the Lakers. The point guard is going to most likely be in a close game with the Clippers so we could see him pour it on. On the other side is New England, who is averaging just over 28 points per game. Yes, a shootout would hurt us here, but I think Thomas gets in the 30s on Sunday.

— Written by Matt Josephs, who is a part of the Athlon Sports Contributor Network. Josephs prefers non-Power 5 college football and may be the only one wagering on the Sun Belt. Follow him on Twitter @MidMajorMatt.