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Betting Against the Spread: NFL Week 10 Picks and Odds

Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins

If you still read this article to get my NFL picks on a week-to-week basis then I salute you. The logic is there with a lot of these selections, but of course the wins aren't. It's been an odd year with the Raiders as one of the biggest threats to the Patriots in the AFC. The Falcons and Cowboys are two of the best in the NFC as well. There's still time to turn this thing around.

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Record: 8-19 (0-3 last week)

Note: All games are on Sunday, Nov. 13 and times are ET.

Houston Texans (5-3) at Jacksonville Jaguars (2-6), 1 p.m.

Two anemic offenses are set to square off at EverBank Field as neither the Texans nor the Jaguars average 20 points per game. Jacksonville is rushing for just 89.1 yards per game and Blake Bortles has taken a step back outside of garbage time. The Texans’ defense has held the majority of opponents to fewer than 300 passing yards per game. Houston's offense has grown a bit stagnant with Brock Osweiler at QB. He's thrown for fewer than 200 yards in four of his last six starts. Jacksonville has been very good against the pass despite facing several solid signal-callers already. These two AFC South foes have played eight unders in their last 14 meetings in Jacksonville. SELECTION: Under 42

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Green Bay Packers (4-4) at Tennessee Titans (4-5), 1 p.m.

This one seems to be a shootout on Sunday afternoon. Tennessee has played in six straight overs with both sides of the ball being the reason why. Marcus Mariota and this offense have scored 25 points or more in five straight, mixing in a potent run game with the second-year quarterback’s timely passing. The problem is that the Titans’ defense hasn’t been able to really stop any team. Three of the last four opponents have thrown for 300 yards or more and I think Aaron Rodgers can get there. Rodgers will have Ty Montgomery and Randall Cobb closer to 100 percent so that will make this offense more dangerous. Green Bay's defense also has sprung a few leaks the last two weeks against the Colts and Falcons. These two teams should be able to move the ball with relative ease. SELECTION: Over 50

Dallas Cowboys (7-1) at Pittsburgh Steelers (4-4), 4:25 p.m.

It's two traditional powers playing in this one and it's desperation time for the Steelers. Pittsburgh has lost three straight games as the offense has struggled since Ben Roethlisberger’s injury and the defense has not been able to get stops when it mattered. Roethlisberger gets another week to get healthy and shake off the rust and hopefully find ways to get Le’Veon Bell more involved. The Steelers rushed for just 36 yards in the 21-14 loss at Baltimore. Meanwhile, Dallas keeps rolling along behind Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott. I'm still not ready to buy in on this defense despite the numbers. I know I've tried to get in front of the Dallas fade train and have failed several times. To me, anytime you can get a good team at home with a short number and potential desperation, you have to consider it. Pittsburgh has covered six of its last seven games at home as a favorite of three points or fewer. SELECTION: Steelers -135 ML

NFL Power Rankings: Steelers

Notes:

— This Broncos vs. Saints matchup game is fascinating. Denver's offense should be able to move the ball on New Orleans, but can the Broncos find the defensive intensity that has eluded them recently? New Orleans has already beaten Carolina and Seattle at home and is always a great team in the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. It'll be interesting to see what happens to this line if Pro Bowl cornerback Aqib Talib is able to suit up for Denver. If he's out, then the Saints may have the advantage.

— Written by Matt Josephs, who is a part of the Athlon Sports Contributor Network. Josephs prefers non-Power 5 college football and may be the only one wagering on the Sun Belt. Follow him on Twitter @MidMajorMatt.